How to Build a Football Accumulator Using Stats — A Data-Driven Guide
Most football accumulators are built on gut instinct and optimism. A few big names, a couple of "bankers", and hope. Tha...
Home Win Tips — Free Football Stats & Predictions
Find today's best home win predictions, backed by real home and away form data from the current season. Every fixture shows how often the home team wins at home and how often the away team loses on the road — combined into a single percentage to highlight the strongest home win picks across 100+ leagues. Updated every 2 hours. Looking for our 10 teams to win today? See today's teams to win accumulator picks on our 10 teams to win today page.
⚽ Today's Home Win Acca
-
Sokol Zápy vs Teplice II 15:30 BST | 3. Liga CFL, Czech Republic Sokol Zápy have won in 8/8 home matches this season · Teplice II have lost in 5/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.478% combined
-
Sebat Gençlikspor vs 1926 Bulancakspor 12:00 BST | 3. Lig: Group 3, Turkey Sebat Gençlikspor have won in 11/13 home matches this season · 1926 Bulancakspor have lost in 9/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.277% combined
-
St. Pauls United vs Dieppe Bay Eagles 21:00 BST | Premier League, Saint Kitts and Nevis St. Pauls United have won in 5/6 home matches this season · Dieppe Bay Eagles have lost in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3375% combined
-
Xerez vs Puente Genil 17:00 BST | Segunda Division RFEF: Group 4, Spain Xerez have won in 10/14 home matches this season · Puente Genil have lost in 10/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6674% combined
-
Jaiba Brava vs Venados 00:00 BST | Liga de Expansión MX, Mexico Jaiba Brava have won in 11/15 home matches this season · Venados have lost in 10/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6178% combined
-
Gloucester City vs Taunton Town 15:00 BST | Non League Premier: Southern South, England Gloucester City have won in 15/19 home matches this season · Taunton Town have lost in 14/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.475% combined
-
Municipal vs Cobán Imperial 01:00 BST | Liga Nacional, Guatemala Municipal have won in 18/22 home matches this season · Cobán Imperial have lost in 12/19 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3373% combined
-
Central Cordoba SdE vs Newell's Old Boys 00:30 BST | Liga Profesional de Fútbol, Argentina Central Cordoba SdE have won in 3/5 home matches this season · Newell's Old Boys have lost in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 2.4570% combined
Sort by:
Sunday, 5 April
Sokol Zápy have won 8 of their last 8 home games (100%) — an outstanding home record.
Teplice II have lost 5 of their last 9 away games (56%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 78% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Sokol Zápy score 3.38 and concede 0.5 per home game. Teplice II score 1.33 and concede 1.44 per away game. That points to an expected 3.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.4.
Sebat Gençlikspor have won 11 of their last 13 home games (85%) — an outstanding home record.
1926 Bulancakspor have lost 9 of their last 13 away games (69%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 77% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Sebat Gençlikspor score 2.08 and concede 0.54 per home game. 1926 Bulancakspor score 0.92 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.2.
St. Pauls United have won 5 of their last 6 home games (83%) — an outstanding home record.
Dieppe Bay Eagles have lost 4 of their last 6 away games (67%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 75% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, St. Pauls United score 2.5 and concede 0.83 per home game. Dieppe Bay Eagles score 1.33 and concede 3.33 per away game. That points to an expected 4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.33.
Xerez have won 10 of their last 14 home games (71%) — a strong home record.
Puente Genil have lost 10 of their last 13 away games (77%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 74% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Xerez score 1 and concede 0.36 per home game. Puente Genil score 0.77 and concede 1.77 per away game. That points to an expected 2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.66.
APR have won 9 of their last 12 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Muhanga have lost 8 of their last 12 away games (67%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 71% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, APR score 1.5 and concede 0.42 per home game. Muhanga score 0.58 and concede 1.67 per away game. That points to an expected 2.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.36.
Getafe II have won 11 of their last 14 home games (79%) — an outstanding home record.
Colonia Moscardo have lost 9 of their last 14 away games (64%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 71.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Getafe II score 2.43 and concede 0.86 per home game. Colonia Moscardo score 0.79 and concede 2.14 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.38.
