Tulsa Roughnecks vs Lexington — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 USL Championship, United States
🕒 Sunday 5th October, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Tulsa Roughnecks hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Lexington are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Tulsa Roughnecks at 40% at home and Lexington at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Tulsa Roughnecks at 20% at home and Lexington at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Tulsa Roughnecks have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Lexington in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full USL Championship table for the 2025 season, with Tulsa Roughnecks (1st) and Lexington (6th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

USL Championship 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Louisville City 26 19 5 2 48:17 +31 62
2 Tulsa Roughnecks H 30 17 10 3 54:27 +27 61
3 Charleston Battery 26 16 6 4 54:26 +28 54
4 Pittsburgh Riverhounds 30 12 10 8 29:23 +6 46
5 Hartford Athletic 27 13 6 8 47:29 +18 45
6 Sacramento Republic 26 12 8 6 38:20 +18 44
7 New Mexico United 29 12 6 11 42:44 -2 42
8 North Carolina FC 26 12 4 10 34:34 0 40
9 Phoenix Rising 26 9 11 6 38:35 +3 38
10 Rhode Island 30 10 8 12 26:25 +1 38
11 Orange County 27 8 9 10 37:38 -1 33
12 El Paso Locomotive 25 8 9 8 36:34 +2 33
13 Colorado Springs 26 9 5 12 26:38 -12 32
14 Tampa Bay Rowdies 25 8 7 10 39:43 -4 31
15 Lexington A 24 8 6 10 23:34 -11 30
16 Indy Eleven 26 9 3 14 36:45 -9 30
17 Detroit City 26 7 9 10 25:28 -3 30
18 San Antonio 25 7 7 11 29:33 -4 28
19 Oakland Roots 24 7 7 10 35:39 -4 28
20 Miami FC II 25 7 6 12 25:35 -10 27
21 Loudoun United 25 7 6 12 34:44 -10 27
22 Birmingham Legion 25 4 10 11 29:41 -12 22
23 Las Vegas Lights 25 4 7 14 19:47 -28 19
24 Monterey Bay 24 3 7 14 16:40 -24 16

Team Form

Tulsa Roughnecks hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Lexington have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tulsa Roughnecks (20% BTTS at home) and Lexington (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Tulsa Roughnecks have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Lexington in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Tulsa Roughnecks have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Lexington in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 15 (1.5 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 4 (0.4 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both Tulsa Roughnecks (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Lexington (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Tulsa Roughnecks have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Lexington have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Tulsa Roughnecks (Home Form) Lexington (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tulsa Roughnecks and Lexington. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

18th May, 2025
Lexington
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Tulsa Roughnecks
Corners 3–6 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Lexington across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tulsa Roughnecks 2.08
Draw 3.65
Lexington 3.8

Half Time Result

Tulsa Roughnecks 2.59
Draw 2.26
Lexington 4.36

Double Chance

Tulsa Roughnecks or Draw 1.28
Tulsa Roughnecks or Lexington 1.27
Draw or Lexington 1.79

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.85
No 1.95

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.3
Over 2.5 1.92
Over 3.5 3.37
Under 1.5 3.46
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 3.5 1.32

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.93

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.25
Over 9.5 1.52
Over 10.5 2.37
Over 11.5 2.51

Tulsa Roughnecks Goals

Over 0.5 1.16
Over 1.5 2.02

Lexington Goals

Over 0.5 1.47
Over 1.5 3.04

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Tulsa Roughnecks vs Lexington Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tulsa Roughnecks vs Lexington?

Under 3.5 Goals — Tulsa Roughnecks have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Lexington in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Tulsa Roughnecks or Lexington?

Tulsa Roughnecks hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in USL Championship this season, while Lexington have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Tulsa Roughnecks and Lexington?

Unlikely — Tulsa Roughnecks (20% BTTS at home) and Lexington (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in USL Championship. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tulsa Roughnecks and Lexington?

Uncertain — Tulsa Roughnecks have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Lexington in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tulsa Roughnecks or Lexington?

Tulsa Roughnecks have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Lexington's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tulsa Roughnecks and Lexington?

Tulsa Roughnecks have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Lexington in 40% of away games in USL Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Match Stats

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