América vs Toluca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 19th April, 04:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

América (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over Toluca on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

América frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Toluca are more variable on the road (40%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (América 50% at home, Toluca 30% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Toluca regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — América have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Toluca in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with América (th) and Toluca (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca A 36 21 10 5 69:32 +37 73
2 Cruz Azul 35 19 12 4 62:39 +23 69
3 Tigres UANL 37 18 10 9 66:39 +27 64
4 Guadalajara 33 19 4 10 59:42 +17 61
5 América H 33 16 8 9 50:34 +16 56
6 Pachuca 33 15 8 10 46:37 +9 53
7 Monterrey 35 15 7 13 58:51 +7 52
8 Tijuana 34 12 12 10 50:44 +6 48
9 Pumas UNAM 31 11 12 8 48:42 +6 45
10 Juárez 35 11 10 14 52:58 -6 43
11 Atlas 31 9 9 13 38:53 -15 36
12 Querétaro 31 9 8 14 32:47 -15 35
13 Necaxa 31 9 6 16 41:52 -11 33
14 León 31 9 5 17 30:55 -25 32
15 Atlético San Luis 30 9 3 18 45:51 -6 30
16 Santos Laguna 31 8 5 18 39:63 -24 29
17 Mazatlán 30 5 10 15 35:54 -19 25
18 Puebla 31 6 7 18 32:59 -27 25

Team Form

Toluca have lost 40% of their away matches this season, while América have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

América have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Toluca in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

América (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Toluca (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

América have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Toluca in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

América have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

América have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Toluca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

América (Home Form) Toluca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for América vs Toluca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

América 2.52
Draw 3.25
Toluca 2.67

Half Time Result

América 3.1
Draw 2.1
Toluca 3.4

Double Chance

América or Draw 1.44
América or Toluca 1.3
Draw or Toluca 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.33
Over 2.5 2
Over 3.5 3.5
Under 1.5 3.25
Under 2.5 1.8
Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3

América Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.37

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.33
Over 1.5 2.62

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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América vs Toluca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for América vs Toluca?

Under 2.5 Goals — América have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Toluca in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, América or Toluca?

América have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Toluca on the road (30% wins) in Liga MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between América and Toluca?

Mixed — América have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Toluca in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between América and Toluca?

Unlikely — América (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Toluca (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga MX. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: América or Toluca?

Toluca have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to América's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between América and Toluca?

América have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Toluca in 60% of away games in Liga MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Cruz Azul vs Tijuana

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Monterrey vs Pachuca

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Guadalajara vs Puebla

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:07 BST

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León vs Juárez

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

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Match Stats

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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