Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 12:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

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Ulinzi Stars sit 16th in the table after 21 games, averaging 1.7 goals scored and 1.1 conceded per home match this season. Gor Mahia are 1st after 21 games, averaging 1.3 scored and 0.6 conceded on the road. Gor Mahia carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Ulinzi Stars have won 4/10 at home (40%).

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Ulinzi Stars have seen 3+ goals in only 40% of home fixtures; Gor Mahia in 40% away. Ulinzi Stars average 1.7 scored and 1.1 conceded at home, Gor Mahia 1.3 and 0.6 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Ulinzi Stars at 50% in home games (5/10), Gor Mahia at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Ulinzi Stars see 8+ in 70% of home games, Gor Mahia in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Ulinzi Stars (16th) and Gor Mahia (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia A 34 20 9 5 50:22 +28 69
2 Leopards 34 19 7 8 44:28 +16 64
3 Police 34 13 16 5 31:21 +10 55
4 Shabana 34 14 10 10 35:34 +1 52
5 Nairobi United 32 14 10 8 43:32 +11 52
6 Homeboyz 34 12 13 9 47:37 +10 49
7 KCB 34 13 9 12 36:37 -1 48
8 Murang'a SEAL 34 13 8 13 42:42 0 47
9 Tusker 34 13 6 15 27:32 -5 45
10 Bandari 34 9 17 8 26:26 0 44
11 Mara Sugar 34 10 14 10 30:30 0 44
12 Mathare United 34 11 8 15 31:35 -4 41
13 Ulinzi Stars H 34 11 8 15 35:37 -2 41
14 Posta Rangers 34 9 13 12 31:40 -9 40
15 APS Bomet 32 10 10 12 35:34 +1 40
16 Kariobangi Sharks 34 8 14 12 30:33 -3 38
17 Bidco United 34 5 12 17 19:40 -21 27
18 Sofapaka 34 3 10 21 19:51 -32 19

Team Form

Gor Mahia have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Ulinzi Stars have been less dominant at home (40%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Lost 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ulinzi Stars have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Gor Mahia in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Ulinzi Stars have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Gor Mahia in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Ulinzi Stars have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Gor Mahia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.7 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)

Match Corners

Both Ulinzi Stars (70% Over 7.5 at home) and Gor Mahia (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Ulinzi Stars have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Gor Mahia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

02 Nov 2025
Gor Mahia
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Jun 2025
Ulinzi Stars
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Dec 2024
Gor Mahia
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Feb 2024
Gor Mahia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Sep 2023
Ulinzi Stars
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Jun 2023
Gor Mahia
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Feb 2023
Ulinzi Stars
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Mar 2022
Gor Mahia
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2021
Ulinzi Stars
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Jul 2021
Ulinzi Stars
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Ulinzi Stars 5.05
Draw 3.33
Gor Mahia 1.64

Half Time Result

Ulinzi Stars 5
Draw 1.95
Gor Mahia 2.2

Double Chance

Ulinzi Stars or Draw 1.7
Ulinzi Stars or Gor Mahia 1.25
Draw or Gor Mahia 1.22

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.05
No 1.65

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 3.5 4
Under 1.5 2.7
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.17

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3

Ulinzi Stars Goals

Over 0.5 1.74
Over 1.5 4.5

Gor Mahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 2.02

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Ulinzi Stars or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia arrive in the better form — winning 60% of away games in Premier League this season compared to Ulinzi Stars's 40% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia?

Mixed — Ulinzi Stars have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Gor Mahia in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia?

Uncertain — Ulinzi Stars have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Gor Mahia in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ulinzi Stars or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Ulinzi Stars's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia?

Ulinzi Stars have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Gor Mahia in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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