Tusker vs Homeboyz Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 11:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Tusker sit 7th in the table after 20 games, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per home match this season. Homeboyz are 4th after 19 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 1.2 conceded on the road. Tusker have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Homeboyz have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Tusker have seen 3+ goals in only 0% of home fixtures; Homeboyz in 30% away. Tusker average 0.9 scored and 0.3 conceded at home, Homeboyz 1.3 and 1.2 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Homeboyz regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). Tusker are lower at home (20%, 2/10) — they've conceded in 30% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Tusker see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Homeboyz in 40% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Homeboyz in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tusker (7th) and Homeboyz (4th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz A 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker H 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Homeboyz have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Tusker have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Lost 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Homeboyz regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Tusker are lower at home (20%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Tusker (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Homeboyz (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Tusker have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Homeboyz in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 3 (0.3 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)

Match Corners

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Homeboyz in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Tusker have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Homeboyz have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Homeboyz (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tusker vs Homeboyz across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tusker 3.03
Draw 2.53
Homeboyz 2.64

Half Time Result

Tusker 3.8
Draw 1.75
Homeboyz 3.4

Double Chance

Tusker or Draw 1.4
Tusker or Homeboyz 1.39
Draw or Homeboyz 1.28

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.4
No 1.44

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.77
Over 2.5 3.14
Over 3.5 6.5
Under 1.5 1.97
Under 2.5 1.36
Under 3.5 1.05

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.74
Over 1.5 4.2

Tusker Goals

Over 0.5 1.6
Over 1.5 4.05

Homeboyz Goals

Over 0.5 1.54
Over 1.5 3.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Tusker vs Homeboyz Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Homeboyz?

Under 2.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Homeboyz in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Tusker or Homeboyz?

Tusker have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Homeboyz on the road (20% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Tusker and Homeboyz?

Mixed — Tusker have seen BTTS in 20% of home games, Homeboyz in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tusker and Homeboyz?

Unlikely — Tusker (0% Over 2.5 at home) and Homeboyz (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tusker or Homeboyz?

Homeboyz have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Tusker's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tusker and Homeboyz?

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Homeboyz in 40% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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