Liga Portugal · Portugal 🕒 Saturday 4th October, 18:00 BST

AVS vs Alverca Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

AVS Home · 18th 2W 4D 4L last 10 home
VS
Alverca Away · 13th 1W 3D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
AVS 32% Draw 27% Alverca 41%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

AVS vs Alverca Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

AVS see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Alverca in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
32% AVS win 27% Draw 41% Alverca win 50% BTTS 47% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
74% Under 3.5 Goals 72% Over 1.5 Goals

AVS sit 18th in the table after 5 games, averaging 1 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Alverca are 13th after 5 games, averaging 0.8 scored and 1.9 conceded on the road. AVS have won 2/10 home games (20%) this season; Alverca have won 1/10 on the road (10%). There's no dominant edge either way.

AVS have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games this season (4/10); Alverca in 50% away (5/10). AVS average 1 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Alverca 0.8 and 1.9 on the road.

Alverca regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (60%, 6/10). AVS are lower at home (40%, 4/10). They've conceded in 80% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Alverca are involved in high-corner games on the road (10+ corners in 80% of away fixtures, 8/10). AVS are lower at home (50%), but the visitors' style tends to push the total up.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where AVS (18th) and Alverca (13th) sit in the Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
11 Alverca A 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
18 AVS H 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21
View the full Liga Portugal 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 34 28 4 2 66:18 +48 88
2 Sporting CP 34 25 7 2 89:24 +65 82
3 Benfica 34 23 11 0 74:25 +49 80
4 Sporting Braga 34 16 11 7 64:36 +28 59
5 Famalicão 34 15 11 8 42:29 +13 56
6 Gil Vicente 34 13 11 10 47:38 +9 50
7 Moreirense 34 12 7 15 37:49 -12 43
8 Vitória Guimarães 34 12 6 16 39:51 -12 42
9 Arouca 34 12 6 16 47:64 -17 42
10 Estoril 34 10 9 15 54:57 -3 39
11 Alverca A 34 10 9 15 35:52 -17 39
12 Santa Clara 34 9 9 16 32:41 -9 36
13 Rio Ave 34 8 12 14 35:57 -22 36
14 Nacional 34 9 7 18 37:45 -8 34
15 Estrela Amadora 34 6 12 16 38:56 -18 30
16 Casa Pia 34 6 12 16 31:57 -26 30
17 Tondela 34 6 10 18 27:55 -28 28
18 AVS H 34 3 12 19 27:67 -40 21

Team Form

Alverca have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while AVS have been more solid at home (40% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H AVS: last 10 home A Alverca: last 10 away
Won
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Drawn
H
4/10 (40%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Lost
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Alverca regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while AVS are lower at home (40%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H AVS: last 10 home A Alverca: last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Scored Themselves
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

AVS have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Alverca in 50% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H AVS: last 10 home A Alverca: last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Team Goals

AVS have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Alverca in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

AVS 1 scored · 1.3 conceded per home game Alverca 0.8 scored · 1.9 conceded per away game
H AVS: last 10 home A Alverca: last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/10 (20%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
8/10 (80%)
A
10/10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: AVS 10 scored / 13 conceded at home · Alverca 8 scored / 19 conceded away

Match Corners

Both AVS (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Alverca (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches. Expect plenty of set-piece opportunities from both sides.

H AVS: last 10 home A Alverca: last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
8/10 (80%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
9/10 (90%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Team Corners

AVS have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of home matches.

Alverca have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 40% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

H AVS: last 10 home A Alverca: last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/10 (40%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
2/10 (20%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
5/10 (50%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
3/10 (30%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for AVS vs Alverca across a range of markets: full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change. Always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

AVS 3.25 Model: 32%
Draw 3.25 Model: 27%
Alverca 2.25 Model: 41%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.04 Model: 50%
No 1.92 Model: 50%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.49 Model: 72%
Value Over 2.5 2.44 Model: 47%
Value Over 3.5 4.9 Model: 26%
Under 1.5 3 Model: 28%
Under 2.5 1.66 Model: 53%
Under 3.5 1.24 Model: 74%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.54
Over 1.5 3.48

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.5 Model: 22%
Over 9.5 1.91 Model: 15%
Over 10.5 2.47 Model: 11%
Over 11.5 5 Model: 8%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

AVS 4.01 Model: 22%
Draw 2 Model: 43%
Alverca 3 Model: 35%

Double Chance

AVS or Draw 1.61 Model: 59%
AVS or Alverca 1.33 Model: 73%
Draw or Alverca 1.33 Model: 68%

AVS Goals

Over 0.5 1.5 Model: 65%
Over 1.5 3.3 Model: 31%
Over 2.5 9.3

Alverca Goals

Over 0.5 1.38 Model: 72%
Value Over 1.5 2.85 Model: 38%
Over 2.5 7.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • GIF Sundsvall vs Öster 18:00 BST | Superettan, Sweden GIF Sundsvall have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 home matches this season · Öster have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.72
    90% combined
  • Ranheim II vs Kvik Trondheim 18:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 2, Norway Ranheim II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Kvik Trondheim have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Staal Jørpeland vs Odd II 17:00 BST | 3. Division - Group 4, Norway Staal Jørpeland have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Odd II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    80% combined
  • Vänersborgs IF vs Herrestads 18:30 BST | Division 2: Norra Gotaland, Sweden Vänersborgs IF have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Herrestads have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    80% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.72
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AVS vs Alverca Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for AVS vs Alverca?

Over 8.5 Corners: AVS see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Alverca in 90% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, AVS or Alverca?

AVS have a slight form edge at home (20% wins) over Alverca on the road (10% wins) in Liga Portugal. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between AVS and Alverca?

Mixed. AVS have seen BTTS in 40% of home games, Alverca in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Liga Portugal fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between AVS and Alverca?

Uncertain. AVS have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Alverca in 50% of away games in Liga Portugal. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: AVS or Alverca?

AVS have the stronger scoring record. 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Alverca's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between AVS and Alverca?

Yes. Both AVS (70% Over 8.5 at home) and Alverca (90% Over 8.5 away) regularly feature in high-corner matches in Liga Portugal. Plenty of set-piece opportunities expected.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

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