Burnley vs Nottingham Forest

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 2.5 Goals

Burnley sit 17th in the table after 3 games, averaging 1.4 goals scored and 1.9 conceded per home match this season. Nottingham Forest are 15th after 2 games, averaging 2.3 scored and 1 conceded on the road. Nottingham Forest carry the better away form into this fixture (6/10, 60%), while Burnley have won 1/10 at home (10%).

Nottingham Forest have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 80% of their away fixtures (8/10). Burnley are lower at home (60%, 6/10), averaging 1.4 scored and 1.9 conceded.

Both teams have regularly seen both sides score this season — Burnley in 60% of home games (6/10), Nottingham Forest in 60% away (6/10). Burnley have scored in 60% of home fixtures; Nottingham Forest in 100% of away games.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Burnley see 8+ in 70% of home games, Nottingham Forest in 80% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 2.5 Goals — Burnley have seen 3+ goals in 60% of home games, Nottingham Forest in 80% of away games. The numbers suggest an open, high-scoring fixture.

League Table

The full Premier League table for the 2025/2026 season, with Burnley (17th) and Nottingham Forest (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Premier League 2025/2026

#	Team	P	W	D	L	Goals	GD	Pts
1	Arsenal	35	23	7	5	67:26	+41	76
2	Manchester City	34	21	8	5	69:32	+37	71
3	Manchester United	35	18	10	7	63:48	+15	64
4	Liverpool	35	17	7	11	59:47	+12	58
5	Aston Villa	35	17	7	11	48:44	+4	58
6	AFC Bournemouth	35	12	16	7	55:52	+3	52
7	Brentford	35	14	9	12	52:46	+6	51
8	Brighton & Hove Albion	35	13	11	11	49:42	+7	50
9	Everton	35	13	9	13	44:44	0	48
10	Fulham	35	14	6	15	44:49	-5	48
11	Chelsea	35	13	9	13	54:48	+6	48
12	Sunderland	35	12	11	12	37:46	-9	47
13	Newcastle United	35	13	6	16	49:51	-2	45
14	Crystal Palace	34	11	10	13	36:42	-6	43
15	Leeds United	35	10	13	12	47:52	-5	43
16	Nottingham Forest A	35	11	9	15	44:46	-2	42
17	Tottenham Hotspur	35	9	10	16	45:54	-9	37
18	West Ham United	35	9	9	17	42:61	-19	36
19	Burnley H	35	4	8	23	35:71	-36	20
20	Wolverhampton Wanderers	35	3	9	23	25:63	-38	18

Team Form

Nottingham Forest have shown strong away form this season (60% wins), while Burnley have been less dominant at home (10%). The visitors may have the form edge in this one.

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Won	1 (10%)	6 (60%)
Drawn	3 (30%)	2 (20%)
Lost	6 (60%)	2 (20%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Burnley have seen both teams score in 60% of home games this season, Nottingham Forest in 60% of away games. Both sides have been regularly finding the net — the stats support a goal at each end.

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS)	6 (60%)	6 (60%)

Match Goals

Nottingham Forest regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 80%), while Burnley are lower at home (60%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals	9 (90%)	10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals	8 (80%)	10 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals	6 (60%)	8 (80%)
Over 3.5 Goals	5 (50%)	4 (40%)

Under Goals

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Under 0.5 Goals	1 (10%)	0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals	2 (20%)	0 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals	4 (40%)	2 (20%)
Under 3.5 Goals	5 (50%)	6 (60%)

Team Goals

Burnley have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Nottingham Forest in 40% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored	6 (60%)	10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored	4 (40%)	7 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored	2 (20%)	4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored	1 (10%)	1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded	9 (90%)	6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded	7 (70%)	3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded	2 (20%)	1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded	1 (10%)	0 (0%)

Goal Totals

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Total Goals Scored	14 (1.4 avg)	23 (2.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded	19 (1.9 avg)	10 (1 avg)

Match Corners

Nottingham Forest frequently reach high corner counts away from home (70%), while Burnley are lower at home (50%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 7.5 Corners	7 (70%)	8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners	5 (50%)	7 (70%)
Over 9.5 Corners	5 (50%)	6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners	3 (30%)	6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners	3 (30%)	4 (40%)
Over 12.5 Corners	2 (20%)	4 (40%)

Team Corners

Burnley have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of home matches.

Nottingham Forest have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 30% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners For	4 (40%)	5 (50%)
Over 5.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners For	2 (20%)	3 (30%)
Over 8.5 Corners For	1 (10%)	3 (30%)

Corners Conceded

	Burnley (Home Form)	Nottingham Forest (Away Form)
Last X Matches	10	10
Over 4.5 Corners Against	4 (40%)	6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against	4 (40%)	4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against	3 (30%)	2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against	1 (10%)	2 (20%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Burnley and Nottingham Forest. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

19th May, 2024

Burnley

1 – 2 HT: 0-2

Nottingham Forest

Corners 4–3 Cards 1–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

18th Sep, 2023

Nottingham Forest

1 – 1 HT: 0-1

Burnley

Corners 5–4 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

30th Aug, 2023

Nottingham Forest

0 – 1 HT: 0-0

Burnley

Corners 3–9 Cards 3–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

29th Jul, 2017

Nottingham Forest

1 – 1 HT: 1-0

Burnley