Flamengo vs Independiente Medellín — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Copa Libertadores, South America
🕒 Friday 17th April, 01:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 8.5 Corners

Flamengo hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Independiente Medellín are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Flamengo 90% at home, Independiente Medellín 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Independiente Medellín regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Flamengo are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Both teams regularly see 8+ corners in recent games (90% and 80%) — Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

Our Prediction: Over 8.5 Corners — Flamengo see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Independiente Medellín in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Copa Libertadores table for the 2026 season, with Flamengo (1st) and Independiente Medellín (2nd) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Copa Libertadores 2026

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Carabobo 4 3 0 1 5:3 +2 9
2 Independiente Medellín A 5 2 3 0 6:4 +2 9
3 Sporting Cristal 5 2 2 1 5:4 +1 8
4 Juventud 6 2 2 2 8:8 0 8
5 Barcelona Guayaquil 5 2 1 2 3:3 0 7
6 Deportes Tolima 5 2 1 2 3:2 +1 7
7 2 de Mayo 4 1 3 0 4:3 +1 6
8 O'Higgins 4 2 0 2 3:4 -1 6
9 Deportivo Táchira 4 2 0 2 3:3 0 6
10 Botafogo 4 1 1 2 3:3 0 4
11 UCV 1 1 0 0 3:1 +2 3
12 LDU Quito 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
13 Mirassol 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
14 Universidad Católica 2 1 0 1 4:4 0 3
15 Cruzeiro 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
16 Boca Juniors 1 1 0 0 2:1 +1 3
17 Flamengo H 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
18 Argentinos Juniors 2 1 0 1 1:1 0 3
19 Corinthians 1 1 0 0 2:0 +2 3
20 Independiente Rivadavia 1 1 0 0 1:0 +1 3
21 Nacional Potosí 2 1 0 1 1:2 -1 3
22 Bahia 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
23 The Strongest 2 1 0 1 2:2 0 3
24 Palmeiras 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
25 Junior FC 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
26 Alianza Lima 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
27 Independiente del Valle 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
28 Rosario Central 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
29 Estudiantes 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
30 Nacional 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
31 Universitario 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
32 Coquimbo Unido 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
33 Liverpool 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
34 Peñarol 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
35 Santa Fe 1 0 1 0 1:1 0 1
36 Guaraní 2 0 1 1 1:2 -1 1
37 Fluminense 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
38 Deportivo La Guaira 1 0 1 0 0:0 0 1
39 Cerro Porteño 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
40 Libertad 1 0 0 1 1:3 -2 0
41 Lanús 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
42 Always Ready 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
43 Universidad Católica 1 0 0 1 1:2 -1 0
44 Cusco FC 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
45 Platense 1 0 0 1 0:2 -2 0
46 Club Bolívar 1 0 0 1 0:1 -1 0
47 Huachipato 2 0 0 2 1:3 -2 0

Team Form

Flamengo hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Independiente Medellín have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Lost 2 (20%) 3 (30%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Independiente Medellín regularly see both teams score in away matches (80%), while Flamengo are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 8 (80%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Flamengo 90% at home, Independiente Medellín 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 10 (100%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 6 (60%)
Over 3.5 Goals 3 (30%) 3 (30%)

Under Goals

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Under 1.5 Goals 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Under 3.5 Goals 7 (70%) 7 (70%)

Team Goals

Flamengo have scored 2+ goals in 40% of home games this season, Independiente Medellín in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 1 (10%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 6 (60%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Goal Totals

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 23 (2.3 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 9 (0.9 avg) 13 (1.3 avg)

Match Corners

Flamengo regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Independiente Medellín are lower on the road (60%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 9 (90%) 8 (80%)
Over 8.5 Corners 8 (80%) 6 (60%)
Over 9.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 10.5 Corners 6 (60%) 4 (40%)
Over 11.5 Corners 4 (40%) 2 (20%)
Over 12.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Flamengo win 6+ corners in 60% of home games, generating decent attacking corner opportunities, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of home matches.

Independiente Medellín have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 0% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 10% of away matches.

Corners Won

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 7 (70%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 6 (60%) 0 (0%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 5 (50%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Flamengo (Home Form) Independiente Medellín (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Flamengo vs Independiente Medellín across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Flamengo 1.26
Draw 5.8
Independiente Medellín 12

Half Time Result

Flamengo 1.59
Draw 2.43
Independiente Medellín 9.8

Double Chance

Flamengo or Draw 1.01
Flamengo or Independiente Medellín 1.15
Draw or Independiente Medellín 3.9

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.4
No 1.51

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.21
Over 2.5 1.82
Over 3.5 2.83
Under 1.5 3.62
Under 2.5 2.14
Under 3.5 1.4

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.34
Over 1.5 2.43

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.14
Over 9.5 1.27
Over 10.5 1.45
Over 11.5 1.72

Flamengo Goals

Over 0.5 1.08
Over 1.5 1.44

Independiente Medellín Goals

Over 0.5 2.2
Over 1.5 8.3

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Manchester City U21 vs Norwich City U21 19:00 BST | Premier League 2 Division One, England Manchester City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 home matches this season · Norwich City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.22
    89% combined
  • Crewe Alexandra U21 vs Queens Park Rangers U21 13:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Crewe Alexandra U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/13 home matches this season · Queens Park Rangers U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.33
    81% combined
  • Sheffield United U21 vs Bristol City U21 14:00 BST | Professional Development League, England Sheffield United U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/12 home matches this season · Bristol City U21 have seen over 2.5 goals in 11/13 away matches this season · Odds: 1.25
    76% combined
  • Alianza U20 vs FAS U20 02:00 BST | Reserve League, El Salvador Alianza U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 18/21 home matches this season · FAS U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 12/20 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 2.92
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Flamengo vs Independiente Medellín Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Flamengo vs Independiente Medellín?

Over 8.5 Corners — Flamengo see 9+ corners in 80% of home games, Independiente Medellín in 60% of away games. Plenty of set-piece action expected.

Which team is likely to win, Flamengo or Independiente Medellín?

Flamengo hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Copa Libertadores this season, while Independiente Medellín have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Flamengo and Independiente Medellín?

Possibly — Independiente Medellín regularly see both teams score away (80%), while Flamengo are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Flamengo and Independiente Medellín?

Uncertain — Flamengo have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 50% of home games, Independiente Medellín in 60% of away games in Copa Libertadores. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Flamengo or Independiente Medellín?

Flamengo have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 40% of home games compared to Independiente Medellín's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Flamengo and Independiente Medellín?

Possibly — Flamengo regularly reach high corner counts at home (80%), while Independiente Medellín are lower on the road (60%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

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