Mačva Šabac have won 10 of their last 14 home games (71%) — a strong home record.
Stepojevac Vaga have lost 10 of their last 14 away games (71%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 71% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Mačva Šabac score 1.79 and concede 0.93 per home game. Stepojevac Vaga score 0.71 and concede 1.64 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.22.
Club Africain have won 7 of their last 11 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
AS Gabès have lost 9 of their last 12 away games (75%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 69.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Club Africain score 1.82 and concede 0.45 per home game. AS Gabès score 0.42 and concede 1.67 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.22.
Raslavice have won 6 of their last 8 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Vranov nad Topľou have lost 5 of their last 8 away games (63%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 69% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Raslavice score 2.5 and concede 0.88 per home game. Vranov nad Topľou score 0.63 and concede 1.63 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.8.
Zemun have won 10 of their last 14 home games (71%) — a strong home record.
Priboj have lost 9 of their last 14 away games (64%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Zemun score 2.07 and concede 1 per home game. Priboj score 0.64 and concede 2.14 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.57.
Remo Stars have won 10 of their last 16 home games (63%) — a strong home record.
Shooting Stars have lost 11 of their last 16 away games (69%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 66% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Remo Stars score 1.5 and concede 0.81 per home game. Shooting Stars score 0.38 and concede 1.44 per away game. That points to an expected 2.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.57.
Gimnástica Torrelavega have won 11 of their last 14 home games (79%) — an outstanding home record.
Escobedo have lost 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Gimnástica Torrelavega score 3 and concede 0.43 per home game. Escobedo score 1.07 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.53.
Ksour Essef have won 6 of their last 10 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
EO Sidi Bouzid have lost 7 of their last 10 away games (70%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Ksour Essef score 2.3 and concede 0.9 per home game. EO Sidi Bouzid score 0.4 and concede 2.1 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.48.
Zbrojovka Brno II have won 7 of their last 10 home games (70%) — a strong home record.
Vítkovice have lost 6 of their last 10 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Zbrojovka Brno II score 2 and concede 0.6 per home game. Vítkovice score 0.9 and concede 1.6 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.53.
US Tataouine have won 6 of their last 10 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Menzel Bourguiba have lost 6 of their last 9 away games (67%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, US Tataouine score 1.6 and concede 0.6 per home game. Menzel Bourguiba score 0.44 and concede 1.56 per away game. That points to an expected 2.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.29.
Basake Holy Stars have won 10 of their last 13 home games (77%) — an outstanding home record.
Karela United have lost 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Basake Holy Stars score 1.46 and concede 0.46 per home game. Karela United score 0.64 and concede 1.43 per away game. That points to an expected 2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.38.
Pécsi MFC have won 8 of their last 11 home games (73%) — a strong home record.
Siófok have lost 6 of their last 11 away games (55%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Pécsi MFC score 2.82 and concede 0.82 per home game. Siófok score 1.18 and concede 2.18 per away game. That points to an expected 3.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.33.
Struga have won 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Rabotnicki have lost 7 of their last 12 away games (58%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Struga score 2.75 and concede 0.75 per home game. Rabotnicki score 1.17 and concede 2.08 per away game. That points to an expected 3.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.25.
CSKA Sofia II have won 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Marek have lost 7 of their last 12 away games (58%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, CSKA Sofia II score 2 and concede 0.42 per home game. Marek score 0.5 and concede 1.75 per away game. That points to an expected 2.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.45.
Noah have won 6 of their last 10 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
BKMA have lost 5 of their last 8 away games (63%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Noah score 2.3 and concede 1 per home game. BKMA score 1.25 and concede 2.13 per away game. That points to an expected 3.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.22.
Karcag SE have won 7 of their last 11 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Ajka have lost 6 of their last 10 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Karcag SE score 1.45 and concede 1.27 per home game. Ajka score 0.6 and concede 1 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.3.
Nasarawa United have won 11 of their last 16 home games (69%) — a strong home record.
