Premier League · Wales 🕒 Saturday 7th February, 12:30 GMT

The New Saints vs Penybont Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

The New Saints Home · 1st 8W 0D 2L last 10 home
VS
Penybont Away · 5th 2W 1D 7L last 10 away
Win Probability
The New Saints 79% Draw 13% Penybont 8%
⭐ Our Prediction The New Saints to Win See why ↓

The New Saints vs Penybont Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

The New Saints to Win

High confidence

The New Saints have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while Penybont have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

What the model says
79% The New Saints win 13% Draw 8% Penybont win 50% BTTS 72% Over 2.5 Goals 3-0 most likely score
Also worth a look
88% Over 1.5 Goals 72% Over 2.5 Goals

The New Saints sit 1st in the table after 22 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Penybont are 5th after 22 games, averaging 1 scored and 2.4 conceded on the road. The home record backs The New Saints strongly — they've won 8/10 home games (80%), while Penybont have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

The New Saints have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Penybont in 60% away (6/10). The New Saints average 1.8 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Penybont 1 and 2.4 on the road.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. The New Saints have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Penybont in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — The New Saints see 8+ in 60% of home games, Penybont in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

Where The New Saints (1st) and Penybont (5th) sit in the Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 The New Saints H 32 26 2 4 81:25 +56 80
8 Penybont A 34 12 9 13 41:49 -8 45
View the full Premier League 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 The New Saints H 32 26 2 4 81:25 +56 80
2 Connah's Quay 32 16 10 6 61:38 +23 58
3 Haverfordwest County 34 14 7 13 49:46 +3 49
4 Barry Town United 33 12 11 10 44:34 +10 47
5 Colwyn Bay 33 12 10 11 41:37 +4 46
6 Caernarfon Town 32 12 9 11 56:47 +9 45
7 Briton Ferry 32 12 9 11 46:47 -1 45
8 Penybont A 34 12 9 13 41:49 -8 45
9 Cardiff MU 32 8 14 10 43:51 -8 38
10 Flint Town United 32 8 11 13 48:59 -11 35
11 Bala Town 32 8 8 16 33:45 -12 32
12 Llanelli Town 32 3 4 25 17:82 -65 13

Team Form

The New Saints have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Penybont's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

H The New Saints — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Won
H
8/10 (80%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Drawn
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Lost
H
2/10 (20%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

The New Saints (40% BTTS at home) and Penybont (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

H The New Saints — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

The New Saints have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Penybont in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H The New Saints — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
8/10 (80%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
5/10 (50%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
5/10 (50%)

Team Goals

The New Saints have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Penybont in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

The New Saints 1.8 scored · 0.8 conceded per home game Penybont 1 scored · 2.4 conceded per away game
H The New Saints — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
6/10 (60%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
2/10 (20%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)

Season totals: The New Saints 18 scored / 8 conceded at home · Penybont 10 scored / 24 conceded away

Match Corners

Both The New Saints (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Penybont (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

H The New Saints — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/10 (60%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

The New Saints win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Penybont have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

H The New Saints — last 10 home A Penybont — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
7/10 (70%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between The New Saints and Penybont. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11 Oct 2025
The New Saints
6 – 2 HT: 3-0
Penybont
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Aug 2025
Penybont
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
The New Saints
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Mar 2025
Penybont
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
The New Saints
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Feb 2025
The New Saints
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Penybont
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
23 Nov 2024
The New Saints
3 – 2 HT: 0-2
Penybont
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Sep 2024
Penybont
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
The New Saints
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Dec 2023
The New Saints
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Penybont
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Oct 2023
Penybont
1 – 4 HT: 1-0
The New Saints
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Apr 2023
Penybont
2 – 5 HT: 0-2
The New Saints
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Mar 2023
Penybont
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
The New Saints
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for The New Saints vs Penybont across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

The New Saints 1.27 Model: 79%
Draw 6.4 Model: 13%
Penybont 15 Model: 8%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 2.14 Model: 50%
No 1.82 Model: 50%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.19 Model: 88%
Value Over 2.5 1.53 Model: 72%
Value Over 3.5 2.4 Model: 51%
Under 1.5 6 Model: 12%
Under 2.5 2.72 Model: 28%
Under 3.5 1.67 Model: 49%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.24 Model: 88%
Over 1.5 2.24

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.42 Model: 57%
Over 9.5 1.62 Model: 46%
Over 10.5 2.4 Model: 35%
Over 11.5 3.75 Model: 25%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

The New Saints 1.69 Model: 57%
Draw 2.76 Model: 29%
Penybont 8.26 Model: 14%

Double Chance

The New Saints or Draw 1.03 Model: 92%
The New Saints or Penybont 1.14 Model: 87%
Draw or Penybont 3.75 Model: 21%

The New Saints Goals

Over 0.5 1.03 Model: 93%
Value Over 1.5 1.35 Model: 77%

Penybont Goals

Over 0.5 1.9 Model: 37%
Over 1.5 5.1 Model: 14%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Chicago Fire II vs Inter Miami II 21:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Chicago Fire II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Inter Miami II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.91
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The New Saints vs Penybont Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for The New Saints vs Penybont?

The New Saints to Win — The New Saints have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while Penybont have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, The New Saints or Penybont?

The New Saints hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Premier League this season, while Penybont have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between The New Saints and Penybont?

Unlikely — The New Saints (40% BTTS at home) and Penybont (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between The New Saints and Penybont?

Uncertain — The New Saints have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Penybont in 60% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: The New Saints or Penybont?

Penybont have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to The New Saints's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between The New Saints and Penybont?

The New Saints have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Penybont in 40% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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