Casa Pia vs Tondela — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal
🕒 Sunday 3rd May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Casa Pia (20% home wins) hold a slight edge over Tondela on the road (30% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Tondela have a strong trend for high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 Goals in 70%), while Casa Pia are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Casa Pia often see both teams score at home (70%), while Tondela are less consistent on the road (40%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Casa Pia see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Tondela in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

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League Table

The full Liga Portugal table for the 2025/2026 season, with Casa Pia (th) and Tondela (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Liga Portugal 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Porto 29 24 4 1 59:14 +45 76
2 Sporting CP 28 22 5 1 73:17 +56 71
3 Benfica 29 20 9 0 61:18 +43 69
4 Sporting Braga 28 15 7 6 55:27 +28 52
5 Famalicão 29 13 8 8 36:25 +11 47
6 Gil Vicente 29 12 10 7 44:30 +14 46
7 Estoril 29 10 7 12 51:50 +1 37
8 Moreirense 29 10 6 13 32:41 -9 36
9 Vitória Guimarães 29 10 6 13 35:43 -8 36
10 Alverca 30 9 8 13 32:48 -16 35
11 Rio Ave 30 8 10 12 33:50 -17 34
12 Arouca 29 9 5 15 37:58 -21 32
13 Santa Clara 30 7 8 15 26:37 -11 29
14 Nacional 30 7 7 16 32:41 -9 28
15 Estrela Amadora 29 6 10 13 33:48 -15 28
16 Casa Pia H 29 5 11 13 28:52 -24 26
17 Tondela A 28 4 9 15 21:46 -25 21
18 AVS 30 1 10 19 21:64 -43 13

Team Form

Tondela have lost 50% of their away matches this season, while Casa Pia have been more solid at home (20% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 6 (60%) 2 (20%)
Lost 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Casa Pia frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Tondela are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 4 (40%)

Match Goals

Tondela regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Casa Pia are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Over Goals

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 8 (80%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)

Under Goals

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 2 (20%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)

Team Goals

Casa Pia have scored 2+ goals in 20% of home games this season, Tondela in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 7 (70%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goals Conceded

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Goal Totals

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 12 (1.2 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 20 (2 avg)

Match Corners

Casa Pia regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tondela are lower on the road (50%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 7 (70%) 5 (50%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Casa Pia have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 50% of home matches.

Tondela have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 30% of away matches.

Corners Won

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Casa Pia (Home Form) Tondela (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 2 (20%)

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • FC Bayern München vs VfB Stuttgart 16:30 BST | Bundesliga, Germany FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 home matches this season · VfB Stuttgart have seen over 2.5 goals in 14/14 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    100% combined
  • Borussia Dortmund U19 vs Schalke 04 U19 10:00 BST | U19 Bundesliga, Germany Borussia Dortmund U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/10 home matches this season · Schalke 04 U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    90% combined
  • Sporting Cristal vs UTC Cajamarca 17:00 BST | Primera Division, Peru Sporting Cristal have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · UTC Cajamarca have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    90% combined
  • Tainan City vs Tatung 08:30 BST | Taiwan Football Premier League, Taiwan Tainan City have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 home matches this season · Tatung have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    86% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.27
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Casa Pia vs Tondela Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Casa Pia vs Tondela?

Over 1.5 Goals — Casa Pia see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Tondela in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Casa Pia or Tondela?

Tondela hold a slight form advantage away (30% wins) over Casa Pia at home (20% wins) in Liga Portugal. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Casa Pia and Tondela?

Possibly — Casa Pia frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Tondela are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Casa Pia and Tondela?

Possibly — Tondela regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Casa Pia are lower at home (40%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Casa Pia or Tondela?

Casa Pia have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 20% of home games compared to Tondela's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Casa Pia and Tondela?

Possibly — Casa Pia regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tondela are lower on the road (50%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Over 2.5 Goals

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Both Teams to Score

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Home Win

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Over 1.5 Goals

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Porto vs Tondela

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Alverca vs Arouca

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Estoril vs Famalicão

📍 Liga Portugal, Portugal

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Tondela vs Nacional

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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