Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 5th April, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

See Stats Below

Both teams are evenly matched — Universidad Guadalajara have won 40% of home games, Morelia 40% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Morelia tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while Universidad Guadalajara are lower (50%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Morelia regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Universidad Guadalajara are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Universidad Guadalajara regularly reach high corner totals at home (90%), while Morelia are lower on the road (20%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Universidad Guadalajara (15th) and Morelia (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 31 16 9 6 42:30 +12 57
2 Morelia A 29 13 8 8 42:33 +9 47
3 Cancún 27 13 8 6 44:25 +19 47
4 Atlante 27 13 8 6 52:25 +27 47
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos 30 11 11 8 41:28 +13 44
6 Irapuato 31 10 11 10 49:46 +3 41
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 27 10 10 7 44:43 +1 40
8 CA La Paz 25 9 10 6 44:37 +7 37
9 Tapatío 25 9 5 11 43:37 +6 32
10 Universidad Guadalajara H 27 8 8 11 32:42 -10 32
11 Venados 25 8 5 12 49:51 -2 29
12 Tlaxcala 24 7 8 9 26:39 -13 29
13 Alebrijes 25 6 8 11 32:49 -17 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 25 5 7 13 27:53 -26 22
15 Dorados 26 3 6 17 22:51 -29 15

Team Form

Universidad Guadalajara (40% home wins) and Morelia (40% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Morelia regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Universidad Guadalajara are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Universidad Guadalajara have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Universidad Guadalajara have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Morelia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Universidad Guadalajara regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while Morelia are lower on the road (20%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners 10 (100%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 9 (90%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Universidad Guadalajara have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Morelia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 10 (100%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Universidad Guadalajara 2.32
Draw 3.35
Morelia 2.83

Half Time Result

Universidad Guadalajara 2.62
Draw 2.18
Morelia 3.4

Double Chance

Universidad Guadalajara or Draw 1.35
Universidad Guadalajara or Morelia 1.25
Draw or Morelia 1.52

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.72
No 2.02

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 3.1
Under 1.5 3.4
Under 2.5 1.95
Under 3.5 1.34

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14
Over 9.5 1.35
Over 10.5 1.98
Over 11.5 2.1

Universidad Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.12

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.57

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki vs MLKS Victoria Sulejówek 18:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · MLKS Victoria Sulejówek have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • Tolka Rovers vs UCD II 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Tolka Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    89% combined
  • Charlton Athletic U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    87% combined
  • Sparta Praha II W vs Pardubice W 17:00 BST | 2. Liga Women, Czech Republic Sparta Praha II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Pardubice W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    87% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.87
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Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats above to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Universidad Guadalajara or Morelia?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Universidad Guadalajara have won 40% of home games, Morelia 40% away in Liga de Expansión MX. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Universidad Guadalajara and Morelia?

Mixed — Universidad Guadalajara have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Morelia in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Universidad Guadalajara and Morelia?

Uncertain — Universidad Guadalajara have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Universidad Guadalajara or Morelia?

Morelia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Universidad Guadalajara's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Universidad Guadalajara and Morelia?

Possibly — Universidad Guadalajara regularly reach high corner counts at home (100%), while Morelia are lower on the road (20%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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