How to Build a Football Accumulator Using Stats — A Data-Driven Guide
Most football accumulators are built on gut instinct and optimism. A few big names, a couple of "bankers", and hope. Tha...
Home Win Tips — Free Football Stats & Predictions
Find today's best home win predictions, backed by real home and away form data from the current season. Every fixture shows how often the home team wins at home and how often the away team loses on the road — combined into a single percentage to highlight the strongest home win picks across 100+ leagues. Updated every 2 hours. Looking for our 10 teams to win today? See today's teams to win accumulator picks on our 10 teams to win today page.
⚽ Today's Home Win Acca
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Persis Solo U20 vs Madura United U20 09:00 BST | Liga 1 U20, Indonesia Persis Solo U20 have won in 10/12 home matches this season · Madura United U20 have lost in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3687% combined
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Cosenza vs Foggia 13:30 BST | Serie C: Girone C, Italy Cosenza have won in 13/17 home matches this season · Foggia have lost in 12/17 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5374% combined
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Kahramanmaraş İstiklalsp vs Fethiyespor 11:00 BST | 2. Lig: Kirmizi, Turkey Kahramanmaraş İstiklalsp have won in 12/15 home matches this season · Fethiyespor have lost in 7/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2569% combined
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Laçi vs Burreli 14:00 BST | 1st Division, Albania Laçi have won in 11/14 home matches this season · Burreli have lost in 7/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.267% combined
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Vasco da Gama vs Botafogo 01:00 BST | Serie A, Brazil Vasco da Gama have won in 3/5 home matches this season · Botafogo have lost in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 2.0570% combined
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Amed SK vs Boluspor 17:00 BST | 1. Lig, Turkey Amed SK have won in 13/16 home matches this season · Boluspor have lost in 7/16 away matches this season · Odds: 1.3363% combined
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Palermo vs Avellino 18:30 BST | Serie B, Italy Palermo have won in 11/16 home matches this season · Avellino have lost in 8/16 away matches this season · Odds: 1.560% combined
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Inter vs Roma 19:45 BST | Serie A, Italy Inter have won in 11/15 home matches this season · Roma have lost in 7/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6560% combined
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Friday, 3 April
Tijuana U21 have won 10 of their last 15 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Tigres UANL U21 have lost 8 of their last 16 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Tijuana U21 score 2.47 and concede 1.33 per home game. Tigres UANL U21 score 1.31 and concede 1.5 per away game. That points to an expected 3.3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.4.
Saturday, 4 April
Persis Solo U20 have won 10 of their last 12 home games (83%) — an outstanding home record.
Madura United U20 have lost 9 of their last 10 away games (90%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 86.5% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Persis Solo U20 score 2.58 and concede 0.92 per home game. Madura United U20 score 0.5 and concede 2.3 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.36.
Cosenza have won 13 of their last 17 home games (76%) — an outstanding home record.
Foggia have lost 12 of their last 17 away games (71%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 73.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Cosenza score 2.12 and concede 1 per home game. Foggia score 0.71 and concede 1.88 per away game. That points to an expected 2.9 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.53.
Kahramanmaraş İstiklalsp have won 12 of their last 15 home games (80%) — an outstanding home record.
Fethiyespor have lost 7 of their last 12 away games (58%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 69% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Kahramanmaraş İstiklalsp score 2.6 and concede 0.47 per home game. Fethiyespor score 1.33 and concede 1.58 per away game. That points to an expected 3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.25.
Laçi have won 11 of their last 14 home games (79%) — an outstanding home record.
Burreli have lost 7 of their last 13 away games (54%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 66.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Laçi score 2.07 and concede 0.86 per home game. Burreli score 0.69 and concede 1.77 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.2.
Rudeš have won 9 of their last 12 home games (75%) — an outstanding home record.
Jarun have lost 7 of their last 12 away games (58%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 66.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Rudeš score 1.5 and concede 0.5 per home game. Jarun score 0.83 and concede 1.58 per away game. That points to an expected 2.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.61.
Catania U19 have won 8 of their last 10 home games (80%) — an outstanding home record.
