Liga de Expansión MX · Mexico 🕒 Saturday 31st January, 03:00 GMT

Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Correcaminos UAT Home · 15th 3W 2D 5L last 10 home
VS
Tlaxcala Away · 4th 0W 4D 6L last 10 away
Win Probability
Correcaminos UAT 38% Draw 23% Tlaxcala 38%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 8.5 Corners See why ↓

Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Medium confidence

Correcaminos UAT see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Tlaxcala in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

What the model says
38% Correcaminos UAT win 23% Draw 38% Tlaxcala win 61% BTTS 57% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score
Also worth a look
79% Over 1.5 Goals 65% Under 3.5 Goals

Correcaminos UAT sit 15th in the table after 15 games, averaging 1.3 goals scored and 2.2 conceded per home match this season. Tlaxcala are 4th after 15 games, averaging 0.4 scored and 2 conceded on the road. Correcaminos UAT have won 3/10 home games (30%) this season; Tlaxcala have won 0/10 on the road (0%). There's no dominant edge either way.

Correcaminos UAT have been involved in high-scoring home games this season — Over 2.5 Goals has landed in 70% of their home fixtures (7/10). Tlaxcala are lower on the road (50%, 5/10), averaging 0.4 scored and 2 conceded away from home.

Correcaminos UAT frequently see both teams score at home (70%, 7/10). Tlaxcala are lower on the road (40%, 4/10) — they've scored in 40% of away games this season, which is the key variable.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Correcaminos UAT see 8+ in 70% of home games, Tlaxcala in 70% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

View Today’s Tips

League Table

Where Correcaminos UAT (15th) and Tlaxcala (4th) sit in the Liga de Expansión MX table for the 2025/2026 season. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
12 Tlaxcala A 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
14 Correcaminos UAT H 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
View the full Liga de Expansión MX 2025/2026 table
# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Jaiba Brava 42 22 12 8 58:41 +17 78
2 Cancún 34 17 10 7 55:32 +23 61
3 Tepatitlán de Morelos 40 15 15 10 54:38 +16 60
4 Atlante 32 15 9 8 59:31 +28 54
5 Morelia 34 14 9 11 44:39 +5 51
6 Mineros de Zacatecas 34 12 13 9 53:51 +2 49
7 Irapuato 34 12 12 10 54:48 +6 48
8 CA La Paz 30 9 12 9 48:46 +2 39
9 Tapatío 30 10 6 14 49:44 +5 36
10 Universidad Guadalajara 30 9 8 13 36:46 -10 35
11 Venados 28 9 7 12 54:55 -1 34
12 Tlaxcala A 28 8 10 10 30:44 -14 34
13 Alebrijes 28 7 8 13 36:54 -18 29
14 Correcaminos UAT H 28 5 7 16 30:62 -32 22
15 Dorados 28 4 6 18 25:54 -29 18

Team Form

Tlaxcala have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Correcaminos UAT have been more solid at home (50% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

H Correcaminos UAT — last 10 home A Tlaxcala — last 10 away
Won
H
3/10 (30%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Drawn
H
2/10 (20%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Lost
H
5/10 (50%)
A
6/10 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Correcaminos UAT frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Tlaxcala are less consistent on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

H Correcaminos UAT — last 10 home A Tlaxcala — last 10 away
Both Teams Scored
H
7/10 (70%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Scored Themselves
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 61% · BTTS No 39%

Match Goals

Correcaminos UAT frequently feature in high-scoring home matches (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Tlaxcala are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

H Correcaminos UAT — last 10 home A Tlaxcala — last 10 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
7/10 (70%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
10/10 (100%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
0/10 (0%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/10 (10%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
3/10 (30%)
A
5/10 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
8/10 (80%)

Team Goals

Correcaminos UAT have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Tlaxcala in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Correcaminos UAT 1.3 scored · 2.2 conceded per home game Tlaxcala 0.4 scored · 2 conceded per away game
H Correcaminos UAT — last 10 home A Tlaxcala — last 10 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
8/10 (80%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
4/10 (40%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
0/10 (0%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
9/10 (90%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
6/10 (60%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)

Season totals: Correcaminos UAT 13 scored / 22 conceded at home · Tlaxcala 4 scored / 20 conceded away

