Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Saturday 18th April, 22:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Vasco da Gama (40% home wins) hold a slight edge over São Paulo on the road (50% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Both sides have rarely seen 3+ goals this season — Vasco da Gama at 40% at home and São Paulo at 40% away. The numbers lean towards Under 2.5 Goals as the likely outcome.

Both Vasco da Gama and São Paulo frequently see both teams scoring (60% and 60% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

High corner counts are common for both teams (70% and 70%), making Over 9.5 Corners a strong choice. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Vasco da Gama have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, São Paulo in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2026 season, with Vasco da Gama (th) and São Paulo (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Palmeiras 10 8 1 1 21:10 +11 25
2 Fluminense 10 6 2 2 17:11 +6 20
3 São Paulo A 11 6 2 3 15:9 +6 20
4 Bahia 10 6 2 2 15:10 +5 20
5 Athletico PR 11 6 1 4 17:13 +4 19
6 Flamengo 9 5 2 2 16:9 +7 17
7 Coritiba 10 4 3 3 11:10 +1 15
8 Vitória 10 4 2 4 11:14 -3 14
9 Atlético Mineiro 11 4 2 5 14:13 +1 14
10 Bragantino 10 4 2 4 10:10 0 14
11 Vasco da Gama H 11 3 4 4 16:17 -1 13
12 Grêmio 11 3 4 4 14:14 0 13
13 Internacional 11 3 4 4 9:10 -1 13
14 Santos 11 3 4 4 14:16 -2 13
15 Botafogo 9 4 0 5 16:19 -3 12
16 Corinthians 10 2 4 4 8:11 -3 10
17 Chapecoense 10 1 5 4 10:18 -8 8
18 Remo 11 1 5 5 11:18 -7 8
19 Cruzeiro 10 1 4 5 12:20 -8 7
20 Mirassol 10 1 3 6 11:16 -5 6

Team Form

Vasco da Gama have won 40% of home games this season, São Paulo 50% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vasco da Gama have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, São Paulo in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Vasco da Gama have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Vasco da Gama have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, São Paulo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Vasco da Gama (80% Over 8.5 at home) and São Paulo (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Vasco da Gama win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

São Paulo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Vasco da Gama (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Vasco da Gama 2.3
Draw 3.24
São Paulo 3.27

Half Time Result

Vasco da Gama 2.94
Draw 2.05
São Paulo 3.92

Double Chance

Vasco da Gama or Draw 1.35
Vasco da Gama or São Paulo 1.35
Draw or São Paulo 1.62

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.95
No 1.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.2
Over 3.5 3.86
Under 1.5 3
Under 2.5 1.65
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.1

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.22
Over 9.5 1.4
Over 10.5 1.67
Over 11.5 2.06

Vasco da Gama Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.5

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined

Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vasco da Gama vs São Paulo?

Under 3.5 Goals — Vasco da Gama have stayed under 4 goals in 90% of home matches, São Paulo in 100% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Vasco da Gama or São Paulo?

São Paulo hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Vasco da Gama at home (40% wins) in Serie A. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Vasco da Gama and São Paulo?

Mixed — Vasco da Gama have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, São Paulo in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vasco da Gama and São Paulo?

Uncertain — Vasco da Gama have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vasco da Gama or São Paulo?

Vasco da Gama have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to São Paulo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vasco da Gama and São Paulo?

Yes — both Vasco da Gama (80% Over 8.5 at home) and São Paulo (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

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Internacional vs Mirassol

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 15:00 BST

Santos vs Fluminense

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 20:00 BST

Coritiba vs Atlético Mineiro

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 20:00 BST

Bragantino vs Remo

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 19th April, 22:30 BST

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