World Cup · World 🕒 Friday 26th June, 00:00 BST

Japan vs Sweden Prediction, Stats & Betting Tips

Japan Home 5W 2D 0L last 7 home
VS
Sweden Away 3W 2D 2L last 7 away
Win Probability
Japan 46% Draw 24% Sweden 30%
⭐ Our Prediction Over 1.5 Goals See why ↓

Japan vs Sweden Prediction

⭐ Our Prediction

Over 1.5 Goals

Medium confidence

Japan see 2+ goals in 85.71% of home games, Sweden in 100% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

What the model says
46% Japan win 24% Draw 30% Sweden win 60% BTTS 58% Over 2.5 Goals 1-1 most likely score

Japan average 3.4 goals scored and 0.3 conceded per home match this season. Sweden average 2 scored and 1.7 conceded in away fixtures. Japan have the stronger home record this season (5/7, 71%) against a Sweden side who've won 3/7 away (43%).

Sweden have featured in high-scoring away games this season — Over 2.5 Goals in 86% of their away fixtures (6/7). Japan are lower at home (43%, 3/7), averaging 3.4 scored and 0.3 conceded.

Sweden regularly see both teams score in away fixtures (71%, 5/7). Japan are lower at home (29%, 2/7) — they've conceded in 29% of home games, which keeps BTTS in play.

Corner counts have been moderate to high for both sides this season — Japan see 8+ in 86% of home games, Sweden in 57% away. Over 8.5 Corners is worth considering.

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See our football predictions, match stats, and insights for today’s games.

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Team Form

Japan hold a clear edge in home form this season (71.43% wins), while Sweden have been less consistent on the road (42.86%). Home advantage could be decisive here.

H Japan — last 7 home A Sweden — last 7 away
Won
H
5/7 (71.43%)
A
3/7 (42.86%)
Drawn
H
2/7 (28.57%)
A
2/7 (28.57%)
Lost
H
0/7 (0%)
A
2/7 (28.57%)

Both Teams to Score (BTTS)

Sweden regularly see both teams score in away matches (71.43%), while Japan are lower at home (28.57%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

H Japan — last 7 home A Sweden — last 7 away
Both Teams Scored
H
2/7 (28.57%)
A
5/7 (71.43%)
Scored Themselves
H
6/7 (85.71%)
A
6/7 (85.71%)
Conceded
H
2/7 (28.57%)
A
6/7 (85.71%)

Model probability: BTTS Yes 60% · BTTS No 40%

Match Goals

Sweden regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 85.71%), while Japan are lower at home (42.86%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

H Japan — last 7 home A Sweden — last 7 away
Over 1.5 Goals
H
6/7 (85.71%)
A
7/7 (100%)
Over 2.5 Goals
H
3/7 (42.86%)
A
6/7 (85.71%)
Over 3.5 Goals
H
3/7 (42.86%)
A
5/7 (71.43%)
Full goals breakdown (Over 0.5 & Under markets)
Over 0.5 Goals
H
6/7 (85.71%)
A
7/7 (100%)
Under 0.5 Goals
H
1/7 (14.29%)
A
0/7 (0%)
Under 1.5 Goals
H
1/7 (14.29%)
A
0/7 (0%)
Under 2.5 Goals
H
4/7 (57.14%)
A
1/7 (14.29%)
Under 3.5 Goals
H
4/7 (57.14%)
A
2/7 (28.57%)

Team Goals

Both sides regularly get on the scoresheet — Japan have scored 1+ in 71.43% of home games, Sweden in 71.43% of away games. Goals from both sides look likely even if the totals stay modest.

Japan 3.43 scored · 0.29 conceded per home game Sweden 2 scored · 1.71 conceded per away game
H Japan — last 7 home A Sweden — last 7 away
Scored 2+ Goals
H
5/7 (71.43%)
A
5/7 (71.43%)
Conceded 2+ Goals
H
0/7 (0%)
A
4/7 (57.14%)
Full team goals breakdown (scored & conceded)

Goals Scored

Over 0.5 Scored
H
6/7 (85.71%)
A
6/7 (85.71%)
Over 1.5 Scored
H
5/7 (71.43%)
A
5/7 (71.43%)
Over 2.5 Scored
H
3/7 (42.86%)
A
3/7 (42.86%)
Over 3.5 Scored
H
3/7 (42.86%)
A
0/7 (0%)

Goals Conceded

Over 0.5 Conceded
H
2/7 (28.57%)
A
6/7 (85.71%)
Over 1.5 Conceded
H
0/7 (0%)
A
4/7 (57.14%)
Over 2.5 Conceded
H
0/7 (0%)
A
1/7 (14.29%)
Over 3.5 Conceded
H
0/7 (0%)
A
1/7 (14.29%)

Season totals: Japan 24 scored / 2 conceded at home · Sweden 14 scored / 12 conceded away

Match Corners

Japan regularly reach high corner counts at home (71.43%), while Sweden are lower on the road (57.14%). The home side are likely to dominate the corner count in this fixture.

H Japan — last 7 home A Sweden — last 7 away
Over 8.5 Corners
H
5/7 (71.43%)
A
4/7 (57.14%)
Over 9.5 Corners
H
2/7 (28.57%)
A
4/7 (57.14%)
Full match corners breakdown (Over 7.5 – 12.5)
Over 7.5 Corners
H
6/7 (85.71%)
A
4/7 (57.14%)
Over 10.5 Corners
H
2/7 (28.57%)
A
3/7 (42.86%)
Over 11.5 Corners
H
0/7 (0%)
A
2/7 (28.57%)
Over 12.5 Corners
H
0/7 (0%)
A
0/7 (0%)

Team Corners

Japan win 7+ corners in 85.71% of home games, regularly creating set-piece pressure from wide areas, and are generally solid defensively, conceding 6+ corners in only 0% of home matches.

