Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Peru
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Alianza Lima have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 7/10 home matches (70%). UCV Moquegua have struggled on the road, winning only 2/10 away games (20%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Alianza Lima consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while UCV Moquegua are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Alianza Lima often see both teams score at home (60%), while UCV Moquegua are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (60% and 60%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Alianza Lima see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Alianza Lima (1st) and UCV Moquegua (9th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Alianza Lima H 12 9 2 1 22:5 +17 29
2 Los Chankas 12 9 2 1 21:14 +7 29
3 Cienciano 12 7 2 3 26:16 +10 23
4 Universitario 12 6 3 3 18:12 +6 21
5 Cusco FC 12 6 1 5 15:19 -4 19
6 Comerciantes Unidos 12 5 4 3 17:15 +2 19
7 Melgar 12 5 2 5 18:16 +2 17
8 UTC Cajamarca 12 4 4 4 18:18 0 16
9 UCV Moquegua A 12 5 1 6 14:18 -4 16
10 ADC Juan Pablo II 12 4 3 5 18:27 -9 15
11 Sporting Cristal 12 4 2 6 20:20 0 14
12 Alianza Atlético 12 3 5 4 11:11 0 14
13 ADT 12 3 4 5 15:15 0 13
14 Deportivo Garcilaso 12 3 4 5 12:16 -4 13
15 Sport Boys 12 3 3 6 11:16 -5 12
16 Sport Huancayo 12 3 3 6 14:18 -4 12
17 Atlético Grau 12 2 4 6 9:14 -5 10
18 FC Cajamarca 12 1 3 8 13:22 -9 6

Team Form

Alianza Lima have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to UCV Moquegua's 20% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Lost 0 (0%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Alianza Lima frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while UCV Moquegua are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Alianza Lima frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while UCV Moquegua are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Alianza Lima have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, UCV Moquegua in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 28 (2.8 avg) 7 (0.7 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 15 (1.5 avg)

Match Corners

Both Alianza Lima (60% Over 7.5 at home) and UCV Moquegua (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Team Corners

Alianza Lima have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

UCV Moquegua have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Alianza Lima (Home Form) UCV Moquegua (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Alianza Lima 1.17
Draw 6.5
UCV Moquegua 15

Half Time Result

Alianza Lima 1.58
Draw 2.59
UCV Moquegua 12.2

Double Chance

Alianza Lima or Draw 1.03
Alianza Lima or UCV Moquegua 1.08
Draw or UCV Moquegua 4.7

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.63
No 1.44

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.2
Over 2.5 1.02
Over 3.5 2.5
Under 1.5 4.15
Under 2.5 1.25
Under 3.5 1.47

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.39

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.19
Over 9.5 1.42
Over 10.5 1.95
Over 11.5 2.06

Alianza Lima Goals

Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.3

UCV Moquegua Goals

Over 0.5 2.47
Over 1.5 6.7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Dacia Unirea Brăila vs Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat 16:00 BST | 3. Liga: Series 2, Romania Dacia Unirea Brăila have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Olimpia Râmnicu Sărat have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    92% combined
  • Mounties Wanderers vs Stanmore Hawks 11:00 BST | New South Wales NPL 3, Australia Mounties Wanderers have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Stanmore Hawks have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    83% combined
  • Prestice vs Petřín Plzeň II 15:00 BST | 4. Liga Division A, Czech Republic Prestice have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Petřín Plzeň II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    82% combined
  • Louny vs Olympie Brezova 09:15 BST | 4. Liga Division B, Czech Republic Louny have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 home matches this season · Olympie Brezova have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    82% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.47
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Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Alianza Lima vs UCV Moquegua?

Over 1.5 Goals — Alianza Lima see 2+ goals in 90% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Alianza Lima or UCV Moquegua?

Alianza Lima hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Primera Division this season, while UCV Moquegua have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Alianza Lima and UCV Moquegua?

Mixed — Alianza Lima have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Alianza Lima and UCV Moquegua?

Possibly — Alianza Lima frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while UCV Moquegua are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Alianza Lima or UCV Moquegua?

Alianza Lima have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to UCV Moquegua's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Alianza Lima and UCV Moquegua?

Alianza Lima have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, UCV Moquegua in 30% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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