Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Kenya
🕒 Sunday 15th March, 12:30 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Ulinzi Stars (30% home wins) hold a slight edge over Gor Mahia on the road (50% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Ulinzi Stars 90% at home, Gor Mahia 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Both Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (70% and 90%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Ulinzi Stars see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Gor Mahia in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Ulinzi Stars (16th) and Gor Mahia (1st) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Gor Mahia A 27 17 6 4 44:19 +25 57
2 Leopards 28 16 7 5 36:21 +15 55
3 Police 28 12 11 5 26:17 +9 47
4 Homeboyz 28 12 10 6 42:29 +13 46
5 Shabana 28 13 7 8 32:30 +2 46
6 Tusker 28 12 5 11 24:26 -2 41
7 KCB 28 11 7 10 29:30 -1 40
8 Bandari 27 8 14 5 21:18 +3 38
9 Murang'a SEAL 27 10 8 9 33:31 +2 38
10 Nairobi United 25 10 8 7 33:25 +8 38
11 Mara Sugar 28 8 13 7 26:25 +1 37
12 Mathare United 28 9 7 12 25:27 -2 34
13 Posta Rangers 27 7 10 10 23:32 -9 31
14 Ulinzi Stars H 28 7 7 14 28:33 -5 28
15 Kariobangi Sharks 28 5 11 12 18:30 -12 26
16 Bidco United 28 4 10 14 16:33 -17 22
17 APS Bomet 25 4 9 12 23:32 -9 21
18 Sofapaka 28 3 8 17 15:36 -21 17

Team Form

Ulinzi Stars have lost 40% of their home matches this season, while Gor Mahia have been more resilient on the road (10% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Lost 4 (40%) 1 (10%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Ulinzi Stars have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Gor Mahia in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Ulinzi Stars 90% at home, Gor Mahia 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Ulinzi Stars have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Gor Mahia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Gor Mahia frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Ulinzi Stars are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Ulinzi Stars have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Gor Mahia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Ulinzi Stars (Home Form) Gor Mahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

02 Nov 2025
Gor Mahia
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Jun 2025
Ulinzi Stars
2 – 3 HT: 1-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Dec 2024
Gor Mahia
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
10 Feb 2024
Gor Mahia
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Sep 2023
Ulinzi Stars
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Jun 2023
Gor Mahia
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Feb 2023
Ulinzi Stars
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Mar 2022
Gor Mahia
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Ulinzi Stars
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Nov 2021
Ulinzi Stars
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Jul 2021
Ulinzi Stars
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Gor Mahia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Ulinzi Stars 5.05
Draw 3.33
Gor Mahia 1.64

Half Time Result

Ulinzi Stars 5
Draw 1.95
Gor Mahia 2.2

Double Chance

Ulinzi Stars or Draw 1.7
Ulinzi Stars or Gor Mahia 1.25
Draw or Gor Mahia 1.22

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.05
No 1.65

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.23
Over 3.5 4
Under 1.5 2.7
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.17

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3

Ulinzi Stars Goals

Over 0.5 1.74
Over 1.5 4.5

Gor Mahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.2
Over 1.5 2.02

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ulinzi Stars vs Gor Mahia?

Over 8.5 Corners — Ulinzi Stars see 9+ corners in 60% of home games, Gor Mahia in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Ulinzi Stars or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Ulinzi Stars at home (30% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia?

Possibly — Gor Mahia regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Ulinzi Stars are lower at home (60%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia?

Uncertain — Ulinzi Stars have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Gor Mahia in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ulinzi Stars or Gor Mahia?

Gor Mahia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Ulinzi Stars's 20% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ulinzi Stars and Gor Mahia?

Possibly — Gor Mahia frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Ulinzi Stars are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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