Vélez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central Football Stats

📍 Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina
🕒 Sunday 12th October, 14:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Vélez Sarsfield sit 2nd in the table after 25 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 0.7 conceded per home match this season. Rosario Central are 5th after 27 games, averaging 1.2 scored and 0.9 conceded on the road. The form figures are level — Vélez Sarsfield have won 50% of home games, Rosario Central 50% away. A tight, hard-to-call fixture.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Vélez Sarsfield have seen 3+ goals in only 30% of home fixtures; Rosario Central in 40% away. Vélez Sarsfield average 1.3 scored and 0.7 conceded at home, Rosario Central 1.2 and 0.9 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

Both sides have solid defensive records in context. Vélez Sarsfield have seen BTTS in only 40% of home games (4/10); Rosario Central in 40% away (4/10). At least one clean sheet looks likely.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Vélez Sarsfield see 8+ in 60% of home games, Rosario Central in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Vélez Sarsfield have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Rosario Central in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Liga Profesional de Fútbol table for the 2025 season, with Vélez Sarsfield (2nd) and Rosario Central (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Profesional de Fútbol 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Boca Juniors 19 10 5 4 31:13 +18 35
2 Racing Club 20 9 6 5 21:16 +5 33
3 Estudiantes 20 9 4 7 21:19 +2 31
4 Rosario Central A 17 8 7 2 18:9 +9 31
5 Lanús 17 9 3 5 20:14 +6 30
6 Gimnasia La Plata 19 9 1 9 18:18 0 28
7 Deportivo Riestra 17 8 4 5 19:13 +6 28
8 Argentinos Juniors 18 8 3 7 20:14 +6 27
9 Central Cordoba SdE 18 6 9 3 19:13 +6 27
10 Tigre 18 6 8 4 15:13 +2 26
11 Barracas Central 18 6 8 4 20:19 +1 26
12 Vélez Sarsfield H 17 7 5 5 19:14 +5 26
13 Unión Santa Fe 17 6 7 4 21:15 +6 25
14 San Lorenzo 17 6 6 5 14:13 +1 24
15 River Plate 17 6 4 7 22:18 +4 22
16 Banfield 16 6 3 7 15:21 -6 21
17 Talleres Córdoba 17 5 6 6 9:14 -5 21
18 Huracán 17 5 5 7 10:16 -6 20
19 Belgrano 16 4 8 4 13:11 +2 20
20 Sarmiento 16 5 5 6 13:17 -4 20
21 Defensa y Justicia 16 5 4 7 14:19 -5 19
22 San Martín San Juan 16 4 7 5 13:16 -3 19
23 Independiente 16 4 6 6 14:13 +1 18
24 Aldosivi 16 5 3 8 13:18 -5 18
25 Atlético Tucumán 16 5 3 8 17:22 -5 18
26 Independiente Rivadavia 16 3 7 6 14:17 -3 16
27 Instituto 16 3 7 6 9:17 -8 16
28 Platense 17 3 6 8 13:25 -12 15
29 Newell's Old Boys 16 3 5 8 13:23 -10 14
30 Godoy Cruz 16 1 9 6 11:19 -8 12

Team Form

Vélez Sarsfield (50% home wins) and Rosario Central (50% away wins) are evenly matched on current form. The table below suggests this could be a closely contested fixture.

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Vélez Sarsfield (40% BTTS at home) and Rosario Central (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Vélez Sarsfield have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Rosario Central in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Vélez Sarsfield have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Rosario Central in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 13 (1.3 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)

Match Corners

Rosario Central frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Vélez Sarsfield are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Vélez Sarsfield have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Rosario Central have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Vélez Sarsfield (Home Form) Rosario Central (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Vélez Sarsfield and Rosario Central. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

5th Apr, 2025
Rosario Central
2 – 1 HT: 0-1
Vélez Sarsfield
1st Oct, 2024
Rosario Central
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Vélez Sarsfield
6th Mar, 2024
Vélez Sarsfield
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Rosario Central
19th Oct, 2023
Rosario Central
1 – 1 HT: 0-1
Vélez Sarsfield
15th May, 2023
Vélez Sarsfield
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Rosario Central
20th Jun, 2022
Vélez Sarsfield
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Rosario Central
15th Feb, 2022
Rosario Central
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vélez Sarsfield
25th Jul, 2021
Rosario Central
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Vélez Sarsfield
17th Jan, 2021
Rosario Central
1 – 3 HT: 1-1
Vélez Sarsfield
20th Oct, 2019
Rosario Central
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Vélez Sarsfield

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Vélez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Vélez Sarsfield 2.76
Draw 3
Rosario Central 3.25

Half Time Result

Vélez Sarsfield 3.25
Draw 1.9
Rosario Central 4.33

Double Chance

Vélez Sarsfield or Draw 1.3
Vélez Sarsfield or Rosario Central 1.44
Draw or Rosario Central 1.64

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.3
No 1.72

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.6
Over 2.5 2.98
Over 3.5 6.6
Under 1.5 2.49
Under 2.5 1.48
Under 3.5 1.16

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.65
Over 1.5 3.8

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.33
Over 9.5 1.57
Over 10.5 1.94
Over 11.5 2.48

Vélez Sarsfield Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3.1

Rosario Central Goals

Over 0.5 1.66
Over 1.5 3.7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Breiðablik / Augn U19 vs FH / ÍH U19 20:30 BST | U19 League, Iceland Breiðablik / Augn U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · FH / ÍH U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Tartu Welco vs Nõmme Kalju U21 17:00 BST | Esiliiga A, Estonia Tartu Welco have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nõmme Kalju U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    90% combined
  • SønderjyskE U19 vs Nordsjaelland U19 15:00 BST | U19 League, Denmark SønderjyskE U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    79% combined
  • Kyzyl-Zhar vs Zhetysu 12:00 BST | Premier League, Kazakhstan Kyzyl-Zhar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Zhetysu have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 2.2
    75% combined

Vélez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Vélez Sarsfield vs Rosario Central?

Under 2.5 Goals — Vélez Sarsfield have stayed under 3 goals in 70% of home games, Rosario Central in 60% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Vélez Sarsfield or Rosario Central?

Both sides are evenly matched on current form — Vélez Sarsfield have won 50% of home games, Rosario Central 50% away in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. This looks like a closely contested fixture.

Will both teams score in the match between Vélez Sarsfield and Rosario Central?

Unlikely — Vélez Sarsfield (40% BTTS at home) and Rosario Central (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Vélez Sarsfield and Rosario Central?

Uncertain — Vélez Sarsfield have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 30% of home games, Rosario Central in 40% of away games in Liga Profesional de Fútbol. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Vélez Sarsfield or Rosario Central?

Rosario Central have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of away games compared to Vélez Sarsfield's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Vélez Sarsfield and Rosario Central?

Possibly — Rosario Central frequently reach high corner counts away (70%), while Vélez Sarsfield are lower at home (40%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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James T. (London, UK)

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