Varea vs San Marcial — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Tercera - Group 16, Spain
🕒 Sunday 1st March, 11:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Varea to Win

Varea have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 8/10 home matches (80%). San Marcial have struggled on the road, winning only 3/10 away games (30%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Varea 50% Over 2.5 at home, San Marcial 50% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

BTTS trends are mixed for this fixture (Varea 50% at home, San Marcial 30% away). Browse the full Both Teams to Score stats for more context.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Varea to Win — Varea have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while San Marcial have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Tercera - Group 16 table for the 2025/2026 season, with Varea (2nd) and San Marcial (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Tercera - Group 16 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Logroñés II 30 22 8 0 80:21 +59 74
2 Varea H 30 21 5 4 49:23 +26 68
3 Arnedo 30 18 8 4 66:23 +43 62
4 CD Calahorra 30 15 10 5 71:21 +50 55
5 Oyonesa 30 15 6 9 46:38 +8 51
6 Anguiano 30 14 8 8 42:33 +9 50
7 Haro 30 14 6 10 53:44 +9 48
8 Agoncillo 30 13 7 10 53:40 +13 46
9 Vianés 30 10 8 12 35:40 -5 38
10 Yague 30 9 11 10 43:42 +1 38
11 Berceo 30 9 9 12 37:42 -5 36
12 San Marcial A 30 9 7 14 33:52 -19 34
13 CDFC La Calzada 30 9 6 15 36:52 -16 33
14 Comillas 30 9 4 17 26:51 -25 31
15 Pradejon 30 7 8 15 26:45 -19 29
16 Villegas 30 7 5 18 32:60 -28 26
17 Peña Balsamaiso 29 0 11 18 22:70 -48 11
18 Autol 29 2 5 22 17:70 -53 11

Team Form

Varea have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to San Marcial's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 0 (0%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Varea have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, San Marcial in 30% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Varea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, San Marcial in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Varea have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, San Marcial in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Goal Totals

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 18 (1.8 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 23 (2.3 avg)

Match Corners

Varea (20% Over 8.5 at home) and San Marcial (10% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches this season. Set-piece opportunities may be limited.

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 9.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Varea have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

San Marcial have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of away matches.

Corners Won

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Varea (Home Form) San Marcial (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Varea and San Marcial. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19 Oct 2025
San Marcial
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Varea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
07 May 2017
San Marcial
1 – 5 HT: 0-0
Varea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
11 Dec 2016
Varea
4 – 0 HT: 0-0
San Marcial
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
08 May 2016
San Marcial
1 – 3 HT: 0-0
Varea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Dec 2015
Varea
4 – 0 HT: 0-0
San Marcial
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
09 Mar 2014
Varea
3 – 1 HT: 0-0
San Marcial
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Oct 2013
San Marcial
0 – 3 HT: 0-0
Varea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2013
San Marcial
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Varea
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Dec 2012
Varea
5 – 0 HT: 0-0
San Marcial
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Feb 2012
Varea
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
San Marcial
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Varea vs San Marcial across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Varea 1.27
Draw 5.1
San Marcial 7.5

Half Time Result

Varea 1.66
Draw 2.5
San Marcial 9

Double Chance

Varea or Draw 1.05
Varea or San Marcial 1.11
Draw or San Marcial 3.4

Total Goals

Over 2.5 1.7
Under 2.5 2.33

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    76% combined
  • Crystal Palace U21 vs Arsenal U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Crystal Palace U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Arsenal U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    72% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.84
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Varea vs San Marcial Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Varea vs San Marcial?

Varea to Win — they've won 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 home games, while San Marcial have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Varea or San Marcial?

Varea hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Tercera - Group 16 this season, while San Marcial have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Varea and San Marcial?

Mixed — Varea have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, San Marcial in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Tercera - Group 16 fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Varea and San Marcial?

Uncertain — Varea have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, San Marcial in 50% of away games in Tercera - Group 16. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Varea or San Marcial?

Varea have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to San Marcial's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Varea and San Marcial?

Unlikely — Varea (20% Over 8.5 at home) and San Marcial (10% away) have both featured in predominantly low-corner matches in Tercera - Group 16.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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All Stats

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Villegas vs San Marcial

📍 Tercera - Group 16, Spain

🕒 Saturday 18th April, 17:30 BST

Match Stats

CD Calahorra vs Arnedo

📍 Tercera - Group 16, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Oyonesa vs Berceo

📍 Tercera - Group 16, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Pradejon vs Autol

📍 Tercera - Group 16, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Comillas vs Vianés

📍 Tercera - Group 16, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Agoncillo vs CDFC La Calzada

📍 Tercera - Group 16, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Anguiano vs Peña Balsamaiso

📍 Tercera - Group 16, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

Haro vs Varea

📍 Tercera - Group 16, Spain

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 01:00 BST

Match Stats

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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