Tlaxcala vs Universidad Guadalajara — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 8th February, 18:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Tlaxcala hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Universidad Guadalajara are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Universidad Guadalajara tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (90%), while Tlaxcala are lower (60%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Universidad Guadalajara regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Tlaxcala regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Universidad Guadalajara are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Tlaxcala see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tlaxcala (6th) and Universidad Guadalajara (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 33 17 10 6 45:32 +13 61
2 Cancún 29 15 8 6 49:27 +22 53
3 Atlante 29 14 8 7 56:28 +28 50
4 Morelia 31 13 9 9 42:35 +7 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 33 12 11 10 54:48 +6 47
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 28 10 10 8 45:46 -1 40
8 CA La Paz 27 9 11 7 46:41 +5 38
9 Tapatío 27 10 5 12 47:39 +8 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara A 29 9 8 12 35:44 -9 35
11 Venados 27 9 6 12 52:53 -1 33
12 Tlaxcala H 27 8 9 10 28:42 -14 33
13 Alebrijes 27 6 8 13 33:53 -20 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 26 5 7 14 28:56 -28 22
15 Dorados 27 3 6 18 22:53 -31 15

Team Form

Tlaxcala hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Universidad Guadalajara have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Universidad Guadalajara regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Tlaxcala have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Tlaxcala have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Universidad Guadalajara in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Goal Totals

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 24 (2.4 avg)

Match Corners

Both Tlaxcala (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Universidad Guadalajara (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Tlaxcala have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Universidad Guadalajara have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 70% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tlaxcala (Home Form) Universidad Guadalajara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tlaxcala and Universidad Guadalajara. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

31 Aug 2025
Universidad Guadalajara
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Feb 2025
Universidad Guadalajara
5 – 1 HT: 3-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Aug 2024
Tlaxcala
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Mar 2024
Tlaxcala
0 – 4 HT: 0-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2023
Universidad Guadalajara
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2023
Universidad Guadalajara
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Sep 2022
Tlaxcala
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Mar 2022
Tlaxcala
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Oct 2021
Universidad Guadalajara
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Jan 2021
Universidad Guadalajara
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tlaxcala vs Universidad Guadalajara across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tlaxcala 2
Draw 3.65
Universidad Guadalajara 4

Half Time Result

Tlaxcala 2.87
Draw 2.2
Universidad Guadalajara 3.25

Double Chance

Tlaxcala or Draw 1.33
Tlaxcala or Universidad Guadalajara 1.33
Draw or Universidad Guadalajara 1.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.75
No 2.18

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.5 1.9
Over 3.5 2.85
Under 1.5 4.1
Under 2.5 2.04
Under 3.5 1.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.67

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.09
Over 9.5 1.27
Over 10.5 1.86
Over 11.5 2.25

Tlaxcala Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.28

Universidad Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.67

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Tlaxcala vs Universidad Guadalajara Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tlaxcala vs Universidad Guadalajara?

Over 8.5 Corners — Tlaxcala see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Tlaxcala or Universidad Guadalajara?

Tlaxcala hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga de Expansión MX this season, while Universidad Guadalajara have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tlaxcala and Universidad Guadalajara?

Possibly — Universidad Guadalajara regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tlaxcala and Universidad Guadalajara?

Uncertain — Tlaxcala have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Universidad Guadalajara in 60% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tlaxcala or Universidad Guadalajara?

Tlaxcala have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Universidad Guadalajara's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tlaxcala and Universidad Guadalajara?

Yes — both Tlaxcala (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Universidad Guadalajara (80% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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