Arsenal vs Burnley

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Monday 18th May, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Arsenal to Win

Arsenal average 1.6 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Burnley average 0.9 scored and 2.2 conceded in away fixtures. The home record backs Arsenal strongly — they've won 7/10 home games (70%), while Burnley have lost 6/10 on the road (60%).

Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Burnley in 50% away (5/10). Arsenal average 1.6 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Burnley 0.9 and 2.2 on the road.

Burnley regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (70%, 7/10). Arsenal are lower at home (20%, 2/10) — they've conceded in 30% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Arsenal see 8+ in 60% of home games, Burnley in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Arsenal to Win — Arsenal have won 7/10 home games this season (70%), while Burnley have lost 6/10 away (60%). A strong statistical case for the home side.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Arsenal (th) and Burnley (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal H 36 24 7 5 68:26 +42 79
2 Manchester City 35 22 8 5 72:32 +40 74
3 Manchester United 36 18 11 7 63:48 +15 65
4 Liverpool 36 17 8 11 60:48 +12 59
5 Aston Villa 36 17 8 11 50:46 +4 59
6 AFC Bournemouth 36 13 16 7 56:52 +4 55
7 Brighton & Hove Albion 36 14 11 11 52:42 +10 53
8 Brentford 36 14 9 13 52:49 +3 51
9 Everton 36 13 10 13 46:46 0 49
10 Chelsea 36 13 10 13 55:49 +6 49
11 Sunderland 36 12 12 12 37:46 -9 48
12 Fulham 36 14 6 16 44:50 -6 48
13 Newcastle United 36 13 7 16 50:52 -2 46
14 Crystal Palace 35 11 11 13 38:44 -6 44
15 Nottingham Forest 36 11 10 15 45:47 -2 43
16 Leeds United 35 10 13 12 47:52 -5 43
17 Tottenham Hotspur 35 9 10 16 45:54 -9 37
18 West Ham United 36 9 9 18 42:62 -20 36
19 Burnley A 36 4 9 23 37:73 -36 21
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 36 3 9 24 25:66 -41 18

Team Form

Arsenal have been in exceptional home form this season, winning 70% of their home matches compared to Burnley's 10% away. The hosts hold a significant form advantage heading into this fixture.

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 7 (70%) 1 (10%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 2 (20%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley regularly see both teams score in away matches (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (20%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 2 (20%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Burnley in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 1 (10%) 4 (40%)

Under Goals

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 9 (90%) 6 (60%)

Team Goals

Arsenal have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Burnley in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 16 (1.6 avg) 9 (0.9 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 5 (0.5 avg) 22 (2.2 avg)

Match Corners

Both Arsenal (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Burnley (80% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Arsenal have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 50% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Burnley have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 8 (80%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Arsenal (Home Form) Burnley (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Arsenal vs Burnley across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Arsenal 1.1
Draw 10
Burnley 17

Half Time Result

Arsenal 1.36
Draw 3.5
Burnley 15

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.38
No 1.53

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.38
Over 3.5 1.93
Under 1.5 6.4
Under 2.5 3.1
Under 3.5 1.93

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.18
Over 1.5 1.83

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.02
Over 1.5 1.16

Burnley Goals

Over 0.5 2.25
Over 1.5 8

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • San Lorenzo Res. vs Olimpia Res. 11:30 BST | Division Profesional Reserva, Paraguay San Lorenzo Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/9 home matches this season · Olimpia Res. have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    72% combined
  • Sharjah U23 vs Al Bataeh U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Sharjah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Al Bataeh U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    71% combined
  • Ajman U23 vs Dibba Al Fujairah U23 15:10 BST | Arabian Gulf Reserve League, United Arab Emirates Ajman U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · Dibba Al Fujairah U23 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    71% combined
  • Śląsk Wrocław vs ŁKS Łódź 17:30 BST | 1. Liga, Poland Śląsk Wrocław have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/14 home matches this season · ŁKS Łódź have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/15 away matches this season · Odds: 1.65
    68% combined

Arsenal vs Burnley Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Arsenal vs Burnley?

Arsenal to Win — they've won 7/10 (70%) of their last 10 home games, while Burnley have lost 6/10 (60%) of their last 10 away matches. A strong statistical case for the home side.

Which team is likely to win, Arsenal or Burnley?

Arsenal hold a clear form advantage — they've won 70% of home games in Premier League this season, while Burnley have won only 10% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Arsenal and Burnley?

Possibly — Burnley regularly see both teams score away (70%), while Arsenal are lower at home (20%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Arsenal and Burnley?

Uncertain — Arsenal have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Burnley in 50% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Arsenal or Burnley?

Arsenal have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Burnley's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Arsenal and Burnley?

Arsenal have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 60% of home games, Burnley in 50% of away games in Premier League. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

Discover match stats based on likely outcomes for the next 3–4 days.

Other Upcoming Fixtures

Tottenham Hotspur vs Leeds United

📍 Premier League, England

🕒 Monday 11th May, 20:00 BST

Aston Villa vs Liverpool

📍 Premier League, England

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 12:30 BST

Manchester United vs Nottingham Forest

📍 Premier League, England

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 12:30 BST

Leeds United vs Brighton & Hove Albion

📍 Premier League, England

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 15:00 BST

Wolverhampton Wanderers vs Fulham

📍 Premier League, England

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 15:00 BST

Everton vs Sunderland

📍 Premier League, England

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 15:00 BST

Brentford vs Crystal Palace

📍 Premier League, England

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 15:00 BST

Newcastle United vs West Ham United

📍 Premier League, England

🕒 Sunday 17th May, 17:30 BST

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)