Kun Khalifat have lost 8 of their last 15 away games (53%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Nasarawa United score 1.44 and concede 0.5 per home game. Kun Khalifat score 0.73 and concede 1.47 per away game. That points to an expected 2.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.44.
Coatepeque have won 10 of their last 17 home games (59%) — a moderate home record.
Gomerano have lost 11 of their last 18 away games (61%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Coatepeque score 1.41 and concede 0.88 per home game. Gomerano score 1.39 and concede 1.78 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.57.
Kozlovice have won 5 of their last 8 home games (63%) — a strong home record.
Baťov have lost 4 of their last 7 away games (57%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Kozlovice score 2.75 and concede 1.5 per home game. Baťov score 0.86 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 3.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.33.
Partizan have won 10 of their last 14 home games (71%) — a strong home record.
Čukarički have lost 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Partizan score 2.07 and concede 0.93 per home game. Čukarički score 1.14 and concede 1.64 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.65.
Arenas de Armilla have won 9 of their last 14 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Huétor Tájar have lost 8 of their last 14 away games (57%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Arenas de Armilla score 1.5 and concede 0.86 per home game. Huétor Tájar score 1.14 and concede 1.5 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.6.
Deportivo Saprissa have won 11 of their last 17 home games (65%) — a strong home record.
Pérez Zeledón have lost 8 of their last 15 away games (53%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Deportivo Saprissa score 1.94 and concede 0.94 per home game. Pérez Zeledón score 1 and concede 1.73 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.3.
CS Sfaxien have won 7 of their last 11 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Kairouan have lost 6 of their last 11 away games (55%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, CS Sfaxien score 1.64 and concede 0.55 per home game. Kairouan score 0.55 and concede 1.18 per away game. That points to an expected 2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.2.
Palermo have won 11 of their last 16 home games (69%) — a strong home record.
Avellino have lost 8 of their last 16 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Palermo score 1.94 and concede 0.63 per home game. Avellino score 0.94 and concede 1.69 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.53.
SD Eibar have won 11 of their last 17 home games (65%) — a strong home record.
Ceuta have lost 9 of their last 17 away games (53%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, SD Eibar score 1.65 and concede 0.71 per home game. Ceuta score 1 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.66.
Kecskemeti TE have won 7 of their last 11 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Szentlőrinc SE have lost 6 of their last 11 away games (55%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Kecskemeti TE score 1.82 and concede 0.91 per home game. Szentlőrinc SE score 0.91 and concede 1.27 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.61.
Zwickau have won 9 of their last 13 home games (69%) — a strong home record.
BFC Dynamo have lost 6 of their last 12 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Zwickau score 1.85 and concede 0.62 per home game. BFC Dynamo score 1 and concede 1.58 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.66.
Schalke 04 have won 9 of their last 13 home games (69%) — a strong home record.
Karlsruher SC have lost 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Schalke 04 score 1.69 and concede 1 per home game. Karlsruher SC score 1.21 and concede 2.07 per away game. That points to an expected 3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
Al Ain have won 6 of their last 9 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Ajman have lost 5 of their last 10 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Al Ain score 2 and concede 0.56 per home game. Ajman score 1.1 and concede 1.3 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.27.
Cotonsport have won 4 of their last 6 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Gazelle have lost 3 of their last 6 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Cotonsport score 1.67 and concede 0.5 per home game. Gazelle score 1 and concede 1.5 per away game. That points to an expected 2.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.8.
Churriana de la Vega have won 9 of their last 14 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Huétor Vega have lost 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 57% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Churriana de la Vega score 1.14 and concede 0.5 per home game. Huétor Vega score 0.79 and concede 1.29 per away game. That points to an expected 1.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.1.
Frosinone have won 9 of their last 15 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Calcio Padova have lost 8 of their last 16 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 55% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Frosinone score 2.07 and concede 0.93 per home game. Calcio Padova score 0.88 and concede 1.31 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.48.
Monday, 6 April
Jaiba Brava have won 11 of their last 15 home games (73%) — a strong home record.
Venados have lost 10 of their last 12 away games (83%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 78% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Jaiba Brava score 1.8 and concede 0.87 per home game. Venados score 1.25 and concede 2.33 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.61.
