UPDF vs Kitara Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Uganda
🕒 Friday 6th March, 13:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

UPDF sit 15th in the table after 16 games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Kitara are 2nd after 15 games, averaging 1 scored and 0.8 conceded on the road. UPDF have won 1/10 home games (10%) this season; Kitara have won 4/10 on the road (40%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. UPDF have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Kitara in 20% away. UPDF average 0.6 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Kitara 1 and 0.8 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — UPDF at 40% in home games (4/10), Kitara at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — UPDF see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Kitara in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — UPDF have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Kitara in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with UPDF (15th) and Kitara (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vipers 29 19 10 0 55:14 +41 67
2 KCCA 30 19 5 6 46:22 +24 62
3 SC Villa 29 17 7 5 44:17 +27 58
4 Kitara A 29 15 8 6 40:22 +18 53
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 +10 51
6 NEC 29 13 11 5 29:22 +7 50
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 +7 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
11 URA 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
12 Mbarara City 30 6 8 16 26:47 -21 26
13 Lugazi Municipal 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
14 UPDF H 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
15 Calvary 29 4 9 16 14:36 -22 21
16 Buhimba United Saints 29 4 3 22 16:63 -47 15

Team Form

UPDF have lost 50% of their home matches this season, while Kitara have been more resilient on the road (20% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Lost 5 (50%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

UPDF have seen both teams score in 40% of home games, Kitara in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

UPDF (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Kitara (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

UPDF have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Kitara in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

UPDF (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Kitara (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

UPDF have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Kitara have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

UPDF (Home Form) Kitara (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between UPDF and Kitara. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

07 Jan 2026
Kitara
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13 Feb 2025
UPDF
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Kitara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Nov 2024
Kitara
4 – 0 HT: 3-0
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Feb 2024
UPDF
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
Kitara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
22 Sep 2023
Kitara
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Apr 2021
UPDF
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Kitara
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Dec 2020
Kitara
1 – 5 HT: 1-3
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for UPDF vs Kitara across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

UPDF 4.3
Draw 3.05
Kitara 1.91

Half Time Result

UPDF 5.23
Draw 1.86
Kitara 2.62

Double Chance

UPDF or Draw 1.73
UPDF or Kitara 1.25
Draw or Kitara 1.16

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.12
No 1.72

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.51
Over 2.5 2.52
Over 3.5 5.3
Under 1.5 2.38
Under 2.5 1.51
Under 3.5 1.2

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.55

UPDF Goals

Over 0.5 1.65
Over 1.5 4.3

Kitara Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.32

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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UPDF vs Kitara Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for UPDF vs Kitara?

Under 2.5 Goals — UPDF have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Kitara in 80% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, UPDF or Kitara?

Kitara hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over UPDF at home (10% wins) in Premier League. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between UPDF and Kitara?

Mixed — UPDF have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Kitara in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between UPDF and Kitara?

Unlikely — UPDF (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Kitara (20% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: UPDF or Kitara?

UPDF have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Kitara's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between UPDF and Kitara?

Unlikely — UPDF (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Kitara (20% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Premier League.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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