Match Corners

Correcaminos UAT regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Correcaminos UAT — last 10 home A Tlaxcala — last 10 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
6/10 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
7/10 (70%)
A
7/10 (70%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/10 (20%)
A
3/10 (30%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Team Corners

Correcaminos UAT have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Tlaxcala have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

H Correcaminos UAT — last 10 home A Tlaxcala — last 10 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/10 (30%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
0/10 (0%)
A
1/10 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
6/10 (60%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
4/10 (40%)
A
4/10 (40%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/10 (20%)
A
2/10 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
1/10 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
1/10 (10%)
A
0/10 (0%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Correcaminos UAT and Tlaxcala. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

24 Aug 2025
Tlaxcala
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
17 Jan 2025
Correcaminos UAT
1 – 1 HT: 1-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
04 Aug 2024
Tlaxcala
3 – 2 HT: 0-0
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
01 Mar 2024
Correcaminos UAT
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
Show 6 more meetings
01 Nov 2023
Tlaxcala
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
21 Apr 2023
Tlaxcala
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Aug 2022
Correcaminos UAT
0 – 2 HT: 0-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
24 Mar 2022
Tlaxcala
4 – 0 HT: 1-0
Correcaminos UAT
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
02 Sep 2021
Correcaminos UAT
1 – 1 HT: 0-0
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
18 Mar 2021
Correcaminos UAT
0 – 1 HT: 0-1
Tlaxcala
O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Correcaminos UAT 2.74 Model: 38%
Draw 3.5 Model: 23%
Tlaxcala 2.6 Model: 38%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.78 Model: 61%
No 2.16 Model: 39%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.32 Model: 79%
Value Over 2.5 1.98 Model: 57%
Value Over 3.5 3.55 Model: 35%
Under 1.5 3.9 Model: 21%
Under 2.5 1.9 Model: 43%
Under 3.5 1.35 Model: 65%

1st Half Goals

Value Over 0.5 1.34 Model: 85%
Over 1.5 2.71

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.08 Model: 67%
Over 9.5 1.25 Model: 55%
Over 10.5 1.77 Model: 43%
Over 11.5 1.88 Model: 33%
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Value Correcaminos UAT 3.26 Model: 36%
Draw 2.12 Model: 36%
Tlaxcala 3.05 Model: 28%

Double Chance

Correcaminos UAT or Draw 1.53 Model: 62%
Correcaminos UAT or Tlaxcala 1.3 Model: 76%
Draw or Tlaxcala 1.44 Model: 62%

Correcaminos UAT Goals

Over 0.5 1.27 Model: 73%
Over 1.5 2.4 Model: 41%

Tlaxcala Goals

Over 0.5 1.24 Model: 73%
Over 1.5 2.37 Model: 41%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Linero vs Karlskrona 13:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Linero have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Karlskrona have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.53
    90% combined
  • Phoenix vs Tammeka II 10:30 BST | Esiliiga B, Estonia Phoenix have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Tammeka II have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.2
    90% combined
  • Toronto II vs Connecticut United 20:00 BST | MLS Next Pro, United States Toronto II have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Connecticut United have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.6
    85% combined
  • Enkoping vs Vasalund 15:00 BST | Ettan: North, Sweden Enkoping have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · Vasalund have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.23
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Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Correcaminos UAT vs Tlaxcala?

Over 8.5 Corners — Correcaminos UAT see 9+ corners in 70% of home games, Tlaxcala in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Correcaminos UAT or Tlaxcala?

Correcaminos UAT have a slight form edge at home (30% wins) over Tlaxcala on the road (0% wins) in Liga de Expansión MX. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Correcaminos UAT and Tlaxcala?

Possibly — Correcaminos UAT frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower on the road (40%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Correcaminos UAT and Tlaxcala?

Possibly — Correcaminos UAT frequently feature in high-scoring home games (Over 2.5 in 70%), while Tlaxcala are lower on the road (50%). The hosts' attacking output could still drive the game past 2.5 goals.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Correcaminos UAT or Tlaxcala?

Correcaminos UAT have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Tlaxcala's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Correcaminos UAT and Tlaxcala?

Possibly — Correcaminos UAT regularly reach high corner counts at home (70%), while Tlaxcala are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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