Audace Cerignola U19 have lost 5 of their last 10 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 65% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Catania U19 score 2.6 and concede 0.6 per home game. Audace Cerignola U19 score 2 and concede 2.1 per away game. That points to an expected 3.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.45.
Dugopolje have won 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Hrvace have lost 7 of their last 12 away games (58%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 62.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Dugopolje score 1.5 and concede 0.83 per home game. Hrvace score 0.83 and concede 1.67 per away game. That points to an expected 2.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.83.
Kaiserslautern have won 9 of their last 14 home games (64%) — a strong home record.
Fortuna Düsseldorf have lost 8 of their last 13 away games (62%) — a poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 63% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Kaiserslautern score 2.14 and concede 1.21 per home game. Fortuna Düsseldorf score 0.85 and concede 1.38 per away game. That points to an expected 2.8 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.5.
Montpellier II have won 6 of their last 9 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Cannet Rocheville have lost 5 of their last 9 away games (56%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 61.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Montpellier II score 1.89 and concede 0.89 per home game. Cannet Rocheville score 1 and concede 1.33 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.2.
Persib Bandung U20 have won 7 of their last 10 home games (70%) — a strong home record.
PSM Makassar U20 have lost 6 of their last 12 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 60% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Persib Bandung U20 score 2 and concede 0.5 per home game. PSM Makassar U20 score 1.92 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 3.2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.75.
Vihren have won 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Etar have lost 6 of their last 12 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Vihren score 2.08 and concede 0.67 per home game. Etar score 0.5 and concede 1.67 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.44.
Unia Skierniewice have won 8 of their last 12 home games (67%) — a strong home record.
Podbeskidzie have lost 6 of their last 12 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 58.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Unia Skierniewice score 2.33 and concede 1.33 per home game. Podbeskidzie score 1.5 and concede 1.67 per away game. That points to an expected 3.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.9.
Sunday, 5 April
Vasco da Gama have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Botafogo have lost 4 of their last 5 away games (80%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 70% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Vasco da Gama score 1.6 and concede 1.2 per home game. Botafogo score 1.4 and concede 2.6 per away game. That points to an expected 3.4 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.05.
Palermo have won 11 of their last 16 home games (69%) — a strong home record.
Avellino have lost 8 of their last 16 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Palermo score 1.94 and concede 0.63 per home game. Avellino score 0.94 and concede 1.69 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
SD Eibar have won 11 of their last 17 home games (65%) — a strong home record.
Ceuta have lost 9 of their last 17 away games (53%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, SD Eibar score 1.65 and concede 0.71 per home game. Ceuta score 1 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 2.7 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.61.
Schalke 04 have won 9 of their last 13 home games (69%) — a strong home record.
Karlsruher SC have lost 7 of their last 14 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Schalke 04 score 1.69 and concede 1 per home game. Karlsruher SC score 1.21 and concede 2.07 per away game. That points to an expected 3 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
Zwickau have won 9 of their last 13 home games (69%) — a strong home record.
BFC Dynamo have lost 6 of their last 12 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 59.5% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Zwickau score 1.85 and concede 0.62 per home game. BFC Dynamo score 1 and concede 1.58 per away game. That points to an expected 2.5 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.66.
Frosinone have won 9 of their last 15 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Calcio Padova have lost 8 of their last 16 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 55% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Frosinone score 2.07 and concede 0.93 per home game. Calcio Padova score 0.88 and concede 1.31 per away game. That points to an expected 2.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.5.
Monday, 6 April
Jaiba Brava have won 11 of their last 15 home games (73%) — a strong home record.
Venados have lost 10 of their last 12 away games (83%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 78% of their games have featured a home win — one of the standout picks of the day.
On average, Jaiba Brava score 1.8 and concede 0.87 per home game. Venados score 1.25 and concede 2.33 per away game. That points to an expected 3.1 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.61.
Central Cordoba SdE have won 3 of their last 5 home games (60%) — a strong home record.
Newell's Old Boys have lost 4 of their last 5 away games (80%) — an extremely poor away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 70% of their games have featured a home win — a strong case for this bet.
