Tusker vs Sofapaka Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 13:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Tusker sit 7th in the table after 25 games, averaging 0.9 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per home match this season. Sofapaka are 18th after 25 games, averaging 0.1 scored and 2.1 conceded on the road. Tusker have won 5/10 home games (50%) this season; Sofapaka have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Tusker have seen 3+ goals in only 0% of home fixtures; Sofapaka in 40% away. Tusker average 0.9 scored and 0.3 conceded at home, Sofapaka 0.1 and 2.1 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Tusker have seen BTTS in only 20% of home games (2/10); Sofapaka in 10% away (1/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — Tusker see 9+ corners in 20% of home games, Sofapaka in 30% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Sofapaka in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Tusker (7th) and Sofapaka (18th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker H 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka A 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Sofapaka have lost 80% of their away matches this season, while Tusker have been more solid at home (10% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 1 (10%) 8 (80%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Tusker (20% BTTS at home) and Sofapaka (10% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Match Goals

Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Sofapaka in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Tusker have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Sofapaka in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 9 (0.9 avg) 1 (0.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 3 (0.3 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Sofapaka in 50% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Tusker have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Sofapaka have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Tusker (Home Form) Sofapaka (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Tusker vs Sofapaka across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Tusker 1.67
Draw 3.1
Sofapaka 5.25

Half Time Result

Tusker 2.2
Draw 1.91
Sofapaka 6.5

Double Chance

Tusker or Draw 1.12
Tusker or Sofapaka 1.32
Draw or Sofapaka 1.95

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.45
No 1.44

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.58
Over 2.5 2.9
Over 3.5 6.1
Under 1.5 2.25
Under 2.5 1.35
Under 3.5 1.08

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.6
Over 1.5 3.65

Tusker Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.25

Sofapaka Goals

Over 0.5 2.07
Over 1.5 5.4

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined

Tusker vs Sofapaka Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Tusker vs Sofapaka?

Under 2.5 Goals — Tusker have stayed under 3 goals in 100% of home games, Sofapaka in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Tusker or Sofapaka?

Tusker have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Sofapaka on the road (0% wins) in Premier League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Tusker and Sofapaka?

Unlikely — Tusker (20% BTTS at home) and Sofapaka (10% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Tusker and Sofapaka?

Uncertain — Tusker have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 0% of home games, Sofapaka in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Tusker or Sofapaka?

Sofapaka have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to Tusker's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Tusker and Sofapaka?

Tusker have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Sofapaka in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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