Toluca vs Atlético San Luis — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga MX, Mexico
🕒 Monday 13th April, 02:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Toluca to Win

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 8/10 home matches (80%). Atlético San Luis have struggled on the road, winning only 3/10 away games (30%). The hosts look strong favourites — see our Home Win stats.

Atlético San Luis have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Toluca are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Both Toluca and Atlético San Luis frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Toluca usually generate 8+ corners at home (60%), while Atlético San Luis are less consistent on the road (40%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Toluca to Win — Toluca have won 8/10 home games this season (80%), while Atlético San Luis have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Liga MX table for the 2025/2026 season, with Toluca (3rd) and Atlético San Luis (14th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga MX 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Toluca H 36 21 10 5 69:32 +37 73
2 Cruz Azul 34 19 11 4 61:38 +23 68
3 Tigres UANL 36 17 10 9 62:38 +24 61
4 Guadalajara 32 19 4 9 58:38 +20 61
5 América 32 16 7 9 49:33 +16 55
6 Monterrey 34 15 6 13 58:51 +7 51
7 Pachuca 32 14 8 10 42:35 +7 50
8 Tijuana 34 12 12 10 50:44 +6 48
9 Pumas UNAM 31 11 12 8 48:42 +6 45
10 Juárez 35 11 10 14 52:58 -6 43
11 Atlas 30 9 8 13 38:53 -15 35
12 Necaxa 30 9 6 15 40:49 -9 33
13 Querétaro 30 8 8 14 29:46 -17 32
14 León 31 9 5 17 30:55 -25 32
15 Atlético San Luis A 30 9 3 18 45:51 -6 30
16 Santos Laguna 30 8 5 17 37:59 -22 29
17 Mazatlán 30 5 10 15 35:54 -19 25
18 Puebla 31 6 7 18 32:59 -27 25

Team Form

Toluca have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 80% of their home matches compared to Atlético San Luis's 30% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 8 (80%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Lost 0 (0%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Toluca have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Atlético San Luis in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Atlético San Luis regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Toluca are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Toluca have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Atlético San Luis in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 24 (2.4 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 19 (1.9 avg)

Match Corners

Toluca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético San Luis in 30% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 9.5 Corners 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Toluca have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Atlético San Luis have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Toluca (Home Form) Atlético San Luis (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Toluca and Atlético San Luis. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

30 Aug 2025
Atlético San Luis
1 – 3 HT: 0-2
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Apr 2025
Atlético San Luis
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25 Aug 2024
Toluca
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Atlético San Luis
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
20 Apr 2024
Atlético San Luis
1 – 5 HT: 1-2
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29 Oct 2023
Toluca
3 – 1 HT: 1-0
Atlético San Luis
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Feb 2023
Toluca
2 – 0 HT: 2-0
Atlético San Luis
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Aug 2022
Atlético San Luis
1 – 0 HT: 1-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12 Feb 2022
Atlético San Luis
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
26 Sep 2021
Toluca
1 – 2 HT: 1-2
Atlético San Luis
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
06 Mar 2021
Atlético San Luis
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Toluca
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Toluca vs Atlético San Luis across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Toluca 1.4
Draw 5.4
Atlético San Luis 6

Half Time Result

Toluca 1.83
Draw 2.62
Atlético San Luis 7.17

Double Chance

Toluca or Draw 1.1
Toluca or Atlético San Luis 1.17
Draw or Atlético San Luis 2.8

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.7
No 2.05

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.14
Over 2.5 1.5
Over 3.5 2.25
Under 1.5 4.9
Under 2.5 2.5
Under 3.5 1.57

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.24
Over 1.5 2.2

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.29
Over 9.5 1.41
Over 10.5 2.1
Over 11.5 2.24

Toluca Goals

Over 0.5 1.04
Over 1.5 1.4

Atlético San Luis Goals

Over 0.5 1.64
Over 1.5 3.88

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Fiľakovo vs Rimavská Sobota 15:00 BST | 3. Liga - Center, Slovakia Fiľakovo have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Rimavská Sobota have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    94% combined
  • Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 vs Ninh Bình 12:00 BST | V-League, Vietnam Becamex Hồ Chí Minh U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Ninh Bình have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    94% combined
  • Sham Shui Po vs Supreme 08:00 BST | First Division, Hong Kong Sham Shui Po have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 home matches this season · Supreme have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    90% combined
  • Stoke City U21 vs Southampton U21 13:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Stoke City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Southampton U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    88% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.14
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Toluca vs Atlético San Luis Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Toluca vs Atlético San Luis?

Toluca to Win — they've won 8/10 (80%) of their last 10 home games, while Atlético San Luis have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Toluca or Atlético San Luis?

Toluca hold a clear form advantage — they've won 80% of home games in Liga MX this season, while Atlético San Luis have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Toluca and Atlético San Luis?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Toluca have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Atlético San Luis in 70% of away games in Liga MX. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Toluca and Atlético San Luis?

Possibly — Atlético San Luis regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Toluca are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Toluca or Atlético San Luis?

Toluca have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Atlético San Luis's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Toluca and Atlético San Luis?

Toluca have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Atlético San Luis in 30% of away games in Liga MX. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Other Upcoming Fixtures

Toluca vs Atlético San Luis

📍 Liga MX, Mexico

🕒 Monday 13th April, 02:00 BST

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🕒 Saturday 18th April, 02:00 BST

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Necaxa vs Tigres UANL

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Cruz Azul vs Tijuana

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 00:00 BST

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Monterrey vs Pachuca

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:00 BST

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Guadalajara vs Puebla

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🕒 Sunday 19th April, 02:07 BST

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América vs Toluca

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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