TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 Football Stats

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

TSG Hoffenheim sit 5th in the table after 26 games, averaging 2 goals scored and 1 conceded per home match this season. FSV Mainz 05 are 11th after 25 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. TSG Hoffenheim have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a FSV Mainz 05 side who've won 5/10 away (50%).

TSG Hoffenheim have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); FSV Mainz 05 in 50% away (5/10). TSG Hoffenheim average 2 scored and 1 conceded at home, FSV Mainz 05 1.2 and 1.3 on the road.

TSG Hoffenheim frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (50%, 5/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Both teams see 9+ corners in the majority of their games — TSG Hoffenheim at 70% at home (7/10), FSV Mainz 05 at 70% away (7/10). Over 8.5 Corners is well supported by the data.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — TSG Hoffenheim see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with TSG Hoffenheim (5th) and FSV Mainz 05 (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 34 28 5 1 122:36 +86 89
2 Borussia Dortmund 34 22 7 5 70:34 +36 73
3 RB Leipzig 34 20 5 9 66:47 +19 65
4 VfB Stuttgart 34 18 8 8 71:49 +22 62
5 TSG Hoffenheim H 34 18 7 9 65:52 +13 61
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 34 17 8 9 68:47 +21 59
7 SC Freiburg 34 13 8 13 51:57 -6 47
8 Eintracht Frankfurt 34 11 11 12 61:65 -4 44
9 FC Augsburg 34 12 7 15 45:61 -16 43
10 FSV Mainz 05 A 34 10 10 14 44:53 -9 40
11 FC Union Berlin 34 10 9 15 44:58 -14 39
12 Hamburger SV 34 9 11 14 40:54 -14 38
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 34 9 11 14 42:53 -11 38
14 Werder Bremen 34 8 8 18 37:60 -23 32
15 FC Köln 34 7 11 16 49:63 -14 32
16 VfL Wolfsburg 34 7 8 19 45:69 -24 29
17 Heidenheim 34 6 8 20 41:72 -31 26
18 St. Pauli 34 6 8 20 29:60 -31 26

Team Form

TSG Hoffenheim hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while FSV Mainz 05 have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

TSG Hoffenheim frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while FSV Mainz 05 are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

TSG Hoffenheim have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

TSG Hoffenheim have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 20 (2 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Both TSG Hoffenheim (70% Over 8.5 at home) and FSV Mainz 05 (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

TSG Hoffenheim have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between TSG Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Nov 2025
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Apr 2025
TSG Hoffenheim
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Dec 2024
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Apr 2024
FSV Mainz 05
4 – 1 HT: 0-1
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Nov 2023
TSG Hoffenheim
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Mar 2023
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Sep 2022
TSG Hoffenheim
4 – 1 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Feb 2022
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Sep 2021
TSG Hoffenheim
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Mar 2021
TSG Hoffenheim
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

TSG Hoffenheim 1.77
Draw 4.1
FSV Mainz 05 5.1

Half Time Result

TSG Hoffenheim 2.3
Draw 2.33
FSV Mainz 05 4.33

Double Chance

TSG Hoffenheim or Draw 1.22
TSG Hoffenheim or FSV Mainz 05 1.25
Draw or FSV Mainz 05 2.09

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.72
No 2.34

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.66
Over 3.5 2.78
Under 1.5 5.2
Under 2.5 2.34
Under 3.5 1.54

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.25

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.21
Over 9.5 1.38
Over 10.5 1.78
Over 11.5 1.9

TSG Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 1.12
Over 1.5 1.66

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 2.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Orlando City II vs Carolina Core 00:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Orlando City II have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Carolina Core have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    83% combined
  • Austin II vs Los Angeles FC 2 01:30 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Austin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Los Angeles FC 2 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    83% combined
  • Stockholm Internazionale vs Vasalund 18:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Stockholm Internazionale have seen over 2.5 goals in 2/5 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    70% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.6
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TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?

Over 8.5 Corners — TSG Hoffenheim see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, TSG Hoffenheim or FSV Mainz 05?

TSG Hoffenheim have a slight form edge at home (60% wins) over FSV Mainz 05 on the road (50% wins) in Bundesliga. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between TSG Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?

Mixed — TSG Hoffenheim have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Bundesliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between TSG Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?

Uncertain — TSG Hoffenheim have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 50% of away games in Bundesliga. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: TSG Hoffenheim or FSV Mainz 05?

TSG Hoffenheim have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to FSV Mainz 05's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between TSG Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?

Yes — both TSG Hoffenheim (70% Over 8.5 at home) and FSV Mainz 05 (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Bundesliga. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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