Tropezón vs Castro Football Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 3, Spain
🕒 Sunday 11th January, 16:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Tropezón to Win

Tropezón sit 2nd in the table after 15 games, averaging 1.8 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Castro are 11th after 15 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.8 conceded on the road. The home record backs Tropezón strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Castro have lost 7/10 on the road (70%).

Tropezón have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Castro in 60% away (6/10). Tropezón average 1.8 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Castro 0.8 and 1.8 on the road.

Tropezón frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Castro are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 50% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Tropezón see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Castro in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Tropezón to Win — Tropezón have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Castro have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Tercera - Group 3 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tropezón (2nd) and Castro (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 3 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gimnástica Torrelavega 34 26 5 3 86:15 +71 83
2 Laredo 34 21 8 5 63:28 +35 71
3 Tropezón H 34 21 4 9 50:27 +23 67
4 Cultural Guarnizo 34 19 9 6 47:26 +21 66
5 Escobedo 34 21 2 11 65:43 +22 65
6 Vimenor 34 17 8 9 47:36 +11 59
7 Atlético Albericia 34 17 5 12 61:45 +16 56
8 Cayon 34 17 5 12 50:41 +9 56
9 Torina 34 15 8 11 39:40 -1 53
10 Bezana 34 13 8 13 43:38 +5 47
11 Castro A 34 10 8 16 44:47 -3 38
12 Selaya 34 8 8 18 32:44 -12 32
13 Revilla 34 8 7 19 35:63 -28 31
14 Barquereño 34 8 6 20 37:64 -27 30
15 Cartes 34 6 10 18 28:52 -24 28
16 Colindres 34 6 10 18 27:47 -20 28
17 Montañas del Pas 34 6 8 20 35:87 -52 26
18 Noja 34 4 7 23 22:68 -46 19

Team Form

Tropezón have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Castro's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tropezón frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Castro are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Tropezón have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Castro in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Tropezón have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Castro in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Tropezón have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Castro in 20% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Tropezón have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Castro have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tropezón (Home Form) Castro (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tropezón vs Castro across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tropezón 1.57
Draw 3.55
Castro 5.35

Half Time Result

Tropezón 2.1
Draw 2.2
Castro 5.5

Double Chance

Tropezón or Draw 1.12
Tropezón or Castro 1.2
Draw or Castro 2.3

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.87
No 1.66

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.36
Over 2.5 2.1
Over 3.5 3.45
Under 1.5 2.96
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.43
Over 1.5 3.02

Tropezón Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.92

Castro Goals

Over 0.5 1.75
Over 1.5 4.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Tropezón vs Castro Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tropezón vs Castro?

Tropezón to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Castro have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Tropezón or Castro?

Tropezón hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Tercera - Group 3 this season, while Castro have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tropezón and Castro?

Mixed — Tropezón have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Castro in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Tercera - Group 3 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tropezón and Castro?

Uncertain — Tropezón have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Castro in 60% of away games in Tercera - Group 3. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tropezón or Castro?

Tropezón have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Castro's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tropezón and Castro?

Tropezón have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Castro in 20% of away games in Tercera - Group 3. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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