Aston Villa vs Liverpool

📍 Premier League, England
🕒 Sunday 17th May, 12:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Aston Villa average 2.1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Liverpool average 1.1 scored and 1.6 conceded in away fixtures. Aston Villa have the stronger home record this season (6/10, 60%) against a Liverpool side who've won 4/10 away (40%).

Aston Villa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games this season (6/10); Liverpool in 60% away (6/10). Aston Villa average 2.1 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Liverpool 1.1 and 1.6 on the road.

BTTS figures are mid-range for both sides — Aston Villa at 50% in home games (5/10), Liverpool at 50% away (5/10). Neither a clear yes nor no based on the stats alone.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Aston Villa see 8+ in 90% of home games, Liverpool in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Aston Villa see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Liverpool in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Aston Villa (th) and Liverpool (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Arsenal 35 23 7 5 67:26 +41 76
2 Manchester City 34 21 8 5 69:32 +37 71
3 Manchester United 35 18 10 7 63:48 +15 64
4 Liverpool A 35 17 7 11 59:47 +12 58
5 Aston Villa H 35 17 7 11 48:44 +4 58
6 AFC Bournemouth 35 12 16 7 55:52 +3 52
7 Brentford 35 14 9 12 52:46 +6 51
8 Brighton & Hove Albion 35 13 11 11 49:42 +7 50
9 Everton 35 13 9 13 44:44 0 48
10 Fulham 35 14 6 15 44:49 -5 48
11 Chelsea 35 13 9 13 54:48 +6 48
12 Sunderland 35 12 11 12 37:46 -9 47
13 Newcastle United 35 13 6 16 49:51 -2 45
14 Crystal Palace 34 11 10 13 36:42 -6 43
15 Leeds United 35 10 13 12 47:52 -5 43
16 Nottingham Forest 35 11 9 15 44:46 -2 42
17 Tottenham Hotspur 35 9 10 16 45:54 -9 37
18 West Ham United 35 9 9 17 42:61 -19 36
19 Burnley 35 4 8 23 35:71 -36 20
20 Wolverhampton Wanderers 35 3 9 23 25:63 -38 18

Team Form

Aston Villa hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Liverpool have been less consistent on the road (40%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Aston Villa have seen both teams score in 50% of home games, Liverpool in 50% of away games. The full BTTS breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Aston Villa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Liverpool in 60% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Aston Villa have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Liverpool in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Aston Villa regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Liverpool are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 9 (90%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Aston Villa have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Liverpool have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

Aston Villa (Home Form) Liverpool (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Aston Villa vs Liverpool across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Aston Villa 3.6
Draw 4
Liverpool 1.83

Half Time Result

Aston Villa 3.86
Draw 2.58
Liverpool 2.4

Double Chance

Aston Villa or Draw 1.97
Aston Villa or Liverpool 1.22
Draw or Liverpool 1.27

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.5
No 2.5

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.12
Over 2.5 1.49
Over 3.5 2.27
Under 1.5 6
Under 2.5 2.6
Under 3.5 1.71

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.22
Over 1.5 2.23

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.17
Over 9.5 1.32
Over 10.5 1.53
Over 11.5 1.85

Aston Villa Goals

Over 0.5 1.26
Over 1.5 2.35

Liverpool Goals

Over 0.5 1.1
Over 1.5 1.65

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Balestier Khalsa vs Tanjong Pagar 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Balestier Khalsa have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 home matches this season · Tanjong Pagar have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    94% combined
  • Roda JC U21 vs MVV U21 13:30 BST | U21 Divisie 4, Netherlands Roda JC U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/12 home matches this season · MVV U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    91% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tabasalu 17:00 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Tabasalu have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    91% combined
  • Bettembourg W vs Ell W 16:00 BST | Ligue 1 Women, Luxembourg Bettembourg W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Ell W have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.71
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Aston Villa vs Liverpool Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Aston Villa vs Liverpool?

Over 8.5 Corners — Aston Villa see 9+ corners in 90% of home games, Liverpool in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Aston Villa or Liverpool?

Aston Villa hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Premier League this season, while Liverpool have won only 40% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Aston Villa and Liverpool?

Mixed — Aston Villa have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Liverpool in 50% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Premier League fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Aston Villa and Liverpool?

Uncertain — Aston Villa have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Liverpool in 60% of away games in Premier League. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Aston Villa or Liverpool?

Aston Villa have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Liverpool's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Aston Villa and Liverpool?

Possibly — Aston Villa regularly reach high corner counts at home (90%), while Liverpool are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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