Mali vs Senegal Football Stats

📍 Africa Cup of Nations, World
🕒 Friday 9th January, 16:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 2.5 Goals

Mali sit 1st in the table after 4 games, averaging 1.9 goals scored and 0.6 conceded per home match this season. Senegal are 2nd after 4 games, averaging 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded on the road. Mali have won 4/9 home games (44%) this season; Senegal have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Both sides have been involved in low-scoring matches this season. Mali have seen 3+ goals in only 33% of home fixtures; Senegal in 30% away. Mali average 1.9 scored and 0.6 conceded at home, Senegal 1.6 and 0.5 on the road — the numbers point toward a tight game.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Mali at 44% in home games (4/9), Senegal at 40% away (4/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Mali see 8+ in 56% of home games, Senegal in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 2.5 Goals — Mali have stayed under 3 goals in 66.67% of home games, Senegal in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Africa Cup of Nations table for the 2025 season, with Mali (1st) and Senegal (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Africa Cup of Nations 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Senegal A 7 6 1 0 13:2 +11 19
2 Nigeria 7 5 2 0 14:4 +10 17
3 Egypt 7 4 2 1 9:5 +4 14
4 Morocco 7 4 2 1 9:2 +7 14
5 Algeria 5 4 0 1 8:3 +5 12
6 Côte d'Ivoire 5 3 1 1 10:6 +4 10
7 Cameroon 5 3 1 1 6:5 +1 10
8 Congo DR 4 2 1 1 5:2 +3 7
9 South Africa 4 2 0 2 6:6 0 6
10 Burkina Faso 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
11 Tunisia 4 1 2 1 7:6 +1 5
12 Mali H 5 0 4 1 3:4 -1 4
13 Mozambique 4 1 0 3 4:9 -5 3
14 Benin 4 1 0 3 2:7 -5 3
15 Sudan 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
16 Angola 3 0 2 1 2:3 -1 2
17 Comoros 3 0 2 1 0:2 -2 2
18 Tanzania 4 0 2 2 3:5 -2 2
19 Zambia 3 0 2 1 1:4 -3 2
20 Zimbabwe 3 0 1 2 4:6 -2 1
21 Uganda 3 0 1 2 3:7 -4 1
22 Gabon 3 0 0 3 4:7 -3 0
23 Botswana 3 0 0 3 0:7 -7 0
24 Equatorial Guinea 3 0 0 3 2:6 -4 0

Team Form

Mali have lost 11.11% of their home matches this season, while Senegal have been more resilient on the road (0% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Won 4 (44.44%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 4 (44.44%) 5 (50%)
Lost 1 (11.11%) 0 (0%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Mali have seen both teams score in 44.44% of home games, Senegal in 40% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (44.44%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Mali (33.33% Over 2.5 at home) and Senegal (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches this season. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Over Goals

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (88.89%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 6 (66.67%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 3 (33.33%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (22.22%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (11.11%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 4 (33.33%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 7 (66.67%) 7 (70%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (77.78%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Mali have scored 2+ goals in 33.33% of home games this season, Senegal in 30% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (77.78%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (33.33%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (33.33%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (22.22%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (55.56%) 4 (40%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Total Goals Scored 17 (1.89 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.56 avg) 5 (0.5 avg)

Match Corners

Mali have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 55.56% of home games, Senegal in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (55.56%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (55.56%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (33.33%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (33.33%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (22.22%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (11.11%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Mali have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 22.22% of home matches.

Senegal have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (33.33%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (22.22%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Mali (Home Form) Senegal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 9 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (44.44%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (33.33%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (22.22%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (11.11%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (11.11%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Mali vs Senegal across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Mali 6.8
Draw 3.25
Senegal 1.83

Half Time Result

Mali 6
Draw 1.97
Senegal 2.59

Double Chance

Mali or Draw 2.13
Mali or Senegal 1.36
Draw or Senegal 1.15

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.68
No 1.58

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.69
Over 2.5 2.7
Over 3.5 5.5
Under 1.5 2.37
Under 2.5 1.41
Under 3.5 1.14

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.62
Over 1.5 3.55

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.46
Over 9.5 1.81
Over 10.5 2.4
Over 11.5 3.15

Mali Goals

Over 0.5 2.03
Over 1.5 6.4

Senegal Goals

Over 0.5 1.23
Over 1.5 2.4

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Lake Macquarie City W vs Charlestown Azzurri W 11:00 BST | Northern NSW NPL Women, Australia Lake Macquarie City W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Charlestown Azzurri W have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    100% combined
  • Tuggeranong United U23 vs Monaro Panthers U23 08:30 BST | Capital Territory NPL Youth League, Australia Tuggeranong United U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    91% combined
  • Tuggeranong United vs Monaro Panthers 10:30 BST | Capital Territory, Australia Tuggeranong United have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Monaro Panthers have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3
    91% combined
  • Sydney Olympic U20 vs SD Raiders U20 08:30 BST | New South Wales NPL Youth League, Australia Sydney Olympic U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · SD Raiders U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    85% combined

Mali vs Senegal Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Mali vs Senegal?

Under 2.5 Goals — Mali have stayed under 3 goals in 66.67% of home games, Senegal in 70% of away games. Both sides point toward a tight, low-scoring match.

Which team is likely to win, Mali or Senegal?

Senegal hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Mali at home (44.44% wins) in Africa Cup of Nations. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Mali and Senegal?

Mixed — Mali have seen BTTS in 44.44% of home games, Senegal in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Africa Cup of Nations fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Mali and Senegal?

Unlikely — Mali (33.33% Over 2.5 at home) and Senegal (30% away) have both featured predominantly in low-scoring matches in Africa Cup of Nations. Under 2.5 Goals looks the stronger play.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Mali or Senegal?

Mali have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 33.33% of home games compared to Senegal's 30% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Mali and Senegal?

Mali have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 55.56% of home games, Senegal in 60% of away games in Africa Cup of Nations. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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