Tusker vs Gor Mahia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Thursday 2nd April, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Gor Mahia have a clear advantage in away form this season (6/10, 60%), while Tusker are less dominant at home (4/10, 40%). The visitors may have the edge — see our Away Win stats.

Gor Mahia tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (90%), while Tusker are lower (70%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Gor Mahia regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tusker are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Gor Mahia regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (80%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Gor Mahia in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tusker (9th) and Gor Mahia (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia A 25 17 5 3 44:18 +26 56
2 Leopards 25 14 7 4 33:18 +15 49
3 Shabana 25 11 7 7 30:27 +3 40
4 Police 25 10 10 5 22:17 +5 40
5 Homeboyz 24 10 9 5 35:26 +9 39
6 Murang'a SEAL 25 10 8 7 33:28 +5 38
7 Tusker H 25 11 4 10 23:25 -2 37
8 Bandari 25 7 13 5 20:18 +2 34
9 KCB 25 9 7 9 25:27 -2 34
10 Nairobi United 22 9 6 7 27:22 +5 33
11 Posta Rangers 25 7 10 8 23:29 -6 31
12 Mathare United 25 8 6 11 22:24 -2 30
13 Mara Sugar 24 6 12 6 23:23 0 30
14 Kariobangi Sharks 25 5 10 10 18:28 -10 25
15 Ulinzi Stars 25 5 7 13 23:30 -7 22
16 Bidco United 25 4 10 11 16:28 -12 22
17 APS Bomet 24 3 9 12 22:32 -10 18
18 Sofapaka 25 3 6 16 15:34 -19 15

Team Form

Gor Mahia have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Tusker have been less dominant at home (40%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Gor Mahia regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Tusker are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Gor Mahia in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Tusker have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Gor Mahia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 12 (1.2 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Gor Mahia in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Tusker have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Gor Mahia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Hradec Kralove W vs Prague Raptors W 11:30 BST Hradec Kralove W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Prague Raptors W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    100% combined
  • Milutinac W vs Radnički 1923 W 12:30 BST Milutinac W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Radnički 1923 W have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Szeged-Csanád II vs Tiszaföldvár 10:00 BST Szeged-Csanád II have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Tiszaföldvár have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Wolfsburg W vs Union Berlin W 15:00 BST Wolfsburg W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    90% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.15
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Tusker vs Gor Mahia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Gor Mahia?

Under 3.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, Gor Mahia in 80% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Tusker or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Premier League this season compared to Tusker's 40% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Tusker and Gor Mahia?

Possibly — Gor Mahia regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Tusker are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tusker and Gor Mahia?

Uncertain — Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Gor Mahia in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tusker or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Tusker's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tusker and Gor Mahia?

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Gor Mahia in 60% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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