Derby County vs Stoke City — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Championship, England
🕒 Monday 6th April, 15:00 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Under 3.5 Goals

Derby County (50% home wins) hold a slight edge over Stoke City on the road (20% away wins), but the difference is minimal. View our Home Win, Away Win and Draw stats for more context.

Derby County frequently feature in matches with 2+ goals at home (80%), while Stoke City are more variable on the road (50%). Over 1.5 Goals may still land, mainly driven by the home side.

Derby County often see both teams score at home (70%), while Stoke City are less consistent on the road (30%). There's still a reasonable case for BTTS – Yes, mainly driven by the home side's open style.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (80% and 70%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Under 3.5 Goals — Derby County have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Stoke City in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

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League Table

The full Championship table for the 2025/2026 season, with Derby County (8th) and Stoke City (15th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Championship 2025/2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Coventry City 39 24 8 7 81:40 +41 80
2 Millwall 40 21 9 10 55:45 +10 72
3 Middlesbrough 40 20 11 9 60:39 +21 71
4 Ipswich Town 38 19 12 7 67:39 +28 69
5 Hull City 40 20 7 13 63:58 +5 67
6 Wrexham 40 17 13 10 62:53 +9 64
7 Southampton 39 17 12 10 63:48 +15 63
8 Derby County H 39 17 9 13 56:48 +8 60
9 Queens Park Rangers 40 16 8 16 57:62 -5 56
10 Watford 40 14 14 12 51:48 +3 56
11 Norwich City 40 16 7 17 53:47 +6 55
12 Bristol City 40 15 9 16 51:51 0 54
13 Stoke City A 40 15 9 16 48:43 +5 54
14 Preston North End 40 13 14 13 47:51 -4 53
15 Birmingham City 40 14 11 15 48:50 -2 53
16 Swansea City 40 15 8 17 47:52 -5 53
17 Sheffield United 40 15 6 19 57:57 0 51
18 Charlton Athletic 40 12 12 16 37:48 -11 48
19 Leicester City 40 11 13 16 53:62 -9 46
20 Blackburn Rovers 40 12 10 18 37:49 -12 46
21 West Bromwich Albion 40 11 11 18 42:56 -14 44
22 Portsmouth 39 10 11 18 38:55 -17 41
23 Oxford United 40 9 13 18 37:52 -15 40
24 Sheffield Wednesday 40 1 9 30 24:81 -57 12

Team Form

Stoke City have lost 60% of their away matches this season, while Derby County have been more solid at home (30% losses). The home side may find it easier to impose themselves.

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Lost 3 (30%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Derby County frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Stoke City are less consistent on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 7 (70%) 3 (30%)

Match Goals

Derby County have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Stoke City in 20% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Over Goals

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 5 (50%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 1 (10%)

Under Goals

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 8 (80%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 9 (90%)

Team Goals

Derby County have scored 2+ goals in 10% of home games this season, Stoke City in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 10 (100%) 5 (50%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 7 (70%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 14 (1.4 avg) 6 (0.6 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 11 (1.1 avg) 11 (1.1 avg)

Match Corners

Both Derby County (80% Over 7.5 at home) and Stoke City (70% Over 7.5 away) regularly see 8+ corners. A moderate-to-high corner count looks likely in this fixture.

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 8 (80%) 7 (70%)
Over 8.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 10.5 Corners 2 (20%) 6 (60%)
Over 11.5 Corners 2 (20%) 5 (50%)
Over 12.5 Corners 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Team Corners

Derby County have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Stoke City have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 40% of away matches.

Corners Won

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 6 (60%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Corners Conceded

Derby County (Home Form) Stoke City (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 4 (40%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 3 (30%) 7 (70%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Derby County vs Stoke City across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Derby County 2.06
Draw 3.35
Stoke City 3.46

Half Time Result

Derby County 2.55
Draw 2.18
Stoke City 4

Double Chance

Derby County or Draw 1.25
Derby County or Stoke City 1.28
Draw or Stoke City 1.74

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.7
No 2.04

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.26
Over 2.5 1.89
Over 3.5 3.25
Under 1.5 3.55
Under 2.5 1.87
Under 3.5 1.32

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.35
Over 1.5 2.75

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.18
Over 9.5 1.33
Over 10.5 1.55
Over 11.5 1.87

Derby County Goals

Over 0.5 1.17
Over 1.5 1.97

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5 1.38
Over 1.5 2.95

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki vs MLKS Victoria Sulejówek 18:00 BST | IV Liga: Mazowiecka, Poland Ożarowianka Ożarów Mazowiecki have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · MLKS Victoria Sulejówek have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    90% combined
  • Tolka Rovers vs UCD II 19:45 BST | Leinster Senior League, Republic of Ireland Tolka Rovers have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · UCD II have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.5
    89% combined
  • Sparta Praha II W vs Pardubice W 17:00 BST | 2. Liga Women, Czech Republic Sparta Praha II W have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/8 home matches this season · Pardubice W have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    87% combined
  • Charlton Athletic U21 vs AFC Bournemouth U21 13:30 BST | Professional Development League, England Charlton Athletic U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 9/12 home matches this season · AFC Bournemouth U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    87% combined
Acca odds (approx) 3.87
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Derby County vs Stoke City Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Derby County vs Stoke City?

Under 3.5 Goals — Derby County have stayed under 4 goals in 80% of home matches, Stoke City in 90% of away fixtures. Both sides consistently keep the scoring tight.

Which team is likely to win, Derby County or Stoke City?

Derby County have a slight form edge at home (50% wins) over Stoke City on the road (20% wins) in Championship. Home advantage could be the deciding factor.

Will both teams score in the match between Derby County and Stoke City?

Possibly — Derby County frequently see both teams score at home (70%), while Stoke City are lower on the road (30%). The home side are likely to score, but a reply from the visitors is less certain.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Derby County and Stoke City?

Uncertain — Derby County have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Stoke City in 20% of away games in Championship. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Derby County or Stoke City?

Derby County have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 10% of home games compared to Stoke City's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Derby County and Stoke City?

Derby County have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 50% of home games, Stoke City in 60% of away games in Championship. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

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