Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Champions League, Europe
🕒 Wednesday 29th April, 20:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes

Atlético Madrid hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Arsenal are less consistent on the road (5/10, 50%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Atlético Madrid consistently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 Goals in 80%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking threat could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Both Atlético Madrid and Arsenal frequently see both teams scoring (70% and 70% respectively). BTTS – Yes looks highly probable with both sides regularly finding the net this season.

Atlético Madrid usually generate 8+ corners at home (80%), while Arsenal are less consistent on the road (50%). Over 8.5 Corners may still be viable with the home side driving the count.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – Yes — Atlético Madrid see both teams score in 70% of home games, Arsenal in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Champions League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Atlético Madrid (th) and Arsenal (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Champions League 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 FC Bayern München 12 11 0 1 38:14 +24 33
2 Arsenal A 12 10 2 0 27:5 +22 32
3 Paris Saint Germain 14 9 3 2 38:17 +21 30
4 Real Madrid 14 9 0 5 33:20 +13 27
5 Qarabağ 16 8 1 7 31:35 -4 25
6 FC Barcelona 12 7 2 3 32:20 +12 23
7 Club Brugge 14 7 2 5 32:27 +5 23
8 Atlético Madrid H 14 7 2 5 34:26 +8 23
9 Pafos FC 14 6 5 3 16:14 +2 23
10 FC København 14 6 4 4 23:22 +1 22
11 Newcastle United 12 6 3 3 29:18 +11 21
12 Liverpool 12 7 0 5 24:13 +11 21
13 Bodø / Glimt 14 6 3 5 28:24 +4 21
14 Sporting CP 12 6 2 4 22:15 +7 20
15 Tottenham Hotspur 10 6 2 2 22:14 +8 20
16 Benfica 14 6 1 7 16:15 +1 19
17 Bayer 04 Leverkusen 12 4 5 3 16:17 -1 17
18 Galatasaray 12 5 1 6 17:20 -3 16
19 Manchester City 10 5 1 4 16:14 +2 16
20 Juventus 10 4 4 2 19:17 +2 16
21 Chelsea 10 5 1 4 19:18 +1 16
22 Atalanta 12 5 1 6 16:23 -7 16
23 Inter 10 5 0 5 17:12 +5 15
24 Borussia Dortmund 10 4 2 4 22:21 +1 14
25 Ferencvárosi 6 4 1 1 13:9 +4 13
26 Kairat 16 3 4 9 14:26 -12 13
27 Malmö FF 6 4 1 1 11:8 +3 13
28 Olympiacos F.C. 10 3 3 4 10:16 -6 12
29 Monaco 10 2 5 3 12:19 -7 11
30 Crvena Zvezda 6 3 2 1 12:6 +6 11
31 Skendija 79 6 3 1 2 6:8 -2 10
32 Ludogorets 6 2 3 1 6:6 0 9
33 Olympique Marseille 8 3 0 5 11:14 -3 9
34 Union Saint-Gilloise 8 3 0 5 8:17 -9 9
35 PSV 8 2 2 4 16:16 0 8
36 Athletic Club 8 2 2 4 9:14 -5 8
37 Napoli 8 2 2 4 9:15 -6 8
38 Rangers 6 2 1 3 8:12 -4 7
39 KuPS 4 2 1 1 3:3 0 7
40 Slovan Bratislava 4 2 1 1 7:3 +4 7
41 Zrinjski 4 2 1 1 6:7 -1 7
42 Lech Poznań 4 2 1 1 10:5 +5 7
43 Ajax 8 2 0 6 8:21 -13 6
44 Dynamo Kyiv 4 2 0 2 6:3 +3 6
45 Viktoria Plzeň 4 2 0 2 5:6 -1 6
46 Drita 4 2 0 2 4:5 -1 6
47 Rīgas FS 4 2 0 2 3:5 -2 6
48 Lincoln Red Imps 4 2 0 2 5:8 -3 6
49 Salzburg 4 1 1 2 7:6 +1 4
50 Fenerbahçe 4 1 1 2 6:5 +1 4
51 Shelbourne 4 1 1 2 2:5 -3 4
52 Eintracht Frankfurt 8 1 1 6 10:21 -11 4
53 Noah 4 1 1 2 7:8 -1 4
54 Feyenoord 2 1 0 1 4:6 -2 3
55 Hamrun Spartans 4 1 0 3 2:8 -6 3
56 Servette 2 1 0 1 2:3 -1 3
57 Sturm Graz 2 1 0 1 2:6 -4 3
58 FCSB 4 1 0 3 5:6 -1 3
59 Žalgiris 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
60 Inter Club d'Escaldes 2 1 0 1 3:4 -1 3
61 Breidablik 4 1 0 3 6:9 -3 3
62 Egnatia Rrogozhinë 2 1 0 1 1:5 -4 3
63 Slavia Praha 8 0 3 5 5:19 -14 3
64 Celtic 2 0 2 0 0:0 0 2
65 Brann 2 0 1 1 2:5 -3 1
66 Basel 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
67 Villarreal 8 0 1 7 5:18 -13 1
68 Maccabi Tel Aviv 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
69 Dinamo Minsk 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
70 Rijeka 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
71 Panathinaikos 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
72 Olimpija 2 0 1 1 1:3 -2 1
73 Budućnost 2 0 1 1 2:3 -1 1
74 The New Saints 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
75 Linfield 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
76 Milsami 2 0 1 1 0:1 -1 1
77 Nice 2 0 0 2 0:4 -4 0
78 FC Iberia 1999 2 0 0 2 2:6 -4 0
79 Virtus 2 0 0 2 1:4 -3 0
80 Differdange 03 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0
81 Levadia 2 0 0 2 0:2 -2 0
82 Víkingur 2 0 0 2 2:4 -2 0

