Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Wednesday 5th November, 23:00 GMT

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Bahia have been outstanding away from home this season, winning 7/10 away games (70%). Atlético Mineiro have struggled at home, winning only 4/10 (40%). The visitors look the stronger side — see our Away Win stats.

Goal trends are mixed for this fixture (Atlético Mineiro 40% Over 2.5 at home, Bahia 50% away). Browse our Over 2.5 Goals and Under 2.5 Goals stats for more context.

Atlético Mineiro often see both teams score at home (70%), while Bahia are less consistent on the road (50%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Atlético Mineiro regularly reach high corner totals at home (70%), while Bahia are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Atlético Mineiro see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Bahia in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Atlético Mineiro (13th) and Bahia (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 38 23 10 5 78:27 +51 79
2 Palmeiras 38 23 7 8 66:33 +33 76
3 Cruzeiro 38 19 13 6 55:31 +24 70
4 Mirassol 38 18 13 7 63:39 +24 67
5 Fluminense 38 19 7 12 50:39 +11 64
6 Botafogo 38 17 12 9 58:38 +20 63
7 Bahia A 38 17 9 12 50:46 +4 60
8 São Paulo 38 14 9 15 43:47 -4 51
9 Grêmio 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
10 Atlético Mineiro H 38 12 12 14 43:44 -1 48
11 Bragantino 38 14 6 18 45:57 -12 48
12 Corinthians 38 12 11 15 42:47 -5 47
13 Santos 38 12 11 15 45:50 -5 47
14 Vitória 38 11 12 15 35:52 -17 45
15 Vasco da Gama 38 13 6 19 55:60 -5 45
16 Internacional 38 11 11 16 44:57 -13 44
17 Fortaleza 38 11 10 17 43:58 -15 43
18 Ceará 38 11 10 17 34:40 -6 43
19 Juventude 38 9 8 21 35:69 -34 35
20 Sport Recife 38 2 11 25 28:75 -47 17

Team Form

Bahia have been outstanding on the road this season, winning 70% of away games compared to Atlético Mineiro's 40% at home. The visitors arrive as the stronger side on current form.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Drawn 6 (60%) 1 (10%)
Lost 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Bahia are less consistent on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 5 (50%)

Match Goals

Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Bahia in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Atlético Mineiro have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Bahia in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 16 (1.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 10 (1 avg) 10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Atlético Mineiro (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Bahia (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 3 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Atlético Mineiro have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Bahia have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Mineiro (Home Form) Bahia (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Atlético Mineiro and Bahia. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

13th Jul, 2025
Bahia
2 – 1 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 4–7 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
15th Sep, 2024
Bahia
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 6–1 Cards 1–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Jun, 2024
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Bahia
Corners 5–4 Cards 6–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
7th Dec, 2023
Bahia
4 – 1 HT: 2-1
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 3–5 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Aug, 2023
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
Corners 2–9 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
2nd Dec, 2021
Bahia
2 – 3 HT: 0-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 4–6 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
5th Aug, 2021
Bahia
2 – 1 HT: 2-0
Atlético Mineiro
Corners 5–3 Cards 3–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
29th Jul, 2021
Atlético Mineiro
2 – 0 HT: 1-0
Bahia
Corners 5–6 Cards 2–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
25th Jul, 2021
Atlético Mineiro
3 – 0 HT: 0-0
Bahia
Corners 8–8 Cards 2–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
13th Feb, 2021
Atlético Mineiro
1 – 1 HT: 1-0
Bahia
Corners 6–2 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 2.17
Draw 3.27
Bahia 3.74

Half Time Result

Atlético Mineiro 2.87
Draw 2.1
Bahia 4

Double Chance

Atlético Mineiro or Draw 1.3
Atlético Mineiro or Bahia 1.38
Draw or Bahia 1.75

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.89
No 1.9

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.48
Over 2.5 2.46
Over 3.5 5
Under 1.5 3
Under 2.5 1.66
Under 3.5 1.24

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.46
Over 1.5 3.15

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.42
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 2.32
Over 11.5 2.39

Atlético Mineiro Goals

Over 0.5 1.28
Over 1.5 2.44

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.2

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Vojvodina U19 vs Novi Pazar U19 12:00 BST | U19 League, Serbia Vojvodina U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Novi Pazar U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    87% combined
  • Pogon Szczecin II vs Luzino 14:00 BST | 3. Liga - Group 2, Poland Pogon Szczecin II have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Luzino have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.47
    83% combined
  • Zsambeki SK vs Tatabánya 16:00 BST | NB 3: Northwest, Hungary Zsambeki SK have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Tatabánya have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.29
    82% combined
  • Bulle vs Lausanne II 18:30 BST | 1.Liga Promotion, Switzerland Bulle have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 home matches this season · Lausanne II have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    81% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Mineiro vs Bahia?

Over 8.5 Corners — Atlético Mineiro see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Bahia in 70% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Mineiro or Bahia?

Bahia arrive in the better form — winning 70% of away games in Serie A this season compared to Atlético Mineiro's 40% at home. The visitors may have the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Bahia?

Possibly — Atlético Mineiro frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Bahia are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Bahia?

Uncertain — Atlético Mineiro have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Bahia in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Mineiro or Bahia?

Bahia have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Atlético Mineiro's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Mineiro and Bahia?

Yes — both Atlético Mineiro (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Bahia (70% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Serie A. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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