Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional Football Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Friday 2nd January, 20:45 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Vitória Guimarães to Win

Vitória Guimarães sit 7th in the table after 14 games, averaging 1.6 goals scored and 0.8 conceded per home match this season. Nacional are 13th after 13 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.7 conceded on the road. Vitória Guimarães have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Nacional side who've won 1/10 away (10%).

Vitória Guimarães have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Nacional in 50% away (5/10). Vitória Guimarães average 1.6 scored and 0.8 conceded at home, Nacional 0.8 and 1.7 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Vitória Guimarães at 50% in home games (5/10), Nacional at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Nacional are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (60%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Vitória Guimarães to Win — Vitória Guimarães have won 6/10 home games this season (60%), while Nacional have lost 7/10 away (70%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Vitória Guimarães (7th) and Nacional (13th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães H 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
13 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
14 Nacional A 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
16 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Vitória Guimarães hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Nacional have been less consistent on the road (10%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 7 (70%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vitória Guimarães have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Vitória Guimarães have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Vitória Guimarães have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Nacional in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 8 (0.8 avg) 17 (1.7 avg)

Match Corners

Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away from home (80%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Vitória Guimarães have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Nacional have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), while conceding 6+ corners in 60% of away matches — the home side can expect some set-piece chances.

Corners Won

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Vitória Guimarães (Home Form) Nacional (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 6 (60%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

02 Jan 2026
Vitória Guimarães
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
03 May 2025
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
23 Dec 2024
Vitória SC
2 – 2 HT: 1-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Apr 2021
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Jan 2021
Vitória SC
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
05 May 2019
Vitória SC
2 – 2 HT: 1-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Jan 2019
Nacional
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
31 Mar 2017
Nacional
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Nov 2016
Vitória SC
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Nacional
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Mar 2016
Nacional
3 – 2 HT: 1-2
Vitória SC
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Vitória Guimarães 1.92
Draw 3.2
Nacional 4.33

Half Time Result

Vitória Guimarães 2.6
Draw 2.05
Nacional 4.84

Double Chance

Vitória Guimarães or Draw 1.2
Vitória Guimarães or Nacional 1.35
Draw or Nacional 1.91

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.96
No 1.88

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.4
Over 2.5 2.26
Over 3.5 4.11
Under 1.5 3.04
Under 2.5 1.69
Under 3.5 1.25

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.33

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.23
Over 9.5 1.42
Over 10.5 1.9
Over 11.5 2.04

Vitória Guimarães Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.18

Nacional Goals

Over 0.5 1.63
Over 1.5 4.06

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vitória Guimarães vs Nacional?

Vitória Guimarães to Win — they've won 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 home games, while Nacional have lost 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Vitória Guimarães or Nacional?

Vitória Guimarães hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Liga Portugal this season, while Nacional have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional?

Mixed — Vitória Guimarães have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional?

Uncertain — Vitória Guimarães have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Nacional in 50% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vitória Guimarães or Nacional?

Vitória Guimarães have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Nacional's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vitória Guimarães and Nacional?

Possibly — Nacional frequently reach high corner counts away (80%), while Vitória Guimarães are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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