Grêmio vs Botafogo — Free Prediction & Stats

📍 Serie A, Brazil
🕒 Wednesday 24th September, 23:30 BST

Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Grêmio hold a clear edge at home this season (6/10, 60%), while Botafogo are less consistent on the road (3/10, 30%). The match may be competitive, but home advantage is meaningful here — see our Home Win stats.

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in recent matches (Grêmio 80% at home, Botafogo 80% away), though three or more is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals is the safer selection here.

Botafogo regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Grêmio are lower at home (50%). The visitors' tendency to be involved in goal-heavy games supports BTTS – Yes.

Corner trends are mixed for this fixture — view our Over 3.5 First Half Corners and Over 8.5 Corners pages for the full data.

Our Prediction: Over 1.5 Goals — Grêmio see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Botafogo in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Today’s Betting Tips & Stats

See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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League Table

The full Serie A table for the 2025 season, with Grêmio (12th) and Botafogo (5th) highlighted. League position gives useful context alongside current home and away form when assessing this fixture.

Serie A 2025

# Team P W D L Goals GD Pts
1 Flamengo 38 23 10 5 78:27 +51 79
2 Palmeiras 38 23 7 8 66:33 +33 76
3 Cruzeiro 38 19 13 6 55:31 +24 70
4 Mirassol 38 18 13 7 63:39 +24 67
5 Fluminense 38 19 7 12 50:39 +11 64
6 Botafogo A 38 17 12 9 58:38 +20 63
7 Bahia 38 17 9 12 50:46 +4 60
8 São Paulo 38 14 9 15 43:47 -4 51
9 Grêmio H 38 13 10 15 47:50 -3 49
10 Atlético Mineiro 38 12 12 14 43:44 -1 48
11 Bragantino 38 14 6 18 45:57 -12 48
12 Corinthians 38 12 11 15 42:47 -5 47
13 Santos 38 12 11 15 45:50 -5 47
14 Vitória 38 11 12 15 35:52 -17 45
15 Vasco da Gama 38 13 6 19 55:60 -5 45
16 Internacional 38 11 11 16 44:57 -13 44
17 Fortaleza 38 11 10 17 43:58 -15 43
18 Ceará 38 11 10 17 34:40 -6 43
19 Juventude 38 9 8 21 35:69 -34 35
20 Sport Recife 38 2 11 25 28:75 -47 17

Team Form

Grêmio hold a clear edge in home form this season (60% wins), while Botafogo have been less consistent on the road (30%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Won 6 (60%) 3 (30%)
Drawn 4 (40%) 1 (10%)
Lost 0 (0%) 6 (60%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Botafogo regularly see both teams score in away matches (60%), while Grêmio are lower at home (50%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Both Teams to Score (BTTS) 5 (50%) 6 (60%)

Match Goals

Both sides regularly see 2+ goals in their matches (Grêmio 80% at home, Botafogo 80% away), though 3+ is less consistent. Over 1.5 Goals looks the more reliable selection.

Over Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals 9 (90%) 10 (100%)
Over 1.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)
Over 2.5 Goals 4 (40%) 5 (50%)
Over 3.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)

Under Goals

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Under 0.5 Goals 1 (10%) 0 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals 2 (20%) 2 (20%)
Under 2.5 Goals 6 (60%) 5 (50%)
Under 3.5 Goals 8 (80%) 8 (80%)

Team Goals

Grêmio have scored 2+ goals in 30% of home games this season, Botafogo in 10% of away games. The full team goals breakdown is in the table below.

Goals Scored

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Scored 9 (90%) 7 (70%)
Over 1.5 Goals Scored 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Scored 3 (30%) 1 (10%)
Over 3.5 Goals Scored 2 (20%) 0 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 0.5 Goals Conceded 5 (50%) 9 (90%)
Over 1.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 4 (40%)
Over 2.5 Goals Conceded 1 (10%) 2 (20%)
Over 3.5 Goals Conceded 0 (0%) 2 (20%)

Goal Totals

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Total Goals Scored 21 (2.1 avg) 12 (1.2 avg)
Total Goals Conceded 7 (0.7 avg) 18 (1.8 avg)

Match Corners

Grêmio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Botafogo in 40% of away games. The full corners breakdown for both sides is in the table below.

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 7.5 Corners 5 (50%) 4 (40%)
Over 8.5 Corners 4 (40%) 4 (40%)
Over 9.5 Corners 2 (20%) 3 (30%)
Over 10.5 Corners 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 11.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)
Over 12.5 Corners 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Team Corners

Grêmio have moderate corner counts at home (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Botafogo have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 10% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 20% of away matches.

Corners Won

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners For 3 (30%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 7.5 Corners For 1 (10%) 1 (10%)
Over 8.5 Corners For 0 (0%) 0 (0%)

Corners Conceded

Grêmio (Home Form) Botafogo (Away Form)
Last X Matches 10 10
Over 4.5 Corners Against 2 (20%) 4 (40%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against 1 (10%) 3 (30%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 2 (20%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against 0 (0%) 1 (10%)

Head 2 Head

The head-to-head record below shows previous results between Grêmio and Botafogo. Historical meetings can reveal patterns in how these sides match up — use this alongside the current form and stats above for a fuller picture before placing a bet.

