Toluca vs Pachuca Football Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Monday 27th October, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Toluca sit 1st in the table after 12 games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Pachuca are 8th after 12 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.1 conceded on the road. Toluca have the stronger home record this season (7/10, 70%) against a Pachuca side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Pachuca in 40% away (4/10). Toluca average 2.4 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Pachuca 1 and 1.1 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Toluca at 50% in home games (5/10), Pachuca at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Toluca see 8+ in 70% of home games, Pachuca in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (1st) and Pachuca (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca H 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca A 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Pachuca's 40% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Pachuca in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Pachuca in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Pachuca in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Toluca (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Pachuca (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Pachuca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Toluca and Pachuca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29th Mar, 2025
Toluca
3 – 2 HT: 3-0
Pachuca
Corners 4–1 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Sep, 2024
Pachuca
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Toluca
Corners 6–8 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Mar, 2024
Pachuca
2 – 3 HT: 1-3
Toluca
Corners 4–1 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Sep, 2023
Toluca
5 – 0 HT: 2-0
Pachuca
Corners 6–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Feb, 2023
Pachuca
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Toluca
Corners 7–5 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Oct, 2022
Pachuca
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Toluca
Corners 7–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Oct, 2022
Toluca
1 – 5 HT: 0-4
Pachuca
Corners 10–4 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Aug, 2022
Toluca
1 – 4 HT: 0-2
Pachuca
Corners 3–5 Cards 7–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Mar, 2022
Toluca
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Pachuca
Corners 5–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Sep, 2021
Pachuca
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Toluca
Corners 6–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Toluca vs Pachuca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Toluca 1.55
Draw 4.73
Pachuca 5.51

Half Time Result

Toluca 1.91
Draw 2.79
Pachuca 5.51

Double Chance

Toluca or Draw 1.13
Toluca or Pachuca 1.22
Draw or Pachuca 2.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57
No 2.49

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.21
Under 1.5 5.92
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.5 1.72

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.15

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.28
Over 9.5 1.39
Over 10.5 2.11
Over 11.5 2.18

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.48

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs Pachuca?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or Pachuca?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Pachuca have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and Pachuca?

Mixed — Toluca have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Pachuca in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and Pachuca?

Uncertain — Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Pachuca in 40% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or Pachuca?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Pachuca's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and Pachuca?

Toluca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Pachuca in 50% of away games in Liga MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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