TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Bundesliga, Germany
🕒 Saturday 4th April, 14:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

TSG Hoffenheim have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 8/10 home matches (80%). FSV Mainz 05 have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

TSG Hoffenheim consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both TSG Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05 frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — TSG Hoffenheim have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

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League Table

The full Bundesliga table for the 2025/2026 season, with TSG Hoffenheim (5th) and FSV Mainz 05 (11th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Bundesliga 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 27 22 4 1 97:25 +72 70
2 Borussia Dortmund 27 18 7 2 58:28 +30 61
3 VfB Stuttgart 27 16 5 6 56:36 +20 53
4 TSG Hoffenheim H 27 15 5 7 54:39 +15 50
5 RB Leipzig 27 15 5 7 53:35 +18 50
6 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 27 13 7 7 52:36 +16 46
7 Eintracht Frankfurt 27 10 8 9 50:51 -1 38
8 SC Freiburg 27 10 7 10 39:44 -5 37
9 FC Augsburg 27 9 4 14 33:50 -17 31
10 FC Union Berlin 27 8 7 12 31:46 -15 31
11 Hamburger SV 27 7 9 11 31:40 -9 30
12 FSV Mainz 05 A 27 7 9 11 33:42 -9 30
13 Borussia Mönchengladbach 27 7 8 12 33:46 -13 29
14 Werder Bremen 27 7 7 13 30:47 -17 28
15 FC Köln 27 6 8 13 38:47 -9 26
16 St. Pauli 27 6 6 15 24:44 -20 24
17 VfL Wolfsburg 27 5 6 16 35:57 -22 21
18 Heidenheim 27 3 6 18 27:61 -34 15

Team Form

TSG Hoffenheim have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to FSV Mainz 05's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

TSG Hoffenheim have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

TSG Hoffenheim frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

TSG Hoffenheim have scored 2+ goals in 70% of home games this season, FSV Mainz 05 in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 26 (2.6 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

TSG Hoffenheim regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

TSG Hoffenheim have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

FSV Mainz 05 have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

TSG Hoffenheim (Home Form) FSV Mainz 05 (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between TSG Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

21 Nov 2025
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Apr 2025
TSG Hoffenheim
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Dec 2024
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Apr 2024
FSV Mainz 05
4 – 1 HT: 0-1
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Nov 2023
TSG Hoffenheim
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Mar 2023
FSV Mainz 05
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Sep 2022
TSG Hoffenheim
4 – 1 HT: 0-0
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Feb 2022
FSV Mainz 05
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
TSG Hoffenheim
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Sep 2021
TSG Hoffenheim
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Mar 2021
TSG Hoffenheim
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
FSV Mainz 05
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

TSG Hoffenheim 1.7
Draw 4.24
FSV Mainz 05 4.75

Half Time Result

TSG Hoffenheim 2.22
Draw 2.61
FSV Mainz 05 4.78

Double Chance

TSG Hoffenheim or Draw 1.18
TSG Hoffenheim or FSV Mainz 05 1.26
Draw or FSV Mainz 05 2.16

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.63
No 2.37

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.16
Over 2.5 1.58
Over 3.5 2.48
Under 1.5 5.9
Under 2.5 2.62
Under 3.5 1.64

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.27
Over 1.5 2.32

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.36
Over 9.5 1.39
Over 10.5 1.52
Over 11.5 1.9

TSG Hoffenheim Goals

Over 0.5 1.11
Over 1.5 1.61

FSV Mainz 05 Goals

Over 0.5 1.37
Over 1.5 2.86

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki vs MLKS Victoria Sulejówek 18:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · MLKS Victoria Sulejówek have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • Tolka Rovers vs UCD II 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Tolka Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    89% combined
  • Sparta Praha II W vs Pardubice W 17:00 BST | 2. Liga Women, Czech Republic Sparta Praha II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Pardubice W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    87% combined
  • Charlton Athletic U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    87% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.87
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TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05 Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for TSG Hoffenheim vs FSV Mainz 05?

Over 2.5 Goals — TSG Hoffenheim have seen 3+ goals in 70% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

Which team is likely to win, TSG Hoffenheim or FSV Mainz 05?

TSG Hoffenheim hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Bundesliga this season, while FSV Mainz 05 have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between TSG Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?

Mixed — TSG Hoffenheim have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, FSV Mainz 05 in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Bundesliga fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between TSG Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?

Possibly — TSG Hoffenheim frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: TSG Hoffenheim or FSV Mainz 05?

TSG Hoffenheim have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 70% of home games compared to FSV Mainz 05's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between TSG Hoffenheim and FSV Mainz 05?

Possibly — TSG Hoffenheim regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while FSV Mainz 05 are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Match Stats

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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