Vitória vs São Paulo Football Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Sunday 7th December, 19:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Vitória to Win

Vitória sit 17th in the table after 33 games, averaging 2.5 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. São Paulo are 8th after 33 games, averaging 0.7 scored and 1.4 conceded on the road. The home record backs Vitória strongly — they've won 8/10 home games (80%), while São Paulo have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); São Paulo in 40% away (4/10). Vitória average 2.5 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, São Paulo 0.7 and 1.4 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Vitória at 50% in home games (5/10), São Paulo at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

São Paulo are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 70% of away fixtures, 7/10). Vitória are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Our Prediction: Vitória to Win — Vitória have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while São Paulo have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Vitória (17th) and São Paulo (8th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 28 17 7 4 59:23 +36 58
2 Palmeiras 28 16 6 6 55:27 +28 54
3 Mirassol 28 15 8 5 47:27 +20 53
4 Botafogo 29 14 9 6 48:33 +15 51
5 Cruzeiro 28 13 11 4 40:24 +16 50
6 Fluminense 28 14 5 9 37:27 +10 47
7 Bahia 28 13 6 9 41:36 +5 45
8 São Paulo A 28 12 3 13 35:38 -3 39
9 Santos 28 10 9 9 37:39 -2 39
10 Grêmio 28 10 7 11 38:36 +2 37
11 Vitória H 28 9 9 10 25:38 -13 36
12 Vasco da Gama 28 10 5 13 44:47 -3 35
13 Atlético Mineiro 28 9 7 12 33:34 -1 34
14 Fortaleza 28 9 6 13 33:48 -15 33
15 Corinthians 28 8 9 11 30:33 -3 33
16 Internacional 28 9 6 13 32:43 -11 33
17 Ceará 29 7 7 15 23:33 -10 28
18 Bragantino 28 8 4 16 33:49 -16 28
19 Juventude 28 7 6 15 27:47 -20 27
20 Sport Recife 28 2 8 18 23:58 -35 14

Team Form

Vitória have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to São Paulo's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 1 (10%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vitória have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Vitória have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, São Paulo in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 25 (2.5 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 14 (1.4 avg)

Match Corners

São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Vitória are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)

Team Corners

Vitória have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

São Paulo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Vitória (Home Form) São Paulo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Vitória and São Paulo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

9th Aug, 2025
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Vitória
Corners 4–3 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Aug, 2024
São Paulo
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Vitória
Corners 4–3 Cards 0–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th May, 2024
Vitória
1 – 3 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
Corners 3–8 Cards 4–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26th Oct, 2018
Vitória
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
Corners 4–6 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Jun, 2018
São Paulo
3 – 0 HT: 2-0
Vitória
Corners 6–1 Cards 6–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17th Sep, 2017
Vitória
1 – 2 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners 3–8 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Jun, 2017
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vitória
Corners 10–6 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Sep, 2016
Vitória
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
São Paulo
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Jun, 2016
São Paulo
2 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vitória
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Nov, 2014
Vitória
1 – 2 HT: 0-1
São Paulo
Corners – Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Vitória vs São Paulo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Vitória 2.58
Draw 3.35
São Paulo 3.15

Half Time Result

Vitória 3.27
Draw 2.08
São Paulo 3.65

Double Chance

Vitória or Draw 1.36
Vitória or São Paulo 1.38
Draw or São Paulo 1.52

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8
No 2.14

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.38
Over 2.5 2.11
Over 3.5 4.03
Under 1.5 3.56
Under 2.5 1.89
Under 3.5 1.3

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.34

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.3
Over 9.5 1.52
Over 10.5 1.86
Over 11.5 2.35

Vitória Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.7

São Paulo Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.15

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.47
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Vitória vs São Paulo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vitória vs São Paulo?

Vitória to Win — they've won 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 home games, while São Paulo have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Vitória or São Paulo?

Vitória hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Serie A this season, while São Paulo have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Vitória and São Paulo?

Mixed — Vitória have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vitória and São Paulo?

Uncertain — Vitória have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, São Paulo in 40% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vitória or São Paulo?

Vitória have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to São Paulo's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vitória and São Paulo?

Possibly — São Paulo frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Vitória are lower at home (60%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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10 Teams to Win Today

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Grêmio vs Corinthians

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Remo vs São Paulo

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Santos vs Vitória

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Bragantino vs Internacional

📍 Serie A, Brazil

🕒 Sunday 31st May, 15:00 BST

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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