29th Sep, 2024
Botafogo
0 – 0 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 5–3 Cards 2–4 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
16th Jun, 2024
Grêmio
1 – 2 HT: 1-1
Botafogo
Corners 7–4 Cards 3–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Nov, 2023
Botafogo
3 – 4 HT: 2-1
Grêmio
Corners 2–6 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
9th Jul, 2023
Grêmio
0 – 2 HT: 0-0
Botafogo
Corners 10–2 Cards 2–5 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
8th Feb, 2021
Botafogo
2 – 5 HT: 0-2
Grêmio
Corners 5–2 Cards 0–0 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
14th Oct, 2020
Grêmio
3 – 1 HT: 1-1
Botafogo
Corners 1–4 Cards 4–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
27th Oct, 2019
Grêmio
3 – 0 HT: 1-0
Botafogo
Corners 5–7 Cards 3–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
12th Jun, 2019
Botafogo
0 – 1 HT: 0-0
Grêmio
Corners 4–7 Cards 1–2 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
1st Sep, 2018
Grêmio
4 – 0 HT: 2-0
Botafogo
Corners 5–6 Cards 2–3 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS
28th Apr, 2018
Botafogo
2 – 1 HT: 1-1
Grêmio
Corners 10–4 Cards 1–1 O1.5 O2.5 BTTS

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Grêmio vs Botafogo across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet.

Full Time Result

Grêmio 2.76
Draw 3.1
Botafogo 3.1

Half Time Result

Grêmio 3.7
Draw 2.06
Botafogo 3.52

Double Chance

Grêmio or Draw 1.5
Grêmio or Botafogo 1.41
Draw or Botafogo 1.45

Both Teams to Score

Yes 2.12
No 1.8

Total Goals

Over 1.5 1.56
Over 2.5 2.82
Over 3.5 6
Under 1.5 2.76
Under 2.5 1.54
Under 3.5 1.18

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.53
Over 1.5 3.3

Total Corners

Over 8.5 1.27
Over 9.5 1.48
Over 10.5 2.07
Over 11.5 2.27

Grêmio Goals

Over 0.5 1.45
Over 1.5 2.9
Over 2.5 8.4

Botafogo Goals

Over 0.5 1.41
Over 1.5 2.8
Over 2.5 7.7

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Zsambeki SK vs Tatabánya 16:00 BST | NB 3: Northwest, Hungary Zsambeki SK have seen over 2.5 goals in 10/11 home matches this season · Tatabánya have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/11 away matches this season · Odds: 1.29
    82% combined
  • Sporting Escaldes vs CE Casa de Portugal 19:45 BST | 2. Division, Andorra Sporting Escaldes have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/8 home matches this season · CE Casa de Portugal have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    76% combined
  • Hatta vs Dubai United 14:50 BST | Division 1, United Arab Emirates Hatta have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/10 home matches this season · Dubai United have seen over 2.5 goals in 8/10 away matches this season · Odds: 1.7
    75% combined
  • FC Bayern München vs Real Madrid 20:00 BST | Champions League, Europe FC Bayern München have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 home matches this season · Real Madrid have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.28
    73% combined
Acca odds (approx) 4.77
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Grêmio vs Botafogo Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Grêmio vs Botafogo?

Over 1.5 Goals — Grêmio see 2+ goals in 80% of home games, Botafogo in 80% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Grêmio or Botafogo?

Grêmio hold a clear form advantage — they've won 60% of home games in Serie A this season, while Botafogo have won only 30% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Grêmio and Botafogo?

Mixed — Grêmio have seen BTTS in 50% of home games, Botafogo in 60% of away games. The stats don't strongly point either way for this Serie A fixture.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Grêmio and Botafogo?

Uncertain — Grêmio have seen Over 2.5 Goals in 40% of home games, Botafogo in 50% of away games in Serie A. The stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Grêmio or Botafogo?

Grêmio have the stronger scoring record — 2+ goals in 30% of home games compared to Botafogo's 10% away. The home side look the more likely to score multiple times.

Will there be many corners in the match between Grêmio and Botafogo?

Grêmio have seen Over 8.5 Corners in 40% of home games, Botafogo in 40% of away games in Serie A. The corner stats don't point strongly in either direction.

Explore Our Football Stats & Tips

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Match Stats

"The stats on this site are spot on. I’ve been using the home win, away win and over 2.5 goals data for my bets, and it’s been super helpful. It’s great to have all the key stats in one place, from goals to corners. The fact that it’s free is just the icing on the cake!"

James T. (London, UK)

"Great site for betting stats! I use it mostly for checking both teams to score and over 2.5 goals, and it’s been really helpful. The first half stats also give me a great edge in making my decisions."

Finn B. (Leeds, UK)

"I’m really impressed with the simplicity and focus of the stats on this site. Whether I’m checking for both teams to score or first half goals, I always get what I need quickly. It’s easy to navigate, and the range of stats really helps with my bets."

Scott T. (Manchester, UK)

"I love the focus on stats like home goals over 1.5 and away goals over 1.5—these are the exact numbers I need before placing a bet. I’ve been able to use the over/under goals data to great effect. Highly recommend this site if you're looking for reliable stats."

Steve C. (Birmingham, UK)

"I’ve been betting for a while, and this site’s focus on key stats like home win, away goals over 1.5, and over 0.5 first half goals has made my bets more informed. The data is clear and easy to use, which is a big plus. I highly recommend it for anyone who bets on football!"

Luke H. (Cardiff, Wales)

"I love how this site makes betting easier by offering stats like home win, away win, and over 2.5 goals. The first half goals and team goals data have been particularly useful for me. If you’re into football betting, this is definitely worth checking out."

David H. (Glasgow, UK)

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