On average, Central Cordoba SdE score 0.8 and concede 0.2 per home game. Newell's Old Boys score 0.4 and concede 2.6 per away game. That points to an expected 2 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 2.37.
Pachuca W have won 11 of their last 17 home games (65%) — a strong home record.
León W have lost 8 of their last 16 away games (50%) — a moderate away record.
Combining both sides' recent records, 57.5% of their games have featured a home win.
On average, Pachuca W score 2.71 and concede 1.06 per home game. León W score 1.5 and concede 2 per away game. That points to an expected 3.6 total goals across this match.
Current odds: 1.2.
Top 15 Upcoming Matches For Home Team to Win
This table shows the top upcoming matches with the highest likelihood of a home win. The home win probability is calculated from the home team's recent wins combined with the away team's recent losses.
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| Match | Home Win | Home Win Probability | Next Match | Odds |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Luzino vs Wybrzeże Rewalskie Rewal (Poland) |
9 / 12 | 83.32% | 1.22 | |
| Home vs Away (Mexico) |
11 / 17 | 81.52% | In 2 days | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Saudi Arabia) |
8 / 12 | 78.63% | 1.27 | |
| Home vs Away (England) |
7 / 11 | 78.49% | 1.33 | |
| Home vs Away (England) |
12 / 18 | 75.23% | 1.3 | |
| Home vs Away (Indonesia) |
10 / 12 | 74.84% | Today | 1.36 |
| Home vs Away (Bahrain) |
5 / 8 | 74.82% | 1.4 | |
| Home vs Away (England) |
17 / 20 | 74.26% | 1.27 | |
| Home vs Away (Croatia) |
6 / 10 | 73.65% | 1.25 | |
| Home vs Away (Saudi Arabia) |
10 / 13 | 72.99% | Today | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Czech Republic) |
7 / 9 | 72.35% | 1.22 | |
| Home vs Away (Albania) |
11 / 14 | 72.2% | Today | 1.2 |
| Home vs Away (Austria) |
6 / 9 | 71.78% | 1.33 | |
| Home vs Away (Republic of Ireland) |
3 / 4 | 71.61% | 1.33 | |
| Home vs Away (Slovenia) |
6 / 9 | 71.41% | 1.3 |
Explore More Football Stats & Tips
Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.
How to Use Our Home Win Stats
Home Win is one of the most straightforward football betting markets — and one of the most statistically reliable when you're backing the right sides. Here's how to get the most out of our stats page.
How is the home win probability calculated?
Every fixture on this page is ranked using two key figures — the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games this season. Combining these two figures gives a much more accurate picture of the likely outcome than simply looking at a league table or overall form.
For example, a home team that has won 8 of their last 10 home games paired with an away side that has lost 7 of their last 10 away games represents a very strong statistical case for a home win. That's the kind of data-driven edge this page is built to surface.
What makes a strong home win selection?
The strongest home win picks combine a high home win percentage with a high away loss percentage for the opposition. A home team winning 80% of their home games is compelling — but if the away side has also lost 70% of their away games, the statistical case becomes significantly stronger.
Also pay attention to the sample size. A home team that has won 8 from 10 home games is a more reliable indicator than one that has won 4 from 5, even though both show 80%. We display the raw numbers alongside the percentage so you can always check the sample before committing.
Should I use home win picks as singles or in an accumulator?
Both work well depending on your approach.
For singles, the stats on this page give you everything you need — home win percentage, away loss percentage, average goals scored and conceded, and the current odds. Use these to build a clear picture of the individual fixture before placing a bet.
For accumulators, home win is a natural market to combine. Picking four or five fixtures where the home team has a strong record and the away side has a weak away record gives your accumulator a solid statistical foundation. Pair with our 10 Teams to Win Today for our daily curated selections across all leagues.
Can I combine home win with other markets?
Yes — combining home win with other markets is one of the most effective accumulator strategies. A home team that is statistically likely to win AND likely to be involved in a high-scoring game gives you multiple angles of confidence in the same fixture.
