Universidad Guadalajara vs Tepatitlán de Morelos — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico
🕒 Sunday 15th February, 18:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Universidad Guadalajara (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Tepatitlán de Morelos on the road (10% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Universidad Guadalajara at 20% at home and Tepatitlán de Morelos at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Universidad Guadalajara 30% at home, Tepatitlán de Morelos 50% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Universidad Guadalajara regularly reach high corner totals at home (90%), while Tepatitlán de Morelos are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Universidad Guadalajara have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Universidad Guadalajara (13th) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 33 17 10 6 45:32 +13 61
2 Cancún 29 15 8 6 49:27 +22 53
3 Atlante 29 14 8 7 56:28 +28 50
4 Morelia 31 13 9 9 42:35 +7 48
5 Tepatitlán de Morelos A 32 12 12 8 44:29 +15 48
6 Irapuato 33 12 11 10 54:48 +6 47
7 Mineros de Zacatecas 28 10 10 8 45:46 -1 40
8 CA La Paz 27 9 11 7 46:41 +5 38
9 Tapatío 27 10 5 12 47:39 +8 35
10 Universidad Guadalajara H 29 9 8 12 35:44 -9 35
11 Venados 27 9 6 12 52:53 -1 33
12 Tlaxcala 27 8 9 10 28:42 -14 33
13 Alebrijes 27 6 8 13 33:53 -20 26
14 Correcaminos UAT 26 5 7 14 28:56 -28 22
15 Dorados 27 3 6 18 22:53 -31 15

Team Form

Tepatitlán de Morelos have lost 30% of their away matches this season, while Universidad Guadalajara have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Universidad Guadalajara have seen both teams score in 30% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Universidad Guadalajara (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Universidad Guadalajara have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 6 (0.6 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Universidad Guadalajara (100% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Universidad Guadalajara have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Tepatitlán de Morelos have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Universidad Guadalajara (Home Form) Tepatitlán de Morelos (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 10 (100%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Universidad Guadalajara and Tepatitlán de Morelos. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

07 Sep 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27 Apr 2025
Universidad Guadalajara
2 – 1 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Apr 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Mar 2025
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15 Sep 2024
Universidad Guadalajara
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Apr 2024
Universidad Guadalajara
3 – 2 HT: 3-1
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Aug 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28 Apr 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
19 Feb 2023
Tepatitlán de Morelos
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Universidad Guadalajara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Jul 2022
Universidad Guadalajara
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Tepatitlán de Morelos
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Universidad Guadalajara vs Tepatitlán de Morelos across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Universidad Guadalajara 2.6
Draw 3.22
Tepatitlán de Morelos 2.65

Half Time Result

Universidad Guadalajara 3.2
Draw 2.28
Tepatitlán de Morelos 3.2

Double Chance

Universidad Guadalajara or Draw 1.4
Universidad Guadalajara or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.27
Draw or Tepatitlán de Morelos 1.38

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.55
No 2.25

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.5 1.85
Over 3.5 2.75
Under 1.5 3.85
Under 2.5 1.98
Under 3.5 1.38

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.43

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.13
Over 9.5 1.33
Over 10.5 1.9
Over 11.5 2.06

Universidad Guadalajara Goals

Over 0.5 1.27
Over 1.5 2.08

Tepatitlán de Morelos Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Newcastle United U21 vs Wolves U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Newcastle United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Wolves U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Universidad Guadalajara vs Tepatitlán de Morelos Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Universidad Guadalajara vs Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Under 2.5 Goals — Universidad Guadalajara have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Universidad Guadalajara or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Universidad Guadalajara have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Tepatitlán de Morelos on the road (10% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Universidad Guadalajara and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Mixed — Universidad Guadalajara have seen BTTS in 30% of home games, Tepatitlán de Morelos in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga de Expansión MX fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Universidad Guadalajara and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Unlikely — Universidad Guadalajara (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Universidad Guadalajara or Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Universidad Guadalajara have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Tepatitlán de Morelos's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Universidad Guadalajara and Tepatitlán de Morelos?

Yes — both Universidad Guadalajara (100% Over 8.5 at home) and Tepatitlán de Morelos (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga de Expansión MX. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

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📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 00:00 BST

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Correcaminos UAT vs Alebrijes

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🕒 Saturday 18th April, 02:00 BST

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Tlaxcala vs Venados

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Irapuato vs Mineros de Zacatecas

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:00 BST

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Universidad Guadalajara vs Cancún

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 19:00 BST

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Jaiba Brava vs Morelia

📍 Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico

🕒 Monday 20th April, 00:00 BST

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