Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 21st March, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Tepatitlán de Morelos to Win

Tepatitlán de Morelos sit 2nd in the table after 25 games, averaging 2.1 goals scored and 0.4 conceded per home match this season. Venados are 13th after 22 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. The home record backs Tepatitlán de Morelos strongly — they've won 9/10 home games (90%), while Venados have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Both sides consistently see 2+ goals — Tepatitlán de Morelos in 90% of home games, Venados in 80% away. Three or more is less certain, but Over 1.5 Goals is well supported by the data from both sides.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Tepatitlán de Morelos at 40% in home games (4/10), Venados at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Tepatitlán de Morelos see 8+ in 80% of home games, Venados in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Tepatitlán de Morelos to Win — Tepatitlán de Morelos have won 9/10 home games this season (90%), while Venados have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tepatitlán de Morelos (2nd) and Venados (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos H 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados A 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 90% of their home matches compared to Venados's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 9 (90%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 0 (0%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Venados in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Tepatitlán de Morelos 90% at home, Venados 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Tepatitlán de Morelos have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Venados in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Venados frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Venados have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Tepatitlán de Morelos (Home Form) Venados (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Venados. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Oct 2025
Venados
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Jan 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 – 2 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Jul 2024
Venados
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Jan 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 5 HT: 0-2
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2023
Venados
5 – 1 HT: 2-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Jan 2023
Venados
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Oct 2022
Venados
4 – 2 HT: 4-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Sep 2022
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Mar 2022
Venados
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Aug 2021
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Venados
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.49
Draw 5
Venados 7.2

Half Time Result

Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.02
Draw 2.63
Venados 5

Double Chance

Tepatitlán de Morelos or Draw 1.15
Tepatitlán de Morelos or Venados 1.2
Draw or Venados 2.1

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.82
No 2.08

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.5 1.67
Over 3.5 2.66
Under 1.5 5.3
Under 2.5 2.3
Under 3.5 1.58

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.39

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.11
Over 9.5 1.3
Over 10.5 1.89
Over 11.5 2

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.51

Venados Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.24

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tepatitlán de Morelos vs Venados?

Tepatitlán de Morelos to Win — they've won 9/10 (90%) of their last 10 home games, while Venados have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Tepatitlán de Morelos or Venados?

Tepatitlán de Morelos hold a clear form advantage — they've won 90% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Venados have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Venados?

Mixed — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Venados in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Venados?

Uncertain — Tepatitlán de Morelos have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Venados in 50% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tepatitlán de Morelos or Venados?

Tepatitlán de Morelos have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Venados's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tepatitlán de Morelos and Venados?

Possibly — Venados frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Match Stats

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