UPDF vs Mbarara City — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Premier League, Uganda
🕒 Thursday 9th April, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Both teams are evenly matched — UPDF have won 10% of home games, Mbarara City 10% of away games. A tight encounter is likely — see our Draw stats.

Mbarara City tend to be involved in matches with 2+ goals away from home (80%), while UPDF are lower (50%). Expect goals on the night, supporting Over 1.5 Goals.

Mbarara City regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while UPDF are lower at home (40%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — UPDF have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mbarara City in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with UPDF (th) and Mbarara City (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vipers 20 15 5 0 42:11 +31 50
2 KCCA 21 14 3 4 34:17 +17 45
3 Kitara 20 13 4 3 31:13 +18 43
4 SC Villa 20 11 5 4 28:11 +17 38
5 Entebbe UPPC 21 10 6 5 18:13 +5 36
6 Police 21 10 5 6 31:23 +8 35
7 NEC 21 8 10 3 23:16 +7 34
8 BUL 21 8 6 7 24:20 +4 30
9 Maroons 21 6 8 7 17:15 +2 26
10 Express FC 21 5 8 8 18:22 -4 23
11 URA 21 4 10 7 18:22 -4 22
12 Lugazi Municipal 21 4 6 11 15:30 -15 18
13 Mbarara City A 21 3 7 11 15:31 -16 16
14 Buhimba United Saints 21 4 3 14 15:44 -29 15
15 UPDF H 21 3 5 13 14:29 -15 14
16 Calvary 20 0 5 15 7:33 -26 5

Team Form

UPDF (10% home wins) and Mbarara City (10% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mbarara City regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while UPDF are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

UPDF have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Mbarara City in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 10 (100%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

UPDF have scored 2+ goals in 0% of home games this season, Mbarara City in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 21 (2.1 avg)

Match Corners

UPDF (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

UPDF have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Mbarara City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Bristol City U21 vs Huddersfield Town U21 13:00 BST Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Huddersfield Town U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    87% combined
  • Millwall U21 vs Sheffield Wednesday U21 13:30 BST Millwall U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Sheffield Wednesday U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    84% combined
  • Charlton Athletic U21 vs Peterborough United U21 13:00 BST Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Peterborough United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    82% combined
  • Wigan Athletic U21 vs Hull City U21 13:00 BST Wigan Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Hull City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.77
Explore all our tips & stats

UPDF vs Mbarara City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for UPDF vs Mbarara City?

Under 2.5 Goals — UPDF have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mbarara City in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, UPDF or Mbarara City?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — UPDF have won 10% of home games, Mbarara City 10% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between UPDF and Mbarara City?

Mixed — UPDF have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Mbarara City in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between UPDF and Mbarara City?

Uncertain — UPDF have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Mbarara City in 40% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: UPDF or Mbarara City?

Mbarara City have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 0% of away games compared to UPDF's 0% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between UPDF and Mbarara City?

Unlikely — UPDF (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Premier League.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Match Stats

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