Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia Football Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 5th April, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Universidad Guadalajara sit 15th in the table after 25 games, averaging 1.1 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Morelia are 2nd after 27 games, averaging 0.9 scored and 1.3 conceded on the road. Universidad Guadalajara have won 4/10 home games (40%) this season; Morelia have won 2/10 on the road (20%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Universidad Guadalajara have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Morelia in 40% away. Universidad Guadalajara average 1.1 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Morelia 0.9 and 1.3 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Universidad Guadalajara at 40% in home games (4/10), Morelia at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Universidad Guadalajara regularly generate high corner counts at home (10+ corners in 80% of fixtures, 8/10). Morelia are lower on the road (40%). The home side's attacking style tends to produce set-piece volume regardless of the opponent.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Universidad Guadalajara have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Morelia in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Universidad Guadalajara (15th) and Morelia (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 41 21 12 8 54:39 +15 75
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 39 15 15 9 52:34 +18 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia A 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara H 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Morelia have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Universidad Guadalajara have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Universidad Guadalajara have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Universidad Guadalajara have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Universidad Guadalajara have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Morelia in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Universidad Guadalajara regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Morelia are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Universidad Guadalajara have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Morelia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Morelia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Universidad Guadalajara and Morelia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

26 Oct 2025
Morelia
2 – 3 HT: 2-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 May 2025
Universidad Guadalajara
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 May 2025
Morelia
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Mar 2025
Universidad Guadalajara
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Oct 2024
Morelia
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 Apr 2024
Morelia
0 – 2 HT: 0-2
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Nov 2023
Universidad Guadalajara
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16 Nov 2023
Morelia
2 – 1 HT: 2-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Sep 2023
Universidad Guadalajara
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Mar 2023
Universidad Guadalajara
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Morelia
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Universidad Guadalajara 2.7
Draw 3.65
Morelia 2.45

Half Time Result

Universidad Guadalajara 2.75
Draw 2.3
Morelia 3.25

Double Chance

Universidad Guadalajara or Draw 1.45
Universidad Guadalajara or Morelia 1.3
Draw or Morelia 1.53

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.73
No 1.96

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.23
Over 2.5 1.9
Over 3.5 2.85
Under 1.5 3.75
Under 2.5 1.78
Under 3.5 1.28

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.43
Over 10.5 1.98
Over 11.5 2.09

Universidad Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.25

Morelia Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Universidad Guadalajara vs Morelia?

Under 2.5 Goals — Universidad Guadalajara have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Morelia in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Universidad Guadalajara or Morelia?

Universidad Guadalajara have a slight form edge at home (40% wins) over Morelia on the road (20% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Universidad Guadalajara and Morelia?

Mixed — Universidad Guadalajara have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Morelia in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Universidad Guadalajara and Morelia?

Uncertain — Universidad Guadalajara have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Morelia in 40% of away games in Liga de Expansión MX. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Universidad Guadalajara or Morelia?

Morelia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Universidad Guadalajara's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Universidad Guadalajara and Morelia?

Possibly — Universidad Guadalajara regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Morelia are lower on the road (40%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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