Gloucester City have won 15 of their last 19 home games (79%) — an outstanding home record.
Taunton Town have lost 14 of their last 20 away games (70%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 74.5% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Gloucester City score 2.68 and concede 1.11 per home game. Taunton Town score 1.55 and concede 2.25 per away game. That points to an expected 3.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.4.
Municipal have won 18 of their last 22 home games (82%) — an outstanding home record.
Cobán Imperial have lost 12 of their last 19 away games (63%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 72.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Municipal score 2.14 and concede 0.64 per home game. Cobán Imperial score 0.68 and concede 1.47 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.33.
Central Cordoba SdE have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Newell's Old Boys have lost 4 of their last 5 away games (80%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 70% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Central Cordoba SdE score 0.8 and concede 0.2 per home game. Newell's Old Boys score 0.4 and concede 2.6 per away game. That points to an expected 2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.45.
Xelajú have won 12 of their last 19 home games (63%) — a strong home record.
Malacateco have lost 15 of their last 20 away games (75%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 69% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Xelajú score 2.11 and concede 0.74 per home game. Malacateco score 0.65 and concede 1.75 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
Catania have won 13 of their last 17 home games (76%) — an outstanding home record.
Picerno have lost 10 of their last 17 away games (59%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Catania score 1.88 and concede 0.06 per home game. Picerno score 1.06 and concede 1.82 per away game. That points to an expected 2.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.27.
ADO Den Haag have won 13 of their last 17 home games (76%) — an outstanding home record.
FC Eindhoven have lost 10 of their last 17 away games (59%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 67.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, ADO Den Haag score 2.35 and concede 1 per home game. FC Eindhoven score 1.06 and concede 1.88 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.33.
Fylde have won 16 of their last 21 home games (76%) — an outstanding home record.
Radcliffe Borough have lost 11 of their last 21 away games (52%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 64% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Fylde score 2.62 and concede 1.14 per home game. Radcliffe Borough score 1.67 and concede 1.52 per away game. That points to an expected 3.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.3.
Harborough Town have won 13 of their last 19 home games (68%) — a strong home record.
Banbury United have lost 10 of their last 18 away games (56%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Harborough Town score 1.89 and concede 0.63 per home game. Banbury United score 1.06 and concede 1.44 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.25.
Alajuelense have won 11 of their last 17 home games (65%) — a strong home record.
Guadalupe have lost 9 of their last 15 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Alajuelense score 1.76 and concede 0.65 per home game. Guadalupe score 0.53 and concede 1.73 per away game. That points to an expected 2.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.27.
SGV Freiberg have won 9 of their last 13 home games (69%) — a strong home record.
Stuttgarter Kickers have lost 7 of their last 13 away games (54%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, SGV Freiberg score 2.08 and concede 0.54 per home game. Stuttgarter Kickers score 1.08 and concede 1.69 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.6.
Notts County have won 12 of their last 20 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Newport County have lost 12 of their last 20 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Notts County score 2 and concede 1.05 per home game. Newport County score 1.05 and concede 1.75 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.53.
Ipswich Town have won 12 of their last 20 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Birmingham City have lost 12 of their last 20 away games (60%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Ipswich Town score 1.8 and concede 0.7 per home game. Birmingham City score 0.75 and concede 1.5 per away game. That points to an expected 2.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.61.
Torquay United have won 13 of their last 21 home games (62%) — a strong home record.
Bath City have lost 11 of their last 20 away games (55%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Torquay United score 2.29 and concede 1.29 per home game. Bath City score 1.05 and concede 1.85 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.45.
Wycombe Wanderers have won 12 of their last 20 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Bradford City have lost 10 of their last 20 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 55% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Wycombe Wanderers score 2.05 and concede 0.9 per home game. Bradford City score 1 and concede 1.5 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.05.
Tuesday, 7 April
Bromley have won 12 of their last 20 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Shrewsbury Town have lost 13 of their last 20 away games (65%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Bromley score 1.8 and concede 0.95 per home game. Shrewsbury Town score 0.95 and concede 1.95 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.66.
