Toluca vs León — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 26th April, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Toluca to Win

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 8/10 home matches (80%). León have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Toluca 90% at home, León 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Toluca often see both teams score at home (70%), while León are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Toluca to Win — Toluca have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while León have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (th) and León (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca H 36 21 10 5 69:32 +37 73
2 Cruz Azul 35 19 12 4 62:39 +23 69
3 Tigres UANL 37 18 10 9 66:39 +27 64
4 Guadalajara 33 19 4 10 59:42 +17 61
5 América 33 16 8 9 50:34 +16 56
6 Pachuca 33 15 8 10 46:37 +9 53
7 Monterrey 35 15 7 13 58:51 +7 52
8 Tijuana 34 12 12 10 50:44 +6 48
9 Pumas UNAM 31 11 12 8 48:42 +6 45
10 Juárez 35 11 10 14 52:58 -6 43
11 Atlas 31 9 9 13 38:53 -15 36
12 Querétaro 31 9 8 14 32:47 -15 35
13 Necaxa 31 9 6 16 41:52 -11 33
14 León A 31 9 5 17 30:55 -25 32
15 Atlético San Luis 30 9 3 18 45:51 -6 30
16 Santos Laguna 31 8 5 18 39:63 -24 29
17 Mazatlán 30 5 10 15 35:54 -19 25
18 Puebla 31 6 7 18 32:59 -27 25

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to León's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 0 (0%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while León are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Toluca 90% at home, León 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, León in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

León frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Toluca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

León have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of away matches.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) León (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Toluca vs León Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs León?

Toluca to Win — they've won 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 home games, while León have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or León?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Liga MX this season, while León have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and León?

Possibly — Toluca frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while León are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and León?

Uncertain — Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, León in 40% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or León?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to León's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and León?

Possibly — León frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Toluca are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Mazatlán vs Querétaro

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 02:00 BST

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Atlético San Luis vs Pumas UNAM

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 02:00 BST

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Necaxa vs Tigres UANL

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 04:00 BST

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Cruz Azul vs Tijuana

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:00 BST

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Monterrey vs Pachuca

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:00 BST

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Guadalajara vs Puebla

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:07 BST

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América vs Toluca

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 04:00 BST

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León vs Juárez

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 04:00 BST

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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