Sweden have moderate corner counts away (6+ corners in 42.86% of games), and are generally solid defensively away from home, conceding 6+ corners in only 14.29% of away matches.

H Japan — last 7 home A Sweden — last 7 away
Won 6+ Corners
H
6/7 (85.71%)
A
3/7 (42.86%)
Conceded 6+ Corners
H
0/7 (0%)
A
1/7 (14.29%)
Full team corners breakdown (won & conceded)

Corners Won

Over 4.5 Corners For
H
7/7 (100%)
A
4/7 (57.14%)
Over 5.5 Corners For
H
6/7 (85.71%)
A
3/7 (42.86%)
Over 6.5 Corners For
H
6/7 (85.71%)
A
3/7 (42.86%)
Over 7.5 Corners For
H
6/7 (85.71%)
A
2/7 (28.57%)
Over 8.5 Corners For
H
3/7 (42.86%)
A
1/7 (14.29%)

Corners Conceded

Over 4.5 Corners Against
H
0/7 (0%)
A
2/7 (28.57%)
Over 5.5 Corners Against
H
0/7 (0%)
A
1/7 (14.29%)
Over 6.5 Corners Against
H
0/7 (0%)
A
1/7 (14.29%)
Over 7.5 Corners Against
H
0/7 (0%)
A
1/7 (14.29%)
Over 8.5 Corners Against
H
0/7 (0%)
A
1/7 (14.29%)

Betting Odds

The table below shows the latest betting odds for Japan vs Sweden across a range of markets — full time result, both teams to score, total goals, corners, and first half goals. Odds are sourced from leading bookmakers and are subject to change — always check with your bookmaker before placing a bet. Markets flagged as Value are where our model's probability is higher than the probability implied by the bookmaker's odds.

Full Time Result

Japan 2.05 Model: 46%
Draw 3.4 Model: 24%
Sweden 3.5 Model: 30%

Both Teams to Score

Value Yes 1.91 Model: 60%
No 1.91 Model: 40%

Total Goals

Value Over 1.5 1.31 Model: 80%
Value Over 2.5 2.1 Model: 58%
Value Over 3.5 3.39 Model: 36%
Under 1.5 2.92 Model: 20%
Under 2.5 1.67 Model: 42%
Under 3.5 1.25 Model: 64%

1st Half Goals

Over 0.5 1.4
Over 1.5 3
More markets (half time, double chance & team goals)

Half Time Result

Japan 2.75
Draw 2.1
Sweden 4

Double Chance

Japan or Draw 1.28 Model: 70%
Japan or Sweden 1.3 Model: 76%
Draw or Sweden 1.72 Model: 54%

Japan Goals

Over 0.5 1.25 Model: 78%
Value Over 1.5 2.2 Model: 49%

Sweden Goals

Over 0.5 1.44 Model: 67%
Value Over 1.5 3.25 Model: 35%

Today's Football Acca

Statistical picks combined into a daily accumulator. Each selection backed by match data and recent form analysis.

⚽ Today's Over 2.5 Goals Acca
  • Österlen vs Nosaby 18:00 BST | Division 2: Sodra Gotaland, Sweden Österlen have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/5 home matches this season · Nosaby have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/5 away matches this season · Odds: 1.57
    90% combined
  • Cerrado U20 vs Grêmio Anápolis U20 19:00 BST | Goiano U20, Brazil Cerrado U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 5/6 home matches this season · Grêmio Anápolis U20 have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/7 away matches this season · Odds: 2.05
    84% combined
  • Campbelltown City vs West Torrens Birkalla 11:00 BST | Npl South Australian, Australia Campbelltown City have seen over 2.5 goals in 4/6 home matches this season · West Torrens Birkalla have seen over 2.5 goals in 6/6 away matches this season · Odds: 1.4
    83% combined
  • Brunswick City vs Eltham Redbacks 10:30 BST | Victoria Premier League 2, Australia Brunswick City have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/9 home matches this season · Eltham Redbacks have seen over 2.5 goals in 7/8 away matches this season · Odds: 1.44
    83% combined
Acca odds (approx) 6.49
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Japan vs Sweden Prediction FAQs

What is the prediction for Japan vs Sweden?

Over 1.5 Goals — Japan see 2+ goals in 85.71% of home games, Sweden in 100% of away games. A reliable lower-risk option for this fixture.

Which team is likely to win, Japan or Sweden?

Japan hold a clear form advantage — they've won 71.43% of home games in World Cup this season, while Sweden have won only 42.86% away. The home side look the stronger pick.

Will both teams score in the match between Japan and Sweden?

Possibly — Sweden regularly see both teams score away (71.43%), while Japan are lower at home (28.57%). The visitors are likely to score, but a home reply is less guaranteed.

Will there be Over 2.5 goals in the match between Japan and Sweden?

Possibly — Sweden regularly feature in high-scoring away games (Over 2.5 in 85.71%), while Japan are lower at home (42.86%). The visitors' attacking output suggests multiple goals are likely.

Which team is more likely to score multiple goals: Japan or Sweden?

Sweden have the stronger away scoring record — 2+ goals in 42.86% of away games compared to Japan's 42.86% at home. The visitors may be the more productive side.

Will there be many corners in the match between Japan and Sweden?

Possibly — Japan regularly reach high corner counts at home (71.43%), while Sweden are lower on the road (57.14%). The home side may drive the corner count in this fixture.

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