Tlaxcala vs Cancún — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Saturday 17th January, 23:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Tlaxcala hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Cancún are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Cancún tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Tlaxcala are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Cancún regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

High corner counts are common for both teams (70% and 80%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Tlaxcala see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Cancún in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tlaxcala (13th) and Cancún (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 33 17 10 6 45:32 +13 61
2 Cancún A 29 15 8 6 49:27 +22 53
3 Atlante 29 14 8 7 56:28 +28 50
4 Morelia 31 13 9 9 42:35 +7 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 33 12 11 10 54:48 +6 47
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 28 10 10 8 45:46 -1 40
8 CA La Paz 27 9 11 7 46:41 +5 38
9 Tapatío 27 10 5 12 47:39 +8 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara 29 9 8 12 35:44 -9 35
11 Venados 27 9 6 12 52:53 -1 33
12 Tlaxcala H 27 8 9 10 28:42 -14 33
13 Alebrijes 27 6 8 13 33:53 -20 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 26 5 7 14 28:56 -28 22
15 Dorados 27 3 6 18 22:53 -31 15

Team Form

Tlaxcala hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Cancún have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cancún regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Tlaxcala have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Cancún in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Tlaxcala have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Cancún in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

Both Tlaxcala (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Cancún (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Team Corners

Tlaxcala have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Cancún have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), but also concede 7+ corners in 80% of away matches, giving home sides significant set-piece opportunities.

Corners Won

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Cancún (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tlaxcala and Cancún. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

10 Aug 2025
Cancún
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Mar 2025
Tlaxcala
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Sep 2024
Cancún
5 – 2 HT: 3-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Jan 2024
Tlaxcala
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Sep 2023
Cancún
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Mar 2023
Tlaxcala
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jul 2022
Cancún
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 Apr 2022
Cancún
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Nov 2021
Tlaxcala
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2021
Tlaxcala
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Cancún
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tlaxcala vs Cancún across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tlaxcala 2.18
Draw 3.6
Cancún 3.55

Half Time Result

Tlaxcala 2.75
Draw 2.02
Cancún 3.5

Double Chance

Tlaxcala or Draw 1.3
Tlaxcala or Cancún 1.33
Draw or Cancún 1.66

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.71
No 2.22

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.35
Under 1.5 4
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.39

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.85

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.13
Over 9.5 1.33
Over 10.5 1.74
Over 11.5 2.06

Tlaxcala Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.12

Cancún Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.83

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Tlaxcala vs Cancún Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Cancún?

Over 8.5 Corners — Tlaxcala see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Cancún in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Tlaxcala or Cancún?

Tlaxcala have a slight form edge at home (60% wins) over Cancún on the road (50% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Tlaxcala and Cancún?

Possibly — Cancún regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tlaxcala and Cancún?

Uncertain — Tlaxcala have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Cancún in 60% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tlaxcala or Cancún?

Cancún have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Tlaxcala's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tlaxcala and Cancún?

Yes — both Tlaxcala (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Cancún (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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