Try pairing home win selections with our Over 2.5 Goals stats and BTTS stats for fixtures that score strongly across multiple markets. For a full view of all our markets in one place, head to our All Stats page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Below is a list of our most commonly asked questions. If you can't find a solution here, please don't hesitate to contact us via our contact page.
What does a Home Win mean in football betting?
A Home Win bet predicts that the home team will win the match within 90 minutes plus stoppage time. It's one of the simplest and most popular football betting markets — you're backing the home side to win, regardless of the scoreline. It doesn't include extra time or penalties, so the result must be confirmed within regular time.
How is the home win probability calculated on your stats page?
Our home win probability is calculated using two figures — the home team's win percentage in their home games this season, and the away team's loss percentage in their away games this season. Combining these gives a more accurate indicator of the likely outcome than simply checking a team's overall form or league position. A strong home win record combined with a poor away record for the opposition is one of the clearest statistical signals in football betting.
What percentage should I look for when backing a home win?
As a general guide, a home win percentage of 65% or above combined with an away loss percentage of 50% or above represents a statistically solid case. For the highest-confidence selections, look for home teams winning 75%+ of their home games against sides losing 60%+ of their away games. Always check the sample size alongside the percentage — a team with 8 wins from 10 home games is more meaningful than 4 from 5.
What is home advantage and why does it matter?
Home advantage is the statistical tendency for teams to perform better at their own ground than away from home. It's driven by a combination of factors — familiar surroundings, supportive crowd, no travel fatigue, and psychological comfort. Across all levels of football, home teams win more often than away teams on average. Our stats quantify this advantage specifically for each team in the current season, rather than relying on a general assumption.
Which teams are most likely to win at home?
The strongest home win candidates are teams with a high home win percentage in the current season, combined with opponents who have a poor away record. League position alone doesn't tell the full story — some mid-table sides have exceptional home records while some higher-ranked teams are surprisingly vulnerable at their own ground. Our stats surface these patterns clearly so you can spot the opportunities that the league table hides.
Which leagues have the strongest home win trends?
Leagues with passionate home crowds, compact fixture schedules, and less travel for away sides tend to produce stronger home win rates. The English Championship, Turkish Süper Lig, Scottish Premiership and many Eastern European leagues consistently show high home win percentages. That said, team-by-team stats matter far more than league averages — always check the individual fixture data rather than backing home teams in a league because of a general trend.
Can I combine home win with other markets in an accumulator?
Yes — home win is one of the most natural markets to combine in an accumulator. Pairing a strong home win selection with Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS in the same fixture gives you multiple statistical angles of confidence. Many users also combine home win selections from this page with our 10 Teams to Win Today for a data-driven daily accumulator.
Is home win a good market for beginners?
Yes — it's one of the most intuitive markets in football betting. You're simply backing the home team to win, which is easy to understand and easy to research using our stats. The home win percentage and away loss percentage shown for each fixture give you a clear, at-a-glance picture of the statistical case without needing any prior knowledge of how to read betting data. If you're just getting started, our blog has guides to help you use football stats effectively.
Which teams must win today based on the stats?
The strongest home win candidates are fixtures where the home team wins 65%+ of their home games and the away team loses 50%+ on the road. The wider the gap between those two numbers, the stronger the statistical case. Check the combined percentage on this page — anything above 70% with a sample size of 15+ games from both sides is a solid signal. League context matters too: some competitions have much stronger home advantage than others. The fixtures at the top of our rankings combine all of these factors, making them the statistically strongest home win picks for the next few days.
How often does the home team win in football?
Across most professional football leagues, the home team wins roughly 45–47% of the time. In some leagues with intense home atmospheres — such as the Turkish Süper Lig or Greek Super League — the home win rate can push above 50%. In others, particularly in Scandinavia, the gap between home and away results is smaller. The rate also varies by team: some sides win 70%+ at home while others barely reach 30%. League-wide averages give you a baseline, but the team-specific home win percentages on this page are far more useful for identifying which fixtures are genuinely likely to see a home victory.
Do you provide Home Win football stats in other languages?
Yes. We provide our Home Win stats in Spanish, and in Brazilian Portuguese.
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