Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 1st March, 22:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Tlaxcala hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are less consistent on the road (1/10, 10%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Tlaxcala at 30% at home and Tepatitlán de Morelos at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Tlaxcala 50% at home, Tepatitlán de Morelos 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Tlaxcala regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Tlaxcala have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tlaxcala (5th) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 33 17 10 6 45:32 +13 61
2 Cancún 29 15 8 6 49:27 +22 53
3 Atlante 29 14 8 7 56:28 +28 50
4 Morelia 31 13 9 9 42:35 +7 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos A 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 33 12 11 10 54:48 +6 47
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 28 10 10 8 45:46 -1 40
8 CA La Paz 27 9 11 7 46:41 +5 38
9 Tapatío 27 10 5 12 47:39 +8 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara 29 9 8 12 35:44 -9 35
11 Venados 27 9 6 12 52:53 -1 33
12 Tlaxcala H 27 8 9 10 28:42 -14 33
13 Alebrijes 27 6 8 13 33:53 -20 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 26 5 7 14 28:56 -28 22
15 Dorados 27 3 6 18 22:53 -31 15

Team Form

Tlaxcala hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Tepatitlán de Morelos have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tlaxcala have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Tlaxcala (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Tlaxcala have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Tlaxcala (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Tlaxcala have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tlaxcala and Tepatitlán de Morelos. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Sep 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Jan 2025
Tlaxcala
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Aug 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Apr 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Oct 2023
Tlaxcala
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Apr 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Sep 2022
Tlaxcala
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Jan 2022
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2021
Tlaxcala
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2021
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán de Morelos across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tlaxcala 2.84
Draw 3.75
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.56

Half Time Result

Tlaxcala 3.13
Draw 2.29
Tepatitlán de Morelos 3.22

Double Chance

Tlaxcala or Draw 1.44
Tlaxcala or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.28
Draw or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.69
No 2.3

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 3.5 2.93
Under 1.5 4.3
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 3.5 1.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.74

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.16
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.78
Over 11.5 2.18

Tlaxcala Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.1

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.35

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Under 2.5 Goals — Tlaxcala have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Tlaxcala or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Tlaxcala hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Tepatitlán de Morelos have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tlaxcala and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Mixed — Tlaxcala have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tlaxcala and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Unlikely — Tlaxcala (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tlaxcala or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Tlaxcala have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tlaxcala and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Yes — both Tlaxcala (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Tlaxcala vs Venados

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Irapuato vs Mineros de Zacatecas

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

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Universidad Guadalajara vs Cancún

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 19:00 BST

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Jaiba Brava vs Morelia

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Monday 20th April, 00:00 BST

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