Team Form

Atlético Madrid hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Arsenal have been less consistent on the road (50%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Lost 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Madrid have seen both teams score in 70% of home games this season, Arsenal in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Match Goals

Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Over Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Atlético Madrid have scored 2+ goals in 50% of home games this season, Arsenal in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 2 (20%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 25 (2.5 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 14 (1.4 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Atlético Madrid regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 5 (50%)
Over 10.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Team Corners

Atlético Madrid have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Arsenal have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Madrid (Home Form) Arsenal (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Madrid 2.88
Draw 3.3
Arsenal 2.5

Half Time Result

Atlético Madrid 3.5
Draw 2.1
Arsenal 3.2

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.91
No 1.91

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.27
Over 2.5 2.31
Over 3.5 3.19
Under 1.5 2.72
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 3.5 1.23

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.44
Over 1.5 3.25

Atlético Madrid Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.75

Arsenal Goals

Over 0.5 1.3
Over 1.5 2.5

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Union Berlin W vs Bayern Munich W 17:00 BST | Google Pixel Frauen-Bundesliga, Germany Union Berlin W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 home matches this season · Bayern Munich W have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    86% combined
  • College Corinthians vs Mayfield United 18:45 BST | Munster Senior League, Republic of Ireland College Corinthians have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Mayfield United have seen over 2.5 goals in 3/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.8
    80% combined
  • Malahide United vs Killester Donnycarney 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Malahide United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Killester Donnycarney have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    80% combined
  • Excelsior Rotterdam W vs NAC Breda W 17:45 BST | Eredivisie Women, Netherlands Excelsior Rotterdam W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · NAC Breda W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    75% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.94
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Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Madrid vs Arsenal?

Both Teams to Score — Atlético Madrid see BTTS in 70% of home games, Arsenal in 70% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net this season.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Madrid or Arsenal?

Atlético Madrid have a slight form edge at home (60% wins) over Arsenal on the road (50% wins) in Champions League. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Madrid and Arsenal?

Yes — both sides have been regularly involved in matches where both teams score. Atlético Madrid have seen BTTS in 70% of home games, Arsenal in 70% of away games in Champions League. Goals at both ends look likely.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Madrid and Arsenal?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (60%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Madrid or Arsenal?

Atlético Madrid have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 50% of home games compared to Arsenal's 20% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Madrid and Arsenal?

Possibly — Atlético Madrid regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Arsenal are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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