Toluca vs Juárez — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Monday 9th March, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Juárez have struggled on the road, winning only 3/10 away games (30%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Toluca 90% at home, Juárez 90% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Toluca and Juárez frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 80% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Toluca see both teams score in 70% of home games, Juárez in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (2nd) and Juárez (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca H 37 21 11 5 70:33 +37 74
2 Cruz Azul 35 19 12 4 62:39 +23 69
3 Tigres UANL 37 18 10 9 66:39 +27 64
4 Guadalajara 33 19 4 10 59:42 +17 61
5 América 33 16 8 9 50:34 +16 56
6 Pachuca 33 15 8 10 46:37 +9 53
7 Monterrey 35 15 7 13 58:51 +7 52
8 Pumas UNAM 32 12 12 8 51:43 +8 48
9 Tijuana 34 12 12 10 50:44 +6 48
10 Juárez A 35 11 10 14 52:58 -6 43
11 Atlas 31 9 9 13 38:53 -15 36
12 Querétaro 31 9 8 14 32:47 -15 35
13 Necaxa 31 9 6 16 41:52 -11 33
14 León 31 9 5 17 30:55 -25 32
15 Atlético San Luis 31 9 4 18 46:52 -6 31
16 Santos Laguna 31 8 5 18 39:63 -24 29
17 Mazatlán 31 5 10 16 36:57 -21 25
18 Puebla 31 6 7 18 32:59 -27 25

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Juárez's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Juárez in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Toluca 90% at home, Juárez 90% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Juárez in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 22 (2.2 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Juárez frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Juárez have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Juárez (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Toluca and Juárez. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30 Nov 2025
Toluca
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Juárez
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Nov 2025
Juárez
1 – 2 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Aug 2025
Juárez
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Feb 2025
Juárez
0 – 4 HT: 0-3
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14 Jul 2024
Toluca
3 – 2 HT: 2-0
Juárez
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Mar 2024
Juárez
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Jul 2023
Toluca
2 – 4 HT: 1-1
Juárez
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Apr 2023
Toluca
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Juárez
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Oct 2022
Toluca
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Juárez
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
30 Jul 2022
Juárez
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Toluca vs Juárez across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Toluca 1.54
Draw 4.7
Juárez 6.6

Half Time Result

Toluca 1.95
Draw 2.49
Juárez 5.93

Double Chance

Toluca or Draw 1.09
Toluca or Juárez 1.23
Draw or Juárez 2.76

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.9
No 2.08

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.25
Over 2.5 1.62
Over 3.5 2.92
Under 1.5 4.7
Under 2.5 2.17
Under 3.5 1.5

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.29
Over 1.5 2.55

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.26
Over 9.5 1.47
Over 10.5 1.77
Over 11.5 2.23

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.57

Juárez Goals

Over 0.5 1.67
Over 1.5 4.4

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Blacktown Spartans vs Prospect United 11:15 BST | New South Wales NPL 2, Australia Blacktown Spartans have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Prospect United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    91% combined
  • Thalgau vs SV Schwarzach 16:30 BST | Landesliga: Salzburg, Austria Thalgau have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · SV Schwarzach have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    90% combined
  • Tahiti United vs Vanuatu United 08:00 BST | OFC Professional League, Asia Tahiti United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Vanuatu United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.95
    83% combined
  • Kalsdorf vs Lafnitz 18:00 BST | Regionalliga: Mitte, Austria Kalsdorf have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Lafnitz have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.66
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Toluca vs Juárez Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs Juárez?

Both Teams to Score — Toluca see BTTS in 70% of home games, Juárez in 80% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or Juárez?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Juárez have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and Juárez?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Toluca have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Juárez in 80% of away games in Liga MX. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and Juárez?

Uncertain — Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Juárez in 60% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or Juárez?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Juárez's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and Juárez?

Possibly — Juárez frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Mazatlán vs Querétaro

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 02:00 BST

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Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

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Necaxa vs Tigres UANL

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🕒 Saturday 18th April, 04:00 BST

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Cruz Azul vs Tijuana

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:00 BST

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Monterrey vs Pachuca

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:00 BST

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Guadalajara vs Puebla

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:07 BST

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América vs Toluca

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 04:00 BST

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León vs Juárez

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 04:00 BST

Match Stats

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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