Miedź Legnica have won 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Polonia Bytom have lost 6 of their last 11 away games (55%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Miedź Legnica score 2.17 and concede 1.08 per home game. Polonia Bytom score 1.18 and concede 1.73 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.9.
Top 15 Upcoming Matches For Home Team to Win
This table shows the top upcoming matches with the highest likelihood of a home win. The home win probability is calculated from the home team's recent wins combined with the away team's recent losses.
Upgrade to the Pro plan to view all stats.
| Match | Home Win | Home Win Probability | Next Match | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Celta de Vigo U19 vs Real Oviedo U19 (Spain) |
10 / 12 | 85.93% | Today | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Tunisia) |
7 / 11 | 82.71% | Today | 1.22 |
| Home vs Away (Czech Republic) |
7 / 9 | 79.55% | Today | 1.33 |
| Home vs Away (Saint Kitts and Nevis) |
5 / 6 | 79.51% | Today | 1.33 |
| Home vs Away (Guatemala) |
18 / 22 | 77.9% | In 1 day | 1.33 |
| Home vs Away (Rwanda) |
9 / 12 | 76.38% | Today | 1.36 |
| Home vs Away (Armenia) |
6 / 10 | 75.97% | Today | 1.22 |
| Home vs Away (Turkey) |
11 / 13 | 75.72% | Today | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Costa Rica) |
11 / 17 | 75.15% | Today | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (Italy) |
13 / 17 | 72.47% | In 1 day | 1.27 |
| Home vs Away (Nigeria) |
11 / 16 | 71.96% | Today | 1.44 |
| Home vs Away (Nigeria) |
10 / 16 | 71.86% | Today | 1.57 |
| Home vs Away (Poland) |
9 / 13 | 71.46% | In 1 day | 1.3 |
| Home vs Away (Guatemala) |
12 / 19 | 70.75% | In 1 day | 1.5 |
| Home vs Away (Netherlands) |
13 / 17 | 70.63% | In 1 day | 1.33 |
Explore More Football Stats & Tips
Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.
How to Use Our Home Win Stats
Home Win is one of the most straightforward football betting markets — and one of the most statistically reliable when you're backing the right sides. Here's how to get the most out of our stats page.
How is the home win probability calculated?
Every fixture on this page is ranked using two key figures — the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games this season. Combining these two figures gives a much more accurate picture of the likely outcome than simply looking at a league table or overall form.
For example, a home team that has won 8 of their last 10 home games paired with an away side that has lost 7 of their last 10 away games represents a very strong statistical case for a home win. That's the kind of data-driven edge this page is built to surface.
What makes a strong home win selection?
The strongest home win picks combine a high home win percentage with a high away loss percentage for the opposition. A home team winning 80% of their home games is compelling — but if the away side has also lost 70% of their away games, the statistical case becomes significantly stronger.
Also pay attention to the sample size. A home team that has won 8 from 10 home games is a more reliable indicator than one that has won 4 from 5, even though both show 80%. We display the raw numbers alongside the percentage so you can always check the sample before committing.
Should I use home win picks as singles or in an accumulator?
Both work well depending on your approach.
For singles, the stats on this page give you everything you need — home win percentage, away loss percentage, average goals scored and conceded, and the current odds. Use these to build a clear picture of the individual fixture before placing a bet.
For accumulators, home win is a natural market to combine. Picking four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record gives your accumulator a solid statistical foundation. Pair with our 10 Teams to Win Today for our daily curated selections across all leagues.
Can I combine home win with other markets?
Yes — combining home win with other markets is one of the most effective accumulator strategies. A home team that is statistically likely to win AND likely to be involved in a high-scoring game gives you multiple angles of confidence in the same fixture.
Try pairing home win selections with our Over 2.5 Goals stats and BTTS stats for fixtures that score strongly across multiple markets. For a full view of all our markets in one place, head to our All Stats page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.
What does a Home Win mean in football betting?
A Home Win bet predicts that the home team will win the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It's one of the simplest and most popular football betting markets — you're backing the home side to win, regardless of the scoreline. It doesn't include extra time or penalties, so the result must be confirmed within regular time.
