The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Wales
🕒 Friday 28th November, 19:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

The New Saints have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 8/10 home matches (80%). Caernarfon Town have struggled on the road, winning only 4/10 away games (40%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (The New Saints 80% at home, Caernarfon Town 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Caernarfon Town regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while The New Saints are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — The New Saints have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Caernarfon Town in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with The New Saints (1st) and Caernarfon Town (3rd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 The New Saints H 32 26 2 4 81:25 +56 80
2 Connah's Quay 32 16 10 6 61:38 +23 58
3 Haverfordwest County 32 14 6 12 48:43 +5 48
4 Barry Town United 32 12 10 10 43:33 +10 46
5 Caernarfon Town A 32 12 9 11 56:47 +9 45
6 Colwyn Bay 32 12 9 11 41:37 +4 45
7 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 -1 45
8 Penybont 32 11 8 13 39:49 -10 41
9 Cardiff MU 32 8 14 10 43:51 -8 38
10 Flint Town United 32 8 11 13 48:59 -11 35
11 Bala Town 32 8 8 16 33:45 -12 32
12 Llanelli Town 32 3 4 25 17:82 -65 13

Team Form

The New Saints have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Caernarfon Town's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Caernarfon Town regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while The New Saints are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (The New Saints 80% at home, Caernarfon Town 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

The New Saints have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Caernarfon Town in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Caernarfon Town frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while The New Saints are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

The New Saints win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Caernarfon Town have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

The New Saints (Home Form) Caernarfon Town (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

4th Nov, 2025
The New Saints
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Caernarfon Town
7th Oct, 2025
Caernarfon Town
1 – 3 HT: 0-2
The New Saints
11th Mar, 2025
The New Saints
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Caernarfon Town
11th Feb, 2025
Caernarfon Town
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
The New Saints
26th Dec, 2024
Caernarfon Town
2 – 5 HT: 2-3
The New Saints
9th Oct, 2024
The New Saints
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Caernarfon Town
5th Apr, 2024
The New Saints
7 – 1 HT: 4-0
Caernarfon Town
23rd Feb, 2024
Caernarfon Town
1 – 8 HT: 1-4
The New Saints
26th Dec, 2023
The New Saints
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Caernarfon Town
26th Sep, 2023
Caernarfon Town
1 – 3 HT: 1-0
The New Saints

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

The New Saints 1.16
Draw 9
Caernarfon Town 13.67

Half Time Result

The New Saints 1.48
Draw 3.1
Caernarfon Town 7.5

Double Chance

The New Saints or Draw 1.02
The New Saints or Caernarfon Town 1.1
Draw or Caernarfon Town 5.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.75
No 1.96

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.05
Over 2.5 1.3
Over 3.5 1.72
Under 1.5 11
Under 2.5 3.4
Under 3.5 2

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.15
Over 1.5 1.8

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.53
Over 9.5 1.9
Over 10.5 2.5
Over 11.5 2.22

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 1.03
Over 1.5 1.2

Caernarfon Town Goals

Over 0.5 1.7
Over 1.5 4.4

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined

The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Caernarfon Town?

Under 3.5 Goals — The New Saints have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Caernarfon Town in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, The New Saints or Caernarfon Town?

The New Saints hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Premier League this season, while Caernarfon Town have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town?

Mixed — The New Saints have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Caernarfon Town in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town?

Uncertain — The New Saints have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Caernarfon Town in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: The New Saints or Caernarfon Town?

Caernarfon Town have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to The New Saints's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between The New Saints and Caernarfon Town?

Possibly — Caernarfon Town frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while The New Saints are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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