Toluca vs Monterrey Football Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Thursday 25th September, 03:05 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Toluca sit 3rd in the table after 7 games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Monterrey are 2nd after 7 games, averaging 1.1 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Toluca have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Monterrey side who've won 2/10 away (20%).

Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Monterrey in 30% away (3/10). Toluca average 2.4 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Monterrey 1.1 and 1.2 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Toluca at 50% in home games (5/10), Monterrey at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Toluca see 8+ in 70% of home games, Monterrey in 90% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Toluca see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Monterrey in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (3rd) and Monterrey (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca H 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey A 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Monterrey's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Monterrey in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Monterrey in 30% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Monterrey in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Monterrey frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Toluca are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Monterrey have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Monterrey (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Toluca and Monterrey. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

11th May, 2025
Toluca
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Monterrey
Corners 5–6 Cards 5–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th May, 2025
Monterrey
3 – 2 HT: 1-1
Toluca
Corners 1–2 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Jan, 2025
Toluca
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Monterrey
Corners 5–6 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Sep, 2024
Monterrey
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Toluca
Corners 3–1 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19th Feb, 2024
Monterrey
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
Corners 4–4 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Aug, 2023
Toluca
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Monterrey
Corners 4–4 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Feb, 2023
Monterrey
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Toluca
Corners 3–9 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Aug, 2022
Toluca
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Monterrey
Corners 10–2 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Apr, 2022
Toluca
2 – 2 HT: 1-2
Monterrey
Corners 2–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Sep, 2021
Monterrey
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Toluca
Corners 6–4 Cards 3–7 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Toluca vs Monterrey across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Toluca 1.56
Draw 4.51
Monterrey 5.88

Half Time Result

Toluca 2.04
Draw 2.64
Monterrey 5.27

Double Chance

Toluca or Draw 1.17
Toluca or Monterrey 1.22
Draw or Monterrey 2.6

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57
No 2.3

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.52
Over 3.5 2.2
Under 1.5 5.1
Under 2.5 2.71
Under 3.5 1.72

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 2.02
Over 11.5 2.2

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.05
Over 1.5 1.52
Over 2.5 2.45

Monterrey Goals

Over 0.5 1.45
Over 1.5 2.9
Over 2.5 8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Toluca vs Monterrey Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs Monterrey?

Over 8.5 Corners — Toluca see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Monterrey in 80% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or Monterrey?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Monterrey have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and Monterrey?

Mixed — Toluca have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Monterrey in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and Monterrey?

Uncertain — Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Monterrey in 30% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or Monterrey?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Monterrey's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and Monterrey?

Possibly — Monterrey frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Toluca are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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