Tusker vs Sofapaka — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 12:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Tusker (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Sofapaka on the road (0% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Tusker at 40% at home and Sofapaka at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Tusker at 40% at home and Sofapaka at 10% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Sofapaka regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (70%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Sofapaka in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tusker (th) and Sofapaka (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 26 17 6 3 44:18 +26 57
2 Leopards 27 16 7 4 36:18 +18 55
3 Homeboyz 27 12 10 5 42:28 +14 46
4 Shabana 27 12 7 8 31:30 +1 43
5 Police 26 11 10 5 23:17 +6 43
6 KCB 27 11 7 9 27:27 0 40
7 Bandari 27 8 14 5 21:18 +3 38
8 Murang'a SEAL 27 10 8 9 33:31 +2 38
9 Nairobi United 25 10 8 7 33:25 +8 38
10 Tusker H 26 11 4 11 23:26 -3 37
11 Mara Sugar 27 7 13 7 25:25 0 34
12 Posta Rangers 27 7 10 10 23:32 -9 31
13 Mathare United 26 8 6 12 22:27 -5 30
14 Kariobangi Sharks 27 5 11 11 18:29 -11 26
15 Ulinzi Stars 27 6 7 14 25:31 -6 25
16 Bidco United 27 4 10 13 16:30 -14 22
17 APS Bomet 25 4 9 12 23:32 -9 21
18 Sofapaka A 27 3 7 17 15:36 -21 16

Team Form

Sofapaka have lost 90% of their away matches this season, while Tusker have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Lost 4 (40%) 9 (90%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tusker (40% BTTS at home) and Sofapaka (10% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Match Goals

Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Sofapaka in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Tusker have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Sofapaka in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 10 (1 avg) 1 (0.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Sofapaka in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Tusker have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Sofapaka have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Tusker vs Sofapaka Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Sofapaka?

Under 2.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 3 goals in 60% of home games, Sofapaka in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Tusker or Sofapaka?

Tusker have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Sofapaka on the road (0% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Tusker and Sofapaka?

Unlikely — Tusker (40% BTTS at home) and Sofapaka (10% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tusker and Sofapaka?

Uncertain — Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Sofapaka in 20% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tusker or Sofapaka?

Sofapaka have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Tusker's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tusker and Sofapaka?

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Sofapaka in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Shabana vs Homeboyz

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Mathare United vs Bidco United

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Leopards vs Police

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Kariobangi Sharks vs Mara Sugar

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 11:00 BST

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Murang'a SEAL vs Nairobi United

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Match Stats

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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