UPDF vs Kitara — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Uganda
🕒 Friday 6th March, 13:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

UPDF (20% home wins) hold a slight edge over Kitara on the road (50% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — UPDF at 20% at home and Kitara at 20% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — UPDF at 30% at home and Kitara at 30% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — UPDF have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Kitara in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with UPDF (15th) and Kitara (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vipers 22 15 7 0 43:12 +31 52
2 KCCA 23 15 3 5 35:18 +17 48
3 Kitara A 22 13 5 4 31:14 +17 44
4 SC Villa 22 12 6 4 30:12 +18 42
5 NEC 23 10 10 3 25:16 +9 40
6 Entebbe UPPC 23 11 7 5 21:15 +6 40
7 Police 23 11 5 7 34:27 +7 38
8 BUL 23 8 7 8 25:22 +3 31
9 Express FC 23 7 8 8 22:23 -1 29
10 Maroons 23 7 8 8 18:16 +2 29
11 URA 23 4 11 8 19:24 -5 23
12 Lugazi Municipal 23 4 8 11 16:31 -15 20
13 UPDF H 23 4 5 14 17:31 -14 17
14 Mbarara City 23 3 7 13 17:36 -19 16
15 Buhimba United Saints 23 4 3 16 16:48 -32 15
16 Calvary 22 1 6 15 9:33 -24 9

Team Form

UPDF have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Kitara have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

UPDF (30% BTTS at home) and Kitara (30% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

UPDF (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Kitara (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Under 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

UPDF have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Kitara in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 7 (0.7 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)

Match Corners

UPDF (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Kitara (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

UPDF have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Kitara have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between UPDF and Kitara. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

07 Jan 2026
Kitara
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
UPDF
13 Feb 2025
UPDF
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Kitara
22 Nov 2024
Kitara
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
UPDF
03 Feb 2024
UPDF
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
Kitara
22 Sep 2023
Kitara
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
UPDF
24 Apr 2021
UPDF
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Kitara
09 Dec 2020
Kitara
1 – 5 HT: 1-3
UPDF

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for UPDF vs Kitara across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

UPDF 4.3
Draw 3.05
Kitara 1.91

Half Time Result

UPDF 5.23
Draw 1.86
Kitara 2.62

Double Chance

UPDF or Draw 1.73
UPDF or Kitara 1.25
Draw or Kitara 1.16

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.12
No 1.72

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.51
Over 2.5 2.52
Over 3.5 5.3
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.51
Under 3.5 1.2

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.55

UPDF Goals

Over 0.5 1.65
Over 1.5 4.3

Kitara Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.32

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined

UPDF vs Kitara Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for UPDF vs Kitara?

Under 2.5 Goals — UPDF have stayed under 3 goals in 80% of home games, Kitara in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, UPDF or Kitara?

Kitara hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over UPDF at home (20% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between UPDF and Kitara?

Unlikely — UPDF (30% BTTS at home) and Kitara (30% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between UPDF and Kitara?

Unlikely — UPDF (20% Over 2.5 at home) and Kitara (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: UPDF or Kitara?

Kitara have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to UPDF's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between UPDF and Kitara?

Unlikely — UPDF (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Kitara (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Premier League.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

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📍 Premier League, Uganda

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BUL vs UPDF

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Police vs URA

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Express FC vs NEC

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Kitara vs Calvary

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🕒 Wednesday 22nd April, 14:00 BST

Lugazi Municipal vs SC Villa

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