Atlético Progreso vs Cerro Largo — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 13:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Atlético Progreso (20% home wins) hold a slight edge over Cerro Largo on the road (40% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Atlético Progreso frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Cerro Largo are more variable on the road (70%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Both teams rarely see both sides score — Atlético Progreso at 40% at home and Cerro Largo at 40% away. Solid defensive records on both sides make BTTS – No a reasonable selection.

Cerro Largo often produce high corner totals away (90%), while Atlético Progreso are lower at home (20%). The visitors may push the game to Over 9.5 Corners.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Atlético Progreso see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Cerro Largo in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Atlético Progreso (14th) and Cerro Largo (12th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 13 9 3 1 22:11 +11 30
2 Deportivo Maldonado 13 7 2 4 21:15 +6 23
3 Peñarol 13 7 2 4 19:13 +6 23
4 Albion 13 6 4 3 22:14 +8 22
5 Central Español 13 6 3 4 20:20 0 21
6 Defensor Sporting 13 5 5 3 11:8 +3 20
7 Nacional 13 6 1 6 20:18 +2 19
8 Montevideo City Torque 13 5 4 4 19:14 +5 19
9 Danubio 13 4 6 3 17:17 0 18
10 Wanderers 13 5 2 6 14:19 -5 17
11 Liverpool 13 4 5 4 17:17 0 17
12 Cerro Largo A 13 4 2 7 13:16 -3 14
13 Boston River 13 4 2 7 11:17 -6 14
14 Cerro 13 2 4 7 8:19 -11 10
15 Atlético Progreso H 13 2 4 7 11:20 -9 10
16 Juventud 13 2 3 8 13:20 -7 9

Team Form

Atlético Progreso have lost 60% of their home matches this season, while Cerro Largo have been more resilient on the road (40% losses). The visitors may have a slight edge in consistency.

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 6 (60%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Atlético Progreso (40% BTTS at home) and Cerro Largo (40% BTTS away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches this season. A clean sheet for one side looks the more likely outcome.

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Atlético Progreso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Cerro Largo in 40% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Atlético Progreso have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Cerro Largo in 20% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 11 (1.1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 21 (2.1 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Cerro Largo frequently reach high corner counts away from home (90%), while Atlético Progreso are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 4 (40%) 9 (90%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 9 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 9 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Atlético Progreso have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Cerro Largo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Atlético Progreso (Home Form) Cerro Largo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Atlético Progreso vs Cerro Largo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Atlético Progreso 2.55
Draw 3
Cerro Largo 2.63

Half Time Result

Atlético Progreso 3.2
Draw 2.04
Cerro Largo 3.5

Double Chance

Atlético Progreso or Draw 1.36
Atlético Progreso or Cerro Largo 1.32
Draw or Cerro Largo 1.45

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2
No 1.73

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 2.35
Over 3.5 4.5
Under 1.5 2.62
Under 2.5 1.57
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.5

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.37
Over 9.5 1.7
Over 10.5 2.54
Over 11.5 2.83

Atlético Progreso Goals

Over 0.5 1.32
Over 1.5 2.75

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Albirex Niigata S vs Tampines Rovers 12:30 BST | Premier League, Singapore Albirex Niigata S have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tampines Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    87% combined
  • Al Mesaimeer vs Al Mu'aidar 17:00 BST | Q League, Qatar Al Mesaimeer have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Al Mu'aidar have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.61
    83% combined
  • Escola Varsovia U19 vs Lech Poznan U19 11:30 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Escola Varsovia U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/12 home matches this season · Lech Poznan U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    83% combined
  • Wisla U19 vs Legia Warszawa U19 10:00 BST | Central Youth League, Poland Wisla U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/12 home matches this season · Legia Warszawa U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Atlético Progreso vs Cerro Largo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Atlético Progreso vs Cerro Largo?

Over 1.5 Goals — Atlético Progreso see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Cerro Largo in 70% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Atlético Progreso or Cerro Largo?

Cerro Largo hold a slight form advantage away (40% wins) over Atlético Progreso at home (20% wins) in Primera Division. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Atlético Progreso and Cerro Largo?

Unlikely — Atlético Progreso (40% BTTS at home) and Cerro Largo (40% away) have both been involved in predominantly one-sided matches in Primera Division. A clean sheet for one side looks the more probable outcome.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Atlético Progreso and Cerro Largo?

Uncertain — Atlético Progreso have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 60% of home games, Cerro Largo in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Atlético Progreso or Cerro Largo?

Cerro Largo have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of away games compared to Atlético Progreso's 10% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Atlético Progreso and Cerro Largo?

Possibly — Cerro Largo frequently reach high corner counts away (90%), while Atlético Progreso are lower at home (30%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

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