How is the home win probability calculated on your stats page?
Our home win probability is calculated using two figures — the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games this season. Combining these gives a more accurate indicator of the likely outcome than simply checking a team's overall form or league position. A strong home win record combined with a poor away record for the opposition is one of the clearest statistical signals in football betting.
What percentage should I look for when backing a home win?
As a general guide, a home win percentage of 65% or above combined with an away loss percentage of 50% or above represents a statistically solid case. For the highest-confidence selections, look for home teams winning 75%+ of their home games against sides losing 60%+ of their away games. Always check the sample size alongside the percentage — a team with 8 wins from 10 home games is more meaningful than 4 from 5.
What is home advantage and why does it matter?
Home advantage is the statistical tendency for teams to perform better at their own ground than away from home. It's driven by a combination of factors — familiar surroundings, supportive crowd, no travel fatigue, and psychological comfort. Across all levels of football, home teams win more often than away teams on average. Our stats quantify this advantage specifically for each team in the current season, rather than relying on a general assumption.
Which teams are most likely to win at home?
The strongest home win candidates are teams with a high home win percentage in the current season, combined with opponents who have a poor away record. League position alone doesn't tell the full story — some mid-table sides have exceptional home records while some higher-ranked teams are surprisingly vulnerable at their own ground. Our stats surface these patterns clearly so you can spot the opportunities that the league table hides.
Which leagues have the strongest home win trends?
Leagues with passionate home crowds, compact fixture schedules, and less travel for away sides tend to produce stronger home win rates. The English Championship, Turkish Süper Lig, Scottish Premiership and many Eastern European leagues consistently show high home win percentages. That said, team-by-team stats matter far more than league averages — always check the individual fixture data rather than backing home teams in a league because of a general trend.
Can I combine home win with other markets in an accumulator?
Yes — home win is one of the most natural markets to combine in an accumulator. Pairing a strong home win selection with Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS in the same fixture gives you multiple statistical angles of confidence. Many users also combine home win selections from this page with our 10 Teams to Win Today for a data-driven daily accumulator.
Is home win a good market for beginners?
Yes — it's one of the most intuitive markets in football betting. You're simply backing the home team to win, which is easy to understand and easy to research using our stats. The home win percentage and away loss percentage shown for each fixture give you a clear, at-a-glance picture of the statistical case without needing any prior knowledge of how to read betting data. If you're just getting started, our blog has guides to help you use football stats effectively.
Which teams must win today based on the stats?
The strongest home win candidates are fixtures where the home team wins 65%+ of their home games and the away team loses 50%+ on the road. The wider the gap between those two numbers, the stronger the statistical case. Check the combined percentage on this page — anything above 70% with a sample size of 15+ games from both sides is a solid signal. League context matters too: some competitions have much stronger home advantage than others. The fixtures at the top of our rankings combine all of these factors, making them the statistically strongest home win picks for the next few days.
How often does the home team win in football?
Across most professional football leagues, the home team wins roughly 45–47% of the time. In some leagues with intense home atmospheres — such as the Turkish Süper Lig or Greek Super League — the home win rate can push above 50%. In others, particularly in Scandinavia, the gap between home and away results is smaller. The rate also varies by team: some sides win 70%+ at home while others barely reach 30%. League-wide averages give you a baseline, but the team-specific home win percentages on this page are far more useful for identifying which fixtures are genuinely likely to see a home victory.
Do you provide Home Win football stats in other languages?
Yes. We provide our Home Win stats in Spanish, and in Brazilian Portuguese.
Latest Blogs
View all posts →Best BTTS Tips This Week — Top Both Teams to Score Picks Across Europe
Finding the best Both Teams to Score bets isn't just about picking the obvious fixtures from the top leagues. Some of th...
Best Over 2.5 Goals Tips This Week — Top Statistical Picks Across Europe
Finding the best over 2.5 goals bets isn't just about picking the biggest leagues. Some of the highest-value opportuniti...
Send us your feedback
We are always looking to improve our website and stats, and would value any feedback you may have that would help us imporve our service.