Toluca vs Pachuca — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Monday 27th October, 01:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). Pachuca have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Toluca frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Pachuca are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Both Toluca and Pachuca frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Toluca see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Pachuca in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (1st) and Pachuca (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca H 36 21 10 5 69:32 +37 73
2 Cruz Azul 34 19 11 4 61:38 +23 68
3 Tigres UANL 36 17 10 9 62:38 +24 61
4 Guadalajara 32 19 4 9 58:38 +20 61
5 América 32 16 7 9 49:33 +16 55
6 Monterrey 34 15 6 13 58:51 +7 51
7 Pachuca A 32 14 8 10 42:35 +7 50
8 Pumas UNAM 31 11 12 8 48:42 +6 45
9 Tijuana 33 11 12 10 48:43 +5 45
10 Juárez 34 11 10 13 51:56 -5 43
11 Atlas 30 9 8 13 38:53 -15 35
12 Necaxa 30 9 6 15 40:49 -9 33
13 Querétaro 30 8 8 14 29:46 -17 32
14 Atlético San Luis 30 9 3 18 45:51 -6 30
15 Santos Laguna 30 8 5 17 37:59 -22 29
16 León 30 8 5 17 29:55 -26 29
17 Mazatlán 30 5 10 15 35:54 -19 25
18 Puebla 30 6 7 17 32:58 -26 25

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Pachuca's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 0 (0%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Pachuca in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Pachuca in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Pachuca in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both Toluca (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Pachuca (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Pachuca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Pachuca (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Toluca and Pachuca. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29th Mar, 2025
Toluca
3 – 2 HT: 3-0
Pachuca
Corners 4–1 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18th Sep, 2024
Pachuca
2 – 2 HT: 0-1
Toluca
Corners 6–8 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Mar, 2024
Pachuca
2 – 3 HT: 1-3
Toluca
Corners 4–1 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Sep, 2023
Toluca
5 – 0 HT: 2-0
Pachuca
Corners 6–5 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20th Feb, 2023
Pachuca
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Toluca
Corners 7–5 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31st Oct, 2022
Pachuca
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Toluca
Corners 7–3 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Oct, 2022
Toluca
1 – 5 HT: 0-4
Pachuca
Corners 10–4 Cards 3–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Aug, 2022
Toluca
1 – 4 HT: 0-2
Pachuca
Corners 3–5 Cards 7–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Mar, 2022
Toluca
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Pachuca
Corners 5–5 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Sep, 2021
Pachuca
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Toluca
Corners 6–3 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Toluca vs Pachuca across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Toluca 1.55
Draw 4.73
Pachuca 5.51

Half Time Result

Toluca 1.91
Draw 2.79
Pachuca 5.51

Double Chance

Toluca or Draw 1.13
Toluca or Pachuca 1.22
Draw or Pachuca 2.57

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.57
No 2.49

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.44
Over 3.5 2.21
Under 1.5 5.92
Under 2.5 2.75
Under 3.5 1.72

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.15

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.28
Over 9.5 1.39
Over 10.5 2.11
Over 11.5 2.18

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.06
Over 1.5 1.48

Pachuca Goals

Over 0.5 1.42
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Akademija Pandev U19 vs Shkupi U19 12:00 BST | Mladinska Super liga, Macedonia Akademija Pandev U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Shkupi U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    85% combined
  • Portadown U20 vs Glentoran U20 19:45 BST | Premiership Development League, Northern Ireland Portadown U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Glentoran U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    85% combined
  • Vardar U19 vs Makedonija GjP U19 09:00 BST | Mladinska Super liga, Macedonia Vardar U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Makedonija GjP U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    84% combined
  • Partizan U19 vs Crvena Zvezda U19 10:00 BST | U19 League, Serbia Partizan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Crvena Zvezda U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    77% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.01
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Toluca vs Pachuca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs Pachuca?

Over 1.5 Goals — Toluca see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Pachuca in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or Pachuca?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Pachuca have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and Pachuca?

Mixed — Toluca have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Pachuca in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and Pachuca?

Uncertain — Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Pachuca in 50% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or Pachuca?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Pachuca's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and Pachuca?

Toluca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Pachuca in 50% of away games in Liga MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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