Tusker vs Gor Mahia Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Tuesday 14th April, 14:15 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Tusker sit 10th in the table after 23 games, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per home match this season. Gor Mahia are 1st after 23 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 0.6 conceded on the road. Gor Mahia carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Tusker have won 5/10 at home (50%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Tusker have seen 3+ goals in only 0% of home fixtures; Gor Mahia in 40% away. Tusker average 0.9 scored and 0.3 conceded at home, Gor Mahia 1.3 and 0.6 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Tusker at 20% in home games (2/10), Gor Mahia at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Tusker see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Gor Mahia in 20% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Gor Mahia in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tusker (10th) and Gor Mahia (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia A 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker H 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Gor Mahia have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Tusker have been less dominant at home (50%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tusker have seen both teams score in 20% of home games, Gor Mahia in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Gor Mahia in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Tusker have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Gor Mahia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 3 (0.3 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)

Match Corners

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Gor Mahia in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Tusker have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Gor Mahia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Tusker and Gor Mahia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

22 Nov 2025
Gor Mahia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Feb 2025
Gor Mahia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Jan 2025
Tusker
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Jan 2024
Gor Mahia
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Oct 2023
Tusker
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 May 2023
Tusker
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Feb 2023
Gor Mahia
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Apr 2022
Gor Mahia
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Tusker
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Apr 2022
Tusker
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 Jul 2021
Tusker
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tusker vs Gor Mahia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tusker 4.6
Draw 3.3
Gor Mahia 1.95

Half Time Result

Tusker 5
Draw 1.87
Gor Mahia 2.67

Double Chance

Tusker or Draw 1.68
Tusker or Gor Mahia 1.28
Draw or Gor Mahia 1.18

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.26
No 1.73

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.51
Over 2.5 2.66
Over 3.5 5.05
Under 1.5 2.37
Under 2.5 1.55
Under 3.5 1.1

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.56
Over 1.5 3.4

Tusker Goals

Over 0.5 1.68
Over 1.5 4.15

Gor Mahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.45

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Tusker vs Gor Mahia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Gor Mahia?

Under 2.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Gor Mahia in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Tusker or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia hold a slight form advantage away (60% wins) over Tusker at home (50% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Tusker and Gor Mahia?

Mixed — Tusker have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Gor Mahia in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tusker and Gor Mahia?

Uncertain — Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Gor Mahia in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tusker or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Tusker's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tusker and Gor Mahia?

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Gor Mahia in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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