Cerro Largo vs Peñarol

📍 Primera Division, Uruguay
🕒 Saturday 16th May, 01:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No

Cerro Largo average 1.4 goals scored and 1.3 conceded per home match this season. Peñarol average 1 scored and 0.8 conceded in away fixtures. Cerro Largo have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Peñarol have won 5/10 on the road (50%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Cerro Largo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (5/10); Peñarol in 20% away (2/10). Cerro Largo average 1.4 scored and 1.3 conceded at home, Peñarol 1 and 0.8 on the road.

Cerro Largo frequently see both teams score at home (60%, 6/10). Peñarol are lower on the road (30%, 3/10) — they've scored in 70% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Cerro Largo see 8+ in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 60% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Both Teams To Score (BTTS) – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Cerro Largo at 60% BTTS in home games and Peñarol at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

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League Table

The full Primera Division table for the 2026 season, with Cerro Largo (th) and Peñarol (th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Primera Division 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Racing 14 9 4 1 23:12 +11 31
2 Deportivo Maldonado 14 8 2 4 22:15 +7 26
3 Albion 14 7 4 3 25:16 +9 25
4 Peñarol A 14 7 3 4 20:14 +6 24
5 Central Español 14 6 3 5 21:22 -1 21
6 Defensor Sporting 14 5 6 3 12:9 +3 21
7 Liverpool 14 5 5 4 20:17 +3 20
8 Montevideo City Torque 14 5 5 4 20:15 +5 20
9 Nacional 14 6 1 7 22:21 +1 19
10 Danubio 14 4 6 4 17:20 -3 18
11 Wanderers 14 5 2 7 15:21 -6 17
12 Cerro Largo H 14 5 2 7 14:16 -2 17
13 Boston River 14 5 2 7 13:18 -5 17
14 Juventud 14 3 3 8 15:21 -6 12
15 Cerro 14 2 4 8 8:20 -12 10
16 Atlético Progreso 14 2 4 8 11:21 -10 10

Team Form

Cerro Largo have won 30% of home games this season, Peñarol 50% away. The form table below gives the full picture heading into this match.

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 3 (30%) 5 (50%)
Drawn 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Lost 4 (40%) 4 (40%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Cerro Largo frequently see both teams score at home (60%), while Peñarol are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 6 (60%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Cerro Largo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 4 (40%) 0 (0%)

Under Goals

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 6 (60%) 10 (100%)

Team Goals

Cerro Largo have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Peñarol in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 10 (1 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 13 (1.3 avg) 8 (0.8 avg)

Match Corners

Both Cerro Largo (60% Over 7.5 at home) and Peñarol (60% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 8.5 Corners 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 10.5 Corners 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Cerro Largo have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of home matches.

Peñarol have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 20% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 4 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Cerro Largo (Home Form) Peñarol (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Cerro Largo vs Peñarol across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Cerro Largo 4.4
Draw 2.96
Peñarol 1.64

Half Time Result

Cerro Largo 5.5
Draw 2.05
Peñarol 2.5

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.15
No 1.62

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.44
Over 2.5 1.98
Over 3.5 4.1
Under 1.5 2.67
Under 2.5 1.74
Under 3.5 1.21

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.5
Over 1.5 3.4

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.83
Over 9.5 2.37
Over 10.5 3.4
Over 11.5 5

Cerro Largo Goals

Over 0.5 1.72
Over 1.5 4.5

Peñarol Goals

Over 0.5 1.25
Over 1.5 2.1

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Nordsjaelland U19 vs Horsens U19 12:30 BST | U19 League, Denmark Nordsjaelland U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Horsens U19 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    85% combined
  • Ballymun United vs Usher Celtic 18:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Ballymun United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 home matches this season · Usher Celtic have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    83% combined
  • SKS Oskar Przysucha vs Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki 17:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland SKS Oskar Przysucha have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.36
    79% combined
  • Omiya Ardija vs Iwaki 06:00 BST | J2/J3 100 Year Vision League, Japan Omiya Ardija have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/7 home matches this season · Iwaki have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/7 away matches this season · Odds: 1.83
    78% combined
Acca odds (approx) 5.2
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Cerro Largo vs Peñarol Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Cerro Largo vs Peñarol?

BTTS – No — at least one side rarely sees both teams score, with Cerro Largo at 60% BTTS at home and Peñarol at 30% away. A clean sheet for one side looks likely.

Which team is likely to win, Cerro Largo or Peñarol?

Peñarol hold a slight form advantage away (50% wins) over Cerro Largo at home (30% wins) in Primera Division. A competitive fixture with the visitors potentially having the edge.

Will both teams score in the match between Cerro Largo and Peñarol?

Mixed — Cerro Largo have seen BTTS in 60% of home games, Peñarol in 30% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Primera Division fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Cerro Largo and Peñarol?

Uncertain — Cerro Largo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Peñarol in 20% of away games in Primera Division. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Cerro Largo or Peñarol?

Cerro Largo have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Peñarol's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Cerro Largo and Peñarol?

Cerro Largo have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 30% of home games, Peñarol in 40% of away games in Primera Division. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

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