Toluca vs Puebla Football Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 14th September, 04:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Toluca to Win

Toluca sit 5th in the table after 6 games, averaging 2.4 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Puebla are 18th after 6 games, averaging 1 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. The home record backs Toluca strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Puebla have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Puebla in 60% away (6/10). Toluca average 2.4 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Puebla 1 and 1.8 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Toluca at 50% in home games (5/10), Puebla at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Toluca see 8+ in 70% of home games, Puebla in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Toluca to Win — Toluca have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Puebla have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (5th) and Puebla (18th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Cruz Azul 44 24 16 4 78:48 +30 88
2 Toluca H 42 22 11 9 78:43 +35 77
3 Tigres UANL 42 20 12 10 75:44 +31 72
4 Guadalajara 40 21 7 12 70:49 +21 70
5 Pachuca 40 19 8 13 54:44 +10 65
6 América 38 18 10 10 61:44 +17 64
7 Pumas UNAM 41 16 15 10 67:54 +13 63
8 Monterrey 38 16 7 15 61:58 +3 55
9 Tijuana 37 13 14 10 54:46 +8 53
10 Juárez 38 12 10 16 57:66 -9 46
11 Atlas 36 11 10 15 42:57 -15 43
12 Querétaro 34 10 10 14 36:50 -14 40
13 Necaxa 34 9 8 17 43:57 -14 35
14 León 34 10 5 19 36:63 -27 35
15 Atlético San Luis 34 10 4 20 49:56 -7 34
16 Santos Laguna 34 9 5 20 42:66 -24 32
17 Mazatlán 34 6 11 17 42:66 -24 29
18 Puebla A 34 6 7 21 34:68 -34 25

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Puebla's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Puebla in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Puebla in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Puebla in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Puebla frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Puebla have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Puebla (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Toluca and Puebla. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

15th Mar, 2025
Puebla
0 – 3 HT: 0-1
Toluca
Corners 3–6 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23rd Oct, 2024
Toluca
5 – 0 HT: 2-0
Puebla
Corners 5–3 Cards 2–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Jan, 2024
Puebla
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Toluca
Corners 3–3 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Nov, 2023
Toluca
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Puebla
Corners 2–4 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24th Jun, 2023
Toluca
1 – 1 HT:
Puebla
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Apr, 2023
Puebla
1 – 2 HT: 0-2
Toluca
Corners 3–4 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Aug, 2022
Toluca
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Puebla
Corners 8–6 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
3rd Apr, 2022
Toluca
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Puebla
Corners 4–7 Cards 5–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
6th Nov, 2021
Puebla
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
Corners 6–2 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21st Mar, 2021
Toluca
4 – 4 HT: 1-0
Puebla
Corners 7–5 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Toluca vs Puebla across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Toluca 1.36
Draw 5.25
Puebla 9.24

Half Time Result

Toluca 1.72
Draw 2.96
Puebla 7.94

Double Chance

Toluca or Draw 1.07
Toluca or Puebla 1.14
Draw or Puebla 3.28

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.15
Over 2.5 1.5
Over 3.5 2.1
Under 1.5 5.59
Under 2.5 2.6
Under 3.5 1.66

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.18

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.44
Over 9.5 1.54
Over 10.5 1.98
Over 11.5 3

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.35
Over 2.5 2.16

Puebla Goals

Over 0.5 1.61
Over 1.5 3.9
Over 2.5 12.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
Explore all our tips & stats

Toluca vs Puebla Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs Puebla?

Toluca to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Puebla have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or Puebla?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Puebla have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and Puebla?

Mixed — Toluca have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Puebla in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and Puebla?

Uncertain — Toluca have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Puebla in 60% of away games in Liga MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or Puebla?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Puebla's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and Puebla?

Possibly — Puebla frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Toluca are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Free+

All Stats

View all of our stats for upcoming matches.

View stats

Free

Over 2.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 2.5 goals.

View stats

Free

Both Teams to Score

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of both teams to score.

View stats

Free

Home Win

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of a home win.

View stats

Over 1.5 Goals

View all our stats for matches that have a likely outcome of over 1.5 goals.

View stats

Free

10 Teams to Win Today

Discover the 10 teams most likely to win today based on previous form.

View stats
View more stats

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Armenia W vs Kazakhstan W

📍 World Cup Women Qualification Europe, Europe

🕒 Friday 5th June, 15:00 BST

Match Stats

Simba Bhora vs Triangle United

📍 Premier Soccer League, Zimbabwe

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 14:00 BST

Match Stats

Västerås SK vs IFK Göteborg

📍 Allsvenskan, Sweden

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 13:00 BST

Match Stats

Germany W vs Norway W

📍 World Cup Women Qualification Europe, Europe

🕒 Friday 5th June, 19:35 BST

Match Stats

Gnistan vs SJK

📍 Veikkausliiga, Finland

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 15:00 BST

Match Stats

FCI Tallinn vs Legion

📍 Esiliiga B, Estonia

🕒 Monday 1st June, 17:00 BST

Match Stats

Sarasota Paradise vs NY Cosmos

📍 USL League One, United States

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 00:30 BST

Match Stats

Nordstrand vs KFUM II

📍 3. Division - Group 1, Norway

🕒 Saturday 30th May, 12:00 BST

Match Stats

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

Latest Blogs

View all posts →