Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 1st March, 22:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Tlaxcala sit 5th in the table after 19 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Tepatitlán de Morelos are 2nd after 23 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Tlaxcala have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Tepatitlán de Morelos have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Tlaxcala have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% away. Tlaxcala average 1.8 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Tepatitlán de Morelos 0.7 and 1 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Tlaxcala frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Tlaxcala regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 70% of fixtures, 7/10). Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower on the road (60%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Tlaxcala have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tlaxcala (5th) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos A 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala H 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Tlaxcala have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tlaxcala frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Tlaxcala have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Tlaxcala have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Tlaxcala (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Tlaxcala have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tlaxcala and Tepatitlán de Morelos. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

20 Sep 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Jan 2025
Tlaxcala
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Aug 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Apr 2024
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Oct 2023
Tlaxcala
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Apr 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Sep 2022
Tlaxcala
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Jan 2022
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2021
Tlaxcala
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Apr 2021
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán de Morelos across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tlaxcala 2.84
Draw 3.75
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.56

Half Time Result

Tlaxcala 3.13
Draw 2.29
Tepatitlán de Morelos 3.22

Double Chance

Tlaxcala or Draw 1.44
Tlaxcala or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.28
Draw or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.69
No 2.3

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.29
Over 2.5 1.87
Over 3.5 2.93
Under 1.5 4.3
Under 2.5 2.12
Under 3.5 1.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.74

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.16
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.78
Over 11.5 2.18

Tlaxcala Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.1

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.35

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Under 2.5 Goals — Tlaxcala have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Tlaxcala or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Tlaxcala have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Tepatitlán de Morelos on the road (10% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Tlaxcala and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Mixed — Tlaxcala have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tlaxcala and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Uncertain — Tlaxcala have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 20% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tlaxcala or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Tlaxcala have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tlaxcala and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Yes — both Tlaxcala (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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