World Cup · World 🕒 Thursday 25th June, 21:00 BST

Ecuador vs Germany Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Ecuador Home 5W 2D 1L last 8 home
VS
Germany Away 4W 3D 2L last 9 away
Win Probability
Ecuador 20% Draw 23% Germany 57%
⭐ Our Prediction No Standout Pick See why ↓

Ecuador vs Germany Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

No Standout Pick

Low confidence

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

What the model says
20% Ecuador win 23% Draw 57% Germany win 50% BTTS 50% Over 2.5 Goals 0-1 most likely score
Also worth a look

Ecuador average 1.5 goals scored and 0.5 conceded per home match this season. Germany average 1.3 scored and 1.1 conceded in away fixtures. Ecuador have the stronger home record this season (5/8, 63%) against a Germany side who've won 4/9 away (44%).

Ecuador have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games this season (4/8); Germany in 44% away (4/9). Ecuador average 1.5 scored and 0.5 conceded at home, Germany 1.3 and 1.1 on the road.

Germany regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (67%, 6/9). Ecuador are lower at home (38%, 3/8) — they've conceded in 38% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Ecuador see 8+ in 63% of home games, Germany in 78% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

Team Form

Ecuador hold a clear edge in home form this season (62.5% wins), while Germany have been less consistent on the road (44.44%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Ecuador — last 8 home A Germany — last 9 away
Won
H
5/8 (62.5%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Drawn
H
2/8 (25%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Lost
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
2/9 (22.22%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Germany regularly see both teams score in away matches (66.67%), while Ecuador are lower at home (37.5%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Ecuador — last 8 home A Germany — last 9 away
Both Teams Scored
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
6/9 (66.67%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/8 (75%)
A
8/9 (88.89%)
Conceded
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
7/9 (77.78%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 50% · BTTS No 50%

Match Goals

Ecuador have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Germany in 44.44% of away games. The full goals breakdown for both sides is below.

H Ecuador — last 8 home A Germany — last 9 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
4/8 (50%)
A
8/9 (88.89%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
4/8 (50%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
2/8 (25%)
A
1/9 (11.11%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
6/8 (75%)
A
9/9 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
2/8 (25%)
A
0/9 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
4/8 (50%)
A
1/9 (11.11%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/8 (50%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
6/8 (75%)
A
8/9 (88.89%)

Team Goals

Ecuador have scored 2+ goals in 25% of home games this season, Germany in 0% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is below.

Ecuador 1.5 scored · 0.5 conceded per home game Germany 1.33 scored · 1.11 conceded per away game
H Ecuador — last 8 home A Germany — last 9 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/8 (75%)
A
8/9 (88.89%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
2/8 (25%)
A
0/9 (0%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
0/9 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
7/9 (77.78%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/8 (0%)
A
0/9 (0%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/8 (0%)
A
0/9 (0%)

Season totals: Ecuador 12 scored / 4 conceded at home · Germany 12 scored / 10 conceded away

Match Corners

Germany frequently reach high corner counts away from home (66.67%), while Ecuador are lower at home (37.5%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

H Ecuador — last 8 home A Germany — last 9 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
6/9 (66.67%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
5/8 (62.5%)
A
7/9 (77.78%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/8 (25%)
A
5/9 (55.56%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
2/8 (25%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
2/8 (25%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)

Team Corners

Ecuador have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 37.5% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 25% of home matches.

Germany have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 44.44% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 22.22% of away matches.

H Ecuador — last 8 home A Germany — last 9 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
2/8 (25%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
4/8 (50%)
A
7/9 (77.78%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
2/8 (25%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
1/8 (12.5%)
A
2/9 (22.22%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
3/8 (37.5%)
A
4/9 (44.44%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
2/8 (25%)
A
3/9 (33.33%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
2/8 (25%)
A
2/9 (22.22%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
2/8 (25%)
A
0/9 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/8 (0%)
A
0/9 (0%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Ecuador vs Germany across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Ecuador 5 Model: 20%
Draw 3.6 Model: 23%
Germany 1.7 Model: 57%

Both Teams to Score

Yes 1.8 Model: 50%
No 1.95 Model: 50%

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.31 Model: 75%
Over 2.5 1.93 Model: 50%
Over 3.5 3.08 Model: 28%
Under 1.5 3.4 Model: 25%
Under 2.5 1.93 Model: 50%
Under 3.5 1.29 Model: 72%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.36
Over 1.5 2.75
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Ecuador 5
Draw 2.25
Germany 2.25

Double Chance

Ecuador or Draw 2.1 Model: 43%
Ecuador or Germany 1.28 Model: 77%
Draw or Germany 1.16 Model: 80%

Ecuador Goals

Over 0.5 1.53 Model: 54%
Over 1.5 3.75 Model: 21%

Germany Goals

Over 0.5 1.16 Model: 82%
Over 1.5 1.8 Model: 52%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Österlen vs Nosaby 18:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Österlen have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nosaby have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    90% combined
  • Cerrado U20 vs Grêmio Anápolis U20 19:00 BST | Goiano U20, Brazil Cerrado U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Grêmio Anápolis U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 2.05
    84% combined
  • Campbelltown City vs West Torrens Birkalla 11:00 BST | Npl South Australian, Australia Campbelltown City have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · West Torrens Birkalla have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Eltham Redbacks 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Eltham Redbacks have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined

Ecuador vs Germany Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Ecuador vs Germany?

No single market stands out strongly for this fixture — browse the full stats below to find your own angle.

Which team is likely to win, Ecuador or Germany?

Ecuador hold a clear form advantage — they've won 62.5% of home games in World Cup this season, while Germany have won only 44.44% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Ecuador and Germany?

Possibly — Germany regularly see both teams score away (66.67%), while Ecuador are lower at home (37.5%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Ecuador and Germany?

Uncertain — Ecuador have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Germany in 44.44% of away games in World Cup. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Ecuador or Germany?

Ecuador have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 25% of home games compared to Germany's 0% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Ecuador and Germany?

Possibly — Germany frequently reach high corner counts away (66.67%), while Ecuador are lower at home (37.5%). The visitors may create the majority of set-piece opportunities.

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