Atalanta vs Genoa — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Italy
🕒 Saturday 2nd May, 19:45 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Atalanta hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Genoa are less consistent on the road (2/10, 20%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Atalanta consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Genoa are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Atalanta often see both teams score at home (60%), while Genoa are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Genoa regularly hit 8+ corners on the road (80%). Expect them to create set-piece pressure, supporting Over 8.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Atalanta see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Genoa in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025/2026 season, with Atalanta (th) and Genoa (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Inter 33 25 3 5 78:29 +49 78
2 Napoli 33 20 6 7 48:33 +15 66
3 AC Milan 32 18 9 5 47:27 +20 63
4 Juventus 32 17 9 6 55:29 +26 60
5 Como 33 16 10 7 57:28 +29 58
6 Roma 32 18 3 11 45:28 +17 57
7 Atalanta H 32 14 11 7 44:28 +16 53
8 Bologna 32 14 6 12 42:37 +5 48
9 Lazio 33 12 11 10 34:30 +4 47
10 Sassuolo 33 13 6 14 41:44 -3 45
11 Udinese 33 12 7 14 38:43 -5 43
12 Torino 32 11 6 15 37:54 -17 39
13 Parma 33 9 12 12 24:40 -16 39
14 Genoa A 32 9 9 14 38:45 -7 36
15 Fiorentina 32 8 11 13 37:44 -7 35
16 Cagliari 33 8 9 16 33:47 -14 33
17 Cremonese 32 6 9 17 26:47 -21 27
18 Lecce 32 7 6 19 21:45 -24 27
19 Hellas Verona 32 3 9 20 23:55 -32 18
20 Pisa 32 2 12 18 23:58 -35 18

Team Form

Atalanta hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Genoa have been less consistent on the road (20%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atalanta frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Genoa are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Atalanta frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Genoa are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 5 (50%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Atalanta have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Genoa in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 15 (1.5 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)

Match Corners

Atalanta have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Genoa in 60% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Atalanta have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Genoa have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 7 (70%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Atalanta (Home Form) Genoa (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 9 (90%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Atalanta vs Genoa Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atalanta vs Genoa?

Over 1.5 Goals — Atalanta see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Genoa in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Atalanta or Genoa?

Atalanta hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while Genoa have won only 20% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Atalanta and Genoa?

Mixed — Atalanta have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Genoa in 40% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atalanta and Genoa?

Possibly — Atalanta frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Genoa are lower on the road (40%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atalanta or Genoa?

Atalanta have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Genoa's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atalanta and Genoa?

Atalanta have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Genoa in 60% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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