UPDF vs Mbarara City Football Stats

📍 Premier League, Uganda
🕒 Thursday 9th April, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

UPDF sit 15th in the table after 21 games, averaging 0.6 goals scored and 0.9 conceded per home match this season. Mbarara City are 13th after 21 games, averaging 0.5 scored and 2 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — UPDF have won 10% of home games, Mbarara City 10% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. UPDF have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Mbarara City in 30% away. UPDF average 0.6 scored and 0.9 conceded at home, Mbarara City 0.5 and 2 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. UPDF have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Mbarara City in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner data is available but trends are mixed — UPDF see 9+ corners in 30% of home games, Mbarara City in 10% away. No strong edge in this market for this fixture.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — UPDF have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mbarara City in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with UPDF (15th) and Mbarara City (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Vipers 29 19 10 0 55:14 +41 67
2 KCCA 30 19 5 6 46:22 +24 62
3 SC Villa 29 17 7 5 44:17 +27 58
4 Kitara 29 15 8 6 40:22 +18 53
5 Entebbe UPPC 30 14 9 7 30:20 +10 51
6 NEC 29 13 11 5 29:22 +7 50
7 Police 30 13 8 9 42:35 +7 47
8 Maroons 30 9 11 10 26:27 -1 38
9 BUL 30 9 10 11 30:33 -3 37
10 Express FC 30 9 10 11 28:31 -3 37
11 URA 30 5 16 9 27:30 -3 31
12 Mbarara City A 30 6 8 16 26:47 -21 26
13 Lugazi Municipal 30 5 10 15 19:36 -17 25
14 UPDF H 30 5 7 18 24:41 -17 22
15 Calvary 29 4 9 16 14:36 -22 21
16 Buhimba United Saints 29 4 3 22 16:63 -47 15

Team Form

UPDF (10% home wins) and Mbarara City (10% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Lost 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

UPDF (40% BTTS at home) and Mbarara City (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

UPDF (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

UPDF have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Mbarara City in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 6 (0.6 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

UPDF (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

UPDF have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Mbarara City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

UPDF (Home Form) Mbarara City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between UPDF and Mbarara City. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

03 Oct 2025
Mbarara City
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Feb 2025
Mbarara City
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2024
UPDF
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Mbarara City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Apr 2024
Mbarara City
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Dec 2023
UPDF
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Mbarara City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 May 2022
Mbarara City
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Nov 2021
UPDF
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mbarara City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Feb 2021
UPDF
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mbarara City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 Mar 2018
UPDF
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Mbarara City
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Nov 2017
Mbarara City
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
UPDF
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for UPDF vs Mbarara City across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

UPDF 1.6
Draw 3.26
Mbarara City 5.55

Half Time Result

UPDF 2.25
Draw 1.92
Mbarara City 6.92

Double Chance

UPDF or Draw 1.07
UPDF or Mbarara City 1.25
Draw or Mbarara City 2.09

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.24
No 1.55

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.38
Over 3.5 3.6
Under 1.5 2.54
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.22

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.51
Over 1.5 3.34

UPDF Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.99

Mbarara City Goals

Over 0.5 1.89
Over 1.5 5.75

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.33
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UPDF vs Mbarara City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for UPDF vs Mbarara City?

Under 2.5 Goals — UPDF have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Mbarara City in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, UPDF or Mbarara City?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — UPDF have won 10% of home games, Mbarara City 10% away in Premier League. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between UPDF and Mbarara City?

Unlikely — UPDF (40% BTTS at home) and Mbarara City (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Premier League. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between UPDF and Mbarara City?

Unlikely — UPDF (30% Over 2.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Premier League. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: UPDF or Mbarara City?

UPDF have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Mbarara City's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between UPDF and Mbarara City?

Unlikely — UPDF (30% Over 8.5 at home) and Mbarara